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re: Predict US 12/31/20 COVID-19 infections and deaths
Posted on 3/16/20 at 7:48 pm to mindbreaker
Posted on 3/16/20 at 7:48 pm to mindbreaker
quote:
Or you know the precautions taken now actually working like literally all the experts have said but yeah muh media
I 100% blame the media for stoking the fear that has caused the economy to plunge.
1
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:40 pm to Alt26
We’ll have accurate data of mortality rates when ICU beds were available versus mortality rates after hospitals hit capacity. Pretty sure you can get a rough estimate from that. I know your point is regarding financial impact, but we will know in time how much was accomplished by doing this. If anything, the UK will provide the data we need.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:44 pm to GeneralLee
57K "presumed positive"
21K Confirmed positive (some retroactively dating back from Dec. 2019 )
689 Dead
21K Confirmed positive (some retroactively dating back from Dec. 2019 )
689 Dead
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:51 pm to jaytothen
quote:
Infected: 100 Million
Deaths: 2,300
.00002 fatality rate? Call it a third of the country infected and 2300 deaths?
Don’t get me wrong, I hope you are right
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:55 pm to TigerFanInSouthland
For those that think the media is blowing this out of proportion. I agreed with you about a week ago. And I still mostly do.
I think what concerns me is that Trump/Republicans...who measure their own success on any given day by the success of the economy...why are they panicking? Why is Trump taking steps to contain the virus that cripples the economy? I think there’s no way he does that unless he has all the experts in his office advising that this is really freaking bad.
The government is saying don’t panic, but they are shutting the entire economy down. We don’t do that for nothing. Especially Republicans. What do they know?
They have to have data that justifies these measures.
I think what concerns me is that Trump/Republicans...who measure their own success on any given day by the success of the economy...why are they panicking? Why is Trump taking steps to contain the virus that cripples the economy? I think there’s no way he does that unless he has all the experts in his office advising that this is really freaking bad.
The government is saying don’t panic, but they are shutting the entire economy down. We don’t do that for nothing. Especially Republicans. What do they know?
They have to have data that justifies these measures.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:57 pm to ctiger69
quote:
2020 Coronavirus deaths= 405
Just so you know at the current rate we will cross 405 deaths by March 25th, assuming nothing changes.
If you plot out the deaths on a log graph it is a basically linear slope.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 9:05 pm to genuineLSUtiger
quote:
20 million infected. 150,000 deaths
Troll or retarded.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 9:12 pm to GeneralLee
250 million infected but most never know it.
10,000 deaths.
10,000 deaths.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 9:12 pm to LSUFAITHFUL
My personal thinking is they think the death rate is rather small, but that this thing spreads like fire. A large number of people could have little to no symptoms, but still test positive. But with tests still rolling out, there will be hysteria by a large number of people who will want the test. Best thing to do is order everyone to stick put for a while and only seek the test if they feel symptoms
Posted on 3/16/20 at 9:43 pm to LSUFAITHFUL
quote:
I think what concerns me is that Trump/Republicans...who measure their own success on any given day by the success of the economy...why are they panicking? Why is Trump taking steps to contain the virus that cripples the economy? I think there’s no way he does that unless he has all the experts in his office advising that this is really freaking bad.
Because if he did nothing, the media would throw literally the ultimate shite-fit. More so than they are now. He's in the ultimate lose lose situation right now.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 9:49 pm to GeneralLee
1.5 million infected
8,000 fatalities
The common flu will post much higher numbers in 2020.
8,000 fatalities
The common flu will post much higher numbers in 2020.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 9:50 pm to GeneralLee
135 million estimated infected, (we will stop testing in May) 500k dead plus or minus 5%. provided health system can handle it and we get our shite together. Best case.
If not dead will be 1.5 to 3 million dead. Worst case.
If complete Societal collapse, and critical drug shortage, you can push number over 5 million maybe even 10 million.
Is that real enough for you? Lol
Research it. Even Trumps people are using these numbers now. The economic damage is going to be much much worse. Some countries will collapse.
If not dead will be 1.5 to 3 million dead. Worst case.
If complete Societal collapse, and critical drug shortage, you can push number over 5 million maybe even 10 million.
Is that real enough for you? Lol
Research it. Even Trumps people are using these numbers now. The economic damage is going to be much much worse. Some countries will collapse.
This post was edited on 3/16/20 at 9:54 pm
Posted on 3/16/20 at 9:55 pm to TigerFanInSouthland
Or maybe he's doing what the experts in the field are telling him is the best way to handle this.
That ever cross your mind?
That ever cross your mind?
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:58 am to GeneralLee
Put me in for 40 million infected and 100k dead
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:06 am to GeneralLee
40 million actual infections
2 million tested and confirmed
4,500 deaths
2 million tested and confirmed
4,500 deaths
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:13 am to GeneralLee
100 million infected including people who will never be tested.
There will be treatments within a month.
30,000 deaths (25000 over 65)
There will be treatments within a month.
30,000 deaths (25000 over 65)
This post was edited on 3/20/20 at 9:18 am
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:21 am to GeneralLee
Final death toll will be about 7,500. The actual infected rate will be a number much much higher that I dont care to guess.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:21 am to GeneralLee
7
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:26 am to yurintroubl
quote:
21K Confirmed positive (some retroactively dating back from Dec. 2019 )
689 Dead
I predict we reach that in the next 7 days.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:27 am to cave canem
You think the death numbers are going to triple?
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