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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:44 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:44 pm to
We also now have TS Karina in the Atlantic.

Karina. Seriously?
Posted by TypoKnig
Member since Aug 2011
8928 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:45 pm to
quote:

Madisonville has zip for protection that I am aware of.


The actual city of Madisonville has the swamp people decided to build subdivisions in and call Madisonville to protect it.
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
40304 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:45 pm to
Everything I’m seeing indicates a MS landfall. Curious about how far they shift the cone East
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134865 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:46 pm to
quote:

When y’all are saying it looks better.... does that mean it looks stronger? Or it looks better like it’s weakening and better for our outcome?
In tropical weather threads on this board "better" means the storm is going to do more property damage and kill more people.

See the logic??
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50690 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

Curious about how far they shift the cone East

My guess is NOLA will be on the far western edge of the new cone and the eastern edge will be near Mobile. Landfall near Gulfport-MS/AL line.
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 6:47 pm
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
27420 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:47 pm to
That would be a pretty radical move for just one cycle would it not?
Posted by mightynine
Member since May 2006
1278 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

My guess is NOLA will be on the far western edge of the new cone and the eastern edge will be near Mobile. Landfall near Gulfport-MS/AL line.


How much of a H is this?
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33487 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

Philippe Papin
@pppapin
While #Sally has not intensified much today, convection has undergone significant evolution. A bursting pattern is ongoing w/ the deepest convection rotating into the NE quadrant. This distribution may slow the W motion & foreshadow strengthening if convection rotates upshear.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50690 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:49 pm to
I don’t think so. The models have trended much further East all day today. Only one to wait for now is the 18z EURO very soon. I’d assume that’s going to shift eastward too.
Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
18622 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:49 pm to
I really thought she’d be a little more organized by now...

Thanks for all the info.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43294 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:49 pm to
Karina is in the Pacific
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14278 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:51 pm to
Pascagoula is not in the Hurricane Warning as of yet and Morgan City is right now. I think that may be changing soon.

Pascagoula might get some of the worst weather from Sally.
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 6:52 pm
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25907 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:52 pm to
I don’t care about the center I am more concerned about over a foot of rain... nola gonna have some serious street flooding and all the creeks will be swollen and some roads impassable in Pearl River County where I reside. This will be more of a rain even unless ole sally gets it together then hold on to ya butts
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14278 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:55 pm to
quote:

000
WTNT34 KNHC 132353
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Sally Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192020
700 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2020

...SALLY FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND SLOW DOWN...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS, AND HEAVY
RAINFALL EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
STARTING ON MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.9N 86.2W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM S OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43294 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:55 pm to
...SALLY FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND SLOW DOWN... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STARTING ON MONDAY...
7:00 PM CDT Sun Sep 13
Location: 27.9°N 86.2°W
Moving: WNW at 9 mph
Min pressure: 996 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph
Posted by TypoKnig
Member since Aug 2011
8928 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:56 pm to
quote:

How much of a H is this?


Triple
Posted by oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2006
26411 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:58 pm to
quote:

That would be a pretty radical move for just one cycle would it not?


If you are depending on reliable info from this thread, please don't listen to that moron.
Posted by SECbro
Member since Aug 2018
683 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:59 pm to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50690 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:59 pm to
quote:

quote:
That would be a pretty radical move for just one cycle would it not?


If you are depending on reliable info from this thread, please don't listen to that moron.

Let’s hear your prediction of where the cone will be and where landfall will be.
Posted by Ba Ba Boooey
Northshore
Member since May 2010
4729 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:02 pm to
Madisonville is ok
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