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re: Recent college graduates unemployment has surpassed total unemployment for the first time

Posted on 5/6/25 at 11:52 am to
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41091 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 11:52 am to
quote:

All I was trying to say is that if someone does plumbing, hvac or electrical for their career and stays off drugs, your odds of being a multi millionaire are strong.



Absolutely insane take.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 11:55 am to
Graph is stupid. Break it out per major and you will get a far different story.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 11:56 am to
quote:

Absolutely insane take.


Considering what those trades are charging per hour it's not that crazy. Have you had plumbing work done recently?
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41091 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Corporate greed and bad employees aren’t mutually exclusive, both are a huge problem



Definitely.

But in my anecdotal experience I've seen more than a few times leadership pushing for increased productivity while reducing costs, all while the overall performance of the company is stronger than ever.


Kinda tough to swallow an increase in stick and a decrease in carrot during the good times versus the times where things were less positive.

For example, my company just restructured how bonuses and employee relocation benefits are handled. Used to be that bonus was based on salary at the time the bonus was given, now it's based on a blend of the previous twelve months. Before there were relatively generous moving bonuses to take some of the sting out of up and moving your life at a relative moment's notice. Practically anyone who was asked to relocate got that package. Now it's been changed to only VP and above level (So like ~150 people out of a 12k employee company). Those are relatively small potatoes in the grand scheme, but it's just an example of some of the bullshite going on at these large companies. We got a new CEO a year an a half ago after the previous guy retired after a very successful and lengthy run. The new guy's first order of business was to cut a bunch of quality of life benefits for his employees (who surprisingly came up through the ranks as a technical guy and isn't some MBA dweeb)

We are in the midst of the best 4 year run in company history.
This post was edited on 5/6/25 at 12:16 pm
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41091 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

Considering what those trades are charging per hour it's not that crazy. Have you had plumbing work done recently?



Yes it is very much insane to say that simply staying off drugs gives you strong odds to become a multi millionaire doing trade work.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42290 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

As of Feb 2025, unemployment for people with a BACHELOR'S Degree was 2.5%, per Dept of Labor.


But that’s everyone with a bachelors degree. Not just recent grads.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
68403 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:12 pm to
I am a huge advocate for trades, BUT, the people on here who act like every guy in the field can just parlay that into owning and running a business and making a million are crazy.
Posted by lostinbr
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2017
12849 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

The real problem is that its not reasonable to expect an 18 year old to know exactly what they want to do for the next 40 years. Most don't.

They don’t need to know “exactly what they want to do for the next 40 years.” I was a ChE grad. What I do for a living today is nothing like what I planned in college, but my degree has still been incredibly valuable.

There are certainly some degree programs that pigeonhole you into specific jobs, and people who don’t know if they want those specific jobs probably shouldn’t get those degrees. But there are plenty of degree programs with value that also provide broad job prospects across multiple industries.

If you get a useless degree because you don’t know what you want to do with your life yet, that’s a stupid decision. Either go to school for something useful or enter the workforce until you figure it out.
quote:

College really only morphed into a "job training" in the 70s and 80s, and quickly turned in the 90s back into what it originally was. A place to get a degree that increased your critical thinking, intelligence, etc. Often times that leads to a job and career skills. Not always.

I’m not one of those people who consistently shits on the idea of a liberal arts education. I think there’s value in becoming more well-rounded. But going to college for that reason alone is a luxury. It’s something people should only do when they have enough financial security to spend 4 years outside of the workforce with no guarantee of any return on the investment.

The other 99% of the population should have a better reason.
Posted by Bonkers119
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2015
11999 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:20 pm to
The job market sucks right now, of course recent grads are struggling to find jobs. Why would employers hire if they have no idea what the economy is going to look like in the next 6-12 months.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
138941 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

Gen Z have bypassed the college scam are going back into skill trades. Things their parents and grandparents did that achieved the American dream and gave them a skill that can’t be replaced.
Interesting.

IMO colleges need to be held far more accountable for worthless degrees.
This is a good start: Nearly 10 million student borrowers could soon be in default, and the Education Department wants to hold schools responsible.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
70493 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:23 pm to
Y’all need project controls?
Posted by justaniceguy
Member since Sep 2020
7666 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:24 pm to
People don’t want to work for companies that meddle in their after work affairs. Good on them.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
138941 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

The job market sucks right now
It's a challenging case to make given that unemployment remains relatively low, at 4.2% in April 2025, and has remained within a narrow range of 4.0% to 4.2% since May 2024.
Posted by 777Tiger
Member since Mar 2011
92263 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

IMO colleges need to be held far more accountable for worthless degrees.

Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42290 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

There are certainly some degree programs that pigeonhole you into specific jobs, and people who don’t know if they want those specific jobs probably shouldn’t get those degrees. But there are plenty of degree programs with value that also provide broad job prospects across multiple industries.


Until AI is used by the HR department to screen for desirable applicants.

quote:

If you get a useless degree because you don’t know what you want to do with your life yet, that’s a stupid decision. Either go to school for something useful or enter the workforce until you figure it out.


What do you define as a useless degree? English? Philosophy? Theoretical Physics? Journalism? Who decides?

quote:

I’m not one of those people who consistently shits on the idea of a liberal arts education. I think there’s value in becoming more well-rounded. But going to college for that reason alone is a luxury. It’s something people should only do when they have enough financial security to spend 4 years outside of the workforce with no guarantee of any return on the investment. The other 99% of the population should have a better reason.


Agreed that it is a luxury, but ultimately should be a useful and beneficial luxury to the broader society.
Posted by Kingshakabooboo
Member since Nov 2012
1907 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:32 pm to
During my son’s senior year of high school, my wife was riding his arse about picking a college and wanted me to talk some sense in to him.
I asked him…son do you want to be
Anything in the medical field
A lawyer
Any kind of engineer
A CPA or other financial type

When he told me no, I told him forget college and find a trade or get on the fire department.

Today he is a plumber with an outfit that does exclusively new construction. Had no college debt and makes almost as much at 25 as I do now.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

Recent college graduates unemployment has surpassed total unemployment for the first time


Both you and the tweet author clearly struggle with charts. The “first time” was back in 2015. It’s been sustained below since 2021.

Additionally, recent college graduates are still employed at a higher rate than non college graduates of the same age. Unemployment for college graduates between 22-27 is 5.8% compared to 6.9% unemployment for all workers aged 22-27.

That gap is closing, but my suspicion is that it has more to do with college graduates making up a larger part of the work force, so the difference between that subset and the whole set gets smaller because of the math.
This post was edited on 5/6/25 at 12:46 pm
Posted by Dr Rosenrosen
Member since May 2006
4266 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:48 pm to
Correct. Plus, rich and upper middle class kids are not looking to become welders and plumbers.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

Mike Rowe is somewhere chuckling right now


I really like Mike Rowe but this data doesn’t really help or hurt his case. This says more about 22-27 unemployment than it does about trades vs degrees.
Posted by concrete_tiger
Member since May 2020
7477 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 12:56 pm to
Would love to see this broken down by industry, degree, discipline or something to make it more clear.

I am part of the problem. I don't get to hire a lot of people and I don't need someone to train, I don't have time for it, and my company stinks at onboarding. I want someone with a few years under their belt.

This is what giant companies were always so good at. Hire kids out of college and really really put them thru their paces for a few years. The ones that are great will move up, the others will move out. They had the scale to do it. Small and mid-caps have to run too lean and outsource a lot of tasks to third parties and consultants. This is where agencies and firms could afford to throw a ton of kids at problems to work a ton of simultaneous projects and have them travel constantly.

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