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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/15/20 at 3:52 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 9/15/20 at 3:52 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
That bitch is gonna come back out and eat up some shite.
0
Posted on 9/15/20 at 3:52 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Interesting note, if Hurricane Sally does make landfall in Alabama it will be the first hurricane to make landfall in Alabama since Hurricane Ivan in 2004.
That was a bad one, did lots of damage. I didn't realize that was the last one that made landfall in AL
Posted on 9/15/20 at 3:54 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Hurricane Ivan in 2004.
Ivan was a beast, took the only 2 slab homes away 2 doors from where I would stay.
Spent some hot days putting 2 places back together. What was the other old 'cane than did similar damage, anyone?
Posted on 9/15/20 at 3:54 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
This. This is all I ever wanted. People were being shite on in the Laura thread (I wasn't one) for saying Laura could hit Vermillion (it was said that that would have been a giant miss 48 hours out). Nailed down was used plenty of times. In the case of Laura, it was nailed down. People in OB who thought this was nailed down to Grand Isle on Sunday night are having a pretty shitty time inside 48 hours from that
But it is about confidence, and that has nothing to do with the cone.
Vermillion parish wasn’t in play 48 hours out for Laura. Gulf Shores absolutely was for Sally, cone size be damned.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 3:56 pm to NOLAGT
We lost power in Birmingham because of Ivan.
I parked my Surbaban in the front yard and hooked up the power inverter so we could watch TV for what seemed like a week.
Fun times
I parked my Surbaban in the front yard and hooked up the power inverter so we could watch TV for what seemed like a week.
Fun times
Posted on 9/15/20 at 3:56 pm to Duke
I do wonder though...shear and upwelling aside we still do see a steady pressure fall here. 979 now and at some point either the wind speeds or field will respond to it if this trend continues.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:00 pm to antibarner
quote:
shear and upwelling aside we still do see a steady pressure fall here. 979 now and at some point either the wind speeds or field will respond to it if this trend continues.
Judging by the radar, recon trends, and modeling I'd think we'll see increase of winds by the center. Max winds might not rise or just 5 mph but you're seeing the stronger winds showing up more near the core. The northern "eyewall" band is looking pretty salty right now.
Earlier when it was sloppier, it looked like it was going to just work more the windfield but this afternoon it looks a bit more ordered.
This post was edited on 9/15/20 at 4:01 pm
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:00 pm to MrLarson
quote:
I parked my Surbaban in the front yard and hooked up the power inverter so we could watch TV for what seemed like a week.
I got to live in Houma on an air mattress 3 months after Katrina. I hate these things...
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:01 pm to rds dc
4:00 pm CDT :
Mobile, Alabama Winds NE 26G47 mph
Highest Gust past hour : 52 mph
Rainfall since midnight CDT : 1.03 inches
Mobile, Alabama Winds NE 26G47 mph
Highest Gust past hour : 52 mph
Rainfall since midnight CDT : 1.03 inches
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:02 pm to antibarner
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:03 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
It kind of looks like a hurricane.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:03 pm to slackster
quote:
quote:
This. This is all I ever wanted. People were being shite on in the Laura thread (I wasn't one) for saying Laura could hit Vermillion (it was said that that would have been a giant miss 48 hours out). Nailed down was used plenty of times. In the case of Laura, it was nailed down. People in OB who thought this was nailed down to Grand Isle on Sunday night are having a pretty shitty time inside 48 hours from that
But it is about confidence, and that has nothing to do with the cone.
Vermillion parish wasn’t in play 48 hours out for Laura. Gulf Shores absolutely was for Sally, cone size be damned.
Plus with Laura it was traveling north which gives you a pretty tight window of where it can probably hit and stayed pretty tight on that.
Since Sally was generally traveling west with a turn north at some point, much harder to predict the actual landing of that type of storm - at least that seems pretty evident to my uninformed self.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:03 pm to slackster
quote:
NHC cone was awful for Laura.
Sally will miss one single cone. That’s it. Y’all are making this a far bigger deal than it is.
The five day cone for Sally reached from Texas to the big bend of Florida. Russian and I could predict that close.
Seriously, Sally did not behave as predicted in a lot of ways. The NHC said it was a tough one. They were right.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:06 pm to doubleb
Russian is just being Russian.
Weather is like the market.
Him and rds would be flush if there was a proper formula.
Weather is like the market.
Him and rds would be flush if there was a proper formula.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:07 pm to QuietTiger
quote:
Ivan was a beast
I went 36 days without power. frickin brutal
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:08 pm to Dubosed
quote:
went 36 days without power. frickin brutal
My brother and parents went almost 2 weeks in midtown if I remember correctly.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:09 pm to Dubosed
Any updated rainfall predictions?
Apologies if I overlooked it
Apologies if I overlooked it
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:11 pm to Dubosed
quote:
I went 36 days without power.
You stayed in a house for 36 days without electricity during the Summer?
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:14 pm to tgrbaitn08
Has the 4pm update dropped?
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:15 pm to Large Farva
quote:
Y’all have been bitching about the cone for the last thirty pages. Who said what and calling them out. It doesn’t matter.
Cone-bitching and ridiculing cone-bitchers is all part of the Hurricane thread process.
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