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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:45 am to
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13719 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:45 am to
HWRF only gets down to 988 on this run. That’s usually about 75-80 mph depending on eyewall structure
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 6:46 am
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30374 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:49 am to
Please keep struggling.

As usual, I would like to thank y'all for being so informative. I decided to go fill my gas cans and get some extra stuff last night. Now I can avoid the panic
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50569 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:50 am to
There is going to be some major flooding due to the rainfall from Sally, regardless of storm surge.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43097 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:52 am to
Pressure falling slowly down to 998 on latest pass.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
15655 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:57 am to
Intensity forecast
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 7:00 am
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21005 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:57 am to
quote:

There is going to be some major flooding due to the rainfall from Sally, regardless of storm surge.


One thing to watch, esp. if Sally stays weaker, there is some westerly shear when it is approaching the coast. A stronger storm probably doesn't really feel this but the shear might be strong enough to keep a weaker system lopsided with the heaviest rain off to the east. Something to watch but everyone should follow NWS & local forecast, b/c there probably won't be much advance notice on the system staying weak vs. RI right before landfall.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43097 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:57 am to
...HEAVY RAINS FROM SALLY SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA...

8:00 AM EDT Sun Sep 13
Location: 27.3°N 84.6°W
Moving: WNW at 13 mph
Min pressure: 996 mb
Max sustained: 50 mph
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30374 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:00 am to
quote:

everyone should follow NWS & local forecast,



quote:

rds dc



Anywhere you go, I'll follow you down
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13719 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:04 am to
That Cat 3 HWRF in the image below was the previous run's intensity. It went back down on the latest run and peaked at about 65 knots (75 mph). For now strong Cat 1 looks to be what most models are seeing. But of course, SUBJECT to CHANGE.

This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 7:07 am
Posted by PhillyTiger90
Member since Dec 2015
11599 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:07 am to
Just gassed up the cars minimal lines right now out in Metairie.

Going to make the decision to stay or go sometime tomorrow morning depending how organized it gets today
Posted by jsk020
Nola
Member since Jan 2013
1760 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:09 am to
Winn Dixie on airline is already crazy
Posted by PhillyTiger90
Member since Dec 2015
11599 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:10 am to
Dang

I live by Transcontinental and all the gas stations are quiet right now
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
127733 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:10 am to
Gonna start making preparations to go after the 4pm I think.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50569 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:12 am to
Posted by theOG
Member since Feb 2010
10747 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:15 am to
Just gassed up both cars at Shell on Metairie Rd and hit up Rouses at Labarre and Airline. No lines at either place.
Posted by Hangover Haven
Metry
Member since Oct 2013
31859 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:17 am to
quote:

I live by Transcontinental and all the gas stations are quiet right now


Went last night, Sams was packed out.. However, I pulled right up to the pumps all the way on the left that no one uses for some reason. It was 1.68 a gallon. That Chevron on Cleary and Airline was only 1.71
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 7:21 am
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21005 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:17 am to
06z Euro is better organized and stronger at landfall vs. 00z. Both the 06z Euro and GFS show widespread 12-15" rainfall totals for SE Louisiana.
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:20 am to
What is the chance it shifts west?
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43097 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:21 am to
Where did it have it coming in at?
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
42744 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:21 am to
LLC still exposed on radar is a great thing.
It seems much further away from the main convection than yesterday???
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