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2
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:15 pm to Scruffy
quote:
As a side note, this flu/respiratory season has been very mild compared to previous years, at least where I am.
Good point with respect to capacity.
Compared to the 2017-2018 flu season, hospitalization rates are nearly half as high this year. Assuming that trend holds through the spring, that's something like 300,000 fewer hospitalizations over the season. That should/would leave room for this potential impact.
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:15 pm to jennBN
quote:
True. Still a little unnerving. Rarely wear a mask outside of my department but likely will tomorrow.
When I lived in Vacaville worked there at David Grant Medical Center on Travis. Texting a few friends asking about the response from their perspective with infection in their back yard. Asked about if the staff were wearing masks and was told no, that would likely scare patients if they did so.
Seems pretty idiotic in my lowly opinion
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:16 pm to frankthetank
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
Is this link from the OP staying up to date?
Is this link from the OP staying up to date?
This post was edited on 2/27/20 at 8:17 pm
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:16 pm to Jon Ham
Yea Italy doesn’t look good but the way their numbers blew up makes me think their surveillance and testing was subpar.
However, even if you double and triple the number of cases we would still be in a pretty bad position.
However, even if you double and triple the number of cases we would still be in a pretty bad position.
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:18 pm to Jon Ham
quote:
650 cases in Italy
17 deaths
56 in intensive care
So 11% of known cases in Italy have resulted in death or intensive care.
And less than 2% of known cases in South Korea have resulted in death or serious/critical condition.
It's pretty clear that we have some denominator problems in a lot of this raw data.
ETA - This goes back to the inherent issues with extrapolating a fatality rate from one population or virus to another.
This post was edited on 2/27/20 at 8:22 pm
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:19 pm to FieldEngineer
Johns Hopkins site is good but can fall behind.
Worldometers is updated pretty quick.
Oh yeah, time for another Carl Goldman update:
LINK
Worldometers is updated pretty quick.
Oh yeah, time for another Carl Goldman update:
LINK
quote:
I moved today. It’s a terrific sign I am recovering from the coronavirus, COVID-19.
. . . .
I arrived at the same complex where my wife, Jeri, is quarantined. My room is down the hall, but we might as well be in different zip codes. We continue to FaceTime multiple times a day.
quote:
I’ve had no fever for well over a week. Unlike a cold, I had no drippy nose, no sneezing. My cough remains, lingering as a friendly reminder I am not yet healed. I have never been in any pain. I was dehydrated when I arrived at the hospital after having a 103-plus fever during my flight to the states, thus the Gatorade cure.
quote:
As I turn in for bed, I continue to hear network commentary about Bernie Sanders’ remark. Bernie suggested, if a tyrant like Fidel Castro does something good, like providing literacy in a country with censored books, we should acknowledge it. I suspect Adolf Hitler brushed his teeth after most meals. I hope Bernie refrains from issuing any praise.
This post was edited on 2/27/20 at 8:25 pm
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:19 pm to Mizzoufan26
There is a mask shortage developing here. I hope I have access to them. People started hoarding them a few days ago.
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:20 pm to slackster
quote:
I know you're talking more generally about capacity, but just a note that I found interesting.
Personally I hope it was a lie for the sake of not seeming inflammatory/suppress the hysteria.
They are going to spent millions in Inter agency work seeking containment but then go “business as usual” if it fails?
It’s either not worth that initial effort, or it’s pure defeatism/malpractice if so.
Start arranging potential contingencies with military based triage centers, damn you. You won’t have time later if we need it.
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:21 pm to WaWaWeeWa
The Navy is ordering all ships who visited any countries in the Pacific to self-quarantine for 14 days before traveling to another port.
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:21 pm to jennBN
quote:
There is a mask shortage developing here. I hope I have access to them. People started hoarding them a few days ago.
Shouldn’t have that issue on a military base. We have a significant stock maintained.
The numbers we have out here are in the 100k range, DGMC is significantly bigger
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:23 pm to Volvagia
quote:
They are going to spent millions in Inter agency work seeking containment but then go “business as usual” if it fails?
I'm not sure where they'd draw the line, just an interesting thing he mentioned.
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:23 pm to jennBN
I’m in ICUs at a lot of different hospitals, often in patient rooms. Besides contact precautions I never wear a mask ... looks like that’ll have to change ...
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:24 pm to Burhead
quote:
The Navy is ordering all ships who visited any countries in the Pacific to self-quarantine for 14 days before traveling to another port.
I'm sure they're ecstatic.
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:25 pm to GeorgeTheGreek
Impella?
Maquet?
What's your product?
Maquet?
What's your product?
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:25 pm to jennBN
quote:Masks have been sold out on Amazon and all stores where I live since mid February
There is a mask shortage developing here. I hope I have access to them. People started hoarding them a few days ago.
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:26 pm to rds dc
With a confirmed case in Nigeria, the below is from an older post.
30411-6/fulltext)
Testing is just now coming on line in areas of Africa and the WHO has repeatedly said that they expect as spike in cases with increased testing capacity. It wouldn't be surprising to see a situation like Iran or Italy emerge as they start testing.
quote:
Algeria, Ethiopia, South Africa, and Nigeria were part of the 13 top priority countries identified by WHO on the basis of their direct links and volume of travel to China.
Testing is just now coming on line in areas of Africa and the WHO has repeatedly said that they expect as spike in cases with increased testing capacity. It wouldn't be surprising to see a situation like Iran or Italy emerge as they start testing.
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:26 pm to Burhead
How much of an impact on the military is this or could the coronavirus be?
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:26 pm to TigerTatorTots
I mean other employees of the hospital.
Posted on 2/27/20 at 8:26 pm to Burhead
Taking the “scenic route” between ports.
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