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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:04 pm to
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:04 pm to
This ain't looking good for Miss on these model runs. I hope Miss people are paying attention.
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 7:05 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:05 pm to
18z stronger...and east of 12z.

Does get to the MOTM but then the north turn starts.

Good model runs for Louisiana interests, not as good for Mobile. Waiting on ensembles now, but the track should again shift east come 10 pm
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7799 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:05 pm to
It is going north faster than the cone basically. Unless a drastic change I think the current track is too far west.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50690 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:05 pm to
Models will lock in on MS/AL now that all the recon data is plugged into them.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75085 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:05 pm to
quote:

Seems that technology is so advanced yet the weather is as uncertain as getting votes counted for weeks after a Presidential election.

All of that is compounded by people who know little-to-nothing about meteorology or weather models looking at them and thinking they are gospel or written in stone.

Also, not knowing how models and ensembles are gathered and run hurts people's perception of how accurate forecasting is or isn't.
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 7:09 pm
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34925 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:06 pm to
Damn bro don’t let bubbles talk to you like that

Wtf
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:06 pm to
thank you for update my guy
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50690 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:07 pm to
He will see who the fricking moron is when he realizes the models actually have recon info plugged into them now and they’re gonna lock in on MS. I won’t have to say a word, he’ll see.

If I’m wrong I’ll eat my crow.
Posted by heatom2
At the plant, baw.
Member since Nov 2010
13090 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:07 pm to
Jay Grimes is at a 3/4 sleeve roll, but we are still in slacks, this is decent news for the area. Stay tuned for our next update on GrimesWatch.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:08 pm to
quote:

That would be a pretty radical move for just one cycle would it not?




Not really.

It's doing the same things at the same times on pretty much all the models, they're just slower in the first 24-30 hours and so it does the north turn to the east.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:08 pm to
quote:

Karina is in the Pacific




I'm a complete fricking idiot. Holy shite. Thank you for pointing out my stupidity.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147075 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:09 pm to
quote:

Karina is in the Pacific

yeah we passed the K storm in the Atlantic a LONG time ago
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34925 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:09 pm to
Damnit slack you’re fired
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16136 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:10 pm to
Of the East shift happens can we expect all further shifts to be East as well?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75085 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:10 pm to
quote:

I'm a complete fricking idiot.

That has to be a BINGO of some sort.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50690 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:11 pm to
quote:

quote:
That would be a pretty radical move for just one cycle would it not?



Not really.

It's doing the same things at the same times on pretty much all the models, they're just slower in the first 24-30 hours and so it does the north turn to the east.


Boom!!
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14278 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:11 pm to
quote:

Does get to the MOTM


Duke, Is that approximately east of, over, or west of the mouth? SW Pass to the farthest east extent of the mouth is about 25 miles.
Posted by Large Farva
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2013
8725 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:12 pm to
Wait so Nola is good?
Posted by TypoKnig
Member since Aug 2011
8928 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:14 pm to
quote:

Wait so Nola is good?


No. Cantrell is still the mayor.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:14 pm to
quote:

That has to be a BINGO of some sort.
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