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re: Oil suffers record plunge below $11 amid historic glut

Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:43 pm to
Posted by Boring
Member since Feb 2019
3792 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:43 pm to


How many stocks/markets/commodities have ever dropped more than 90% in one day? Genuinely curious how many times something has happened like this historically.
Posted by diat150
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
47195 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

I'll have to decide between buying a barrel of oil or beer this afternoon


by the end of the day a 40 ounce bull will be worth more than a bbl.
Posted by lsu xman
Member since Oct 2006
16693 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:45 pm to
If spot oil was $10, Exxon would be down more than 3%.
Posted by ClampClampington
Nebraska
Member since Jun 2017
4031 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:46 pm to
Never seen a market move close to it in commodities that I can remember but that's only been 7ish years
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8748 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:48 pm to
Have to figure whoever got caught on the trade today with no where to store the oil (and pay for it) is going to get wiped out. Our luck we will see them back door into a bailout soon. Probably some NY funds just went out over this one.
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
40399 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

Serious question: if we were to, oh I don’t know...bomb the shite out of some Middle Eastern country right now...would that help stabilize the oil price?



Too late at this point. Today marks the end for a lot of US oil companies.
Posted by kjp811
Denver, CO
Member since Apr 2017
1066 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

Serious question: if we were to, oh I don’t know...bomb the shite out of some Middle Eastern country right now...would that help stabilize the oil price?


Too late at this point. Today marks the end for a lot of US oil companies.



Which means we will be a the mercy of OPEC when demand does come back.
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
65100 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:54 pm to
just got off a conference call

we will definitely be laying off a bunch of people next week. on call for my possible last week of work has me sick to my stomach.
Posted by kjp811
Denver, CO
Member since Apr 2017
1066 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

Serious question: if we were to, oh I don’t know...bomb the shite out of some Middle Eastern country right now...would that help stabilize the oil price?


The thing to do would be to slap a big tariff on foreign oil. There's a bunch of Saudi Oil sitting in the gulf right now waiting to be delivered to US refineries.
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
65100 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:57 pm to
dont think that would save most of the us companies even at this point
Posted by lostinbr
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2017
12637 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

Yeah but lifting costs do tell you where it’s financially viable to drill for oil at which price. Which that chart reflects.

Even that’s not necessarily accurate for a few reasons:

1. Typically, lifting costs exclude exploration and development. There’s a huge difference in the cost to recomplete an existing well in a mature field compared to drilling a new well in a new area.

2. Lifting costs can vary dramatically, especially somewhere like the US where you have a lot of different types of reserves. There’s a ton of variance between shale vs. conventional vs. deepwater etc.

3. My point still stands.. the Saudis can’t withstand sub-$20 oil for long regardless of their lifting costs. If oil is $20/bbl, but they need $60/bbl at current production to balance their budget, they are screwed. They can’t just triple their output because even if they were technically capable of doing this, it would just depress prices further. They are (or have been) banking on putting competitors out of business. But it’s going to backfire on them long term when Shell, Exxon, Chevron, etc. start picking up developed fields for pennies on the dollar.

The Saudis fricked up when they got greedy and let oil get to $100+/bbl. They’ve created a monster and they are never getting that market share back, at least not without drastically reducing their national budget.
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:57 pm to
$0.01 a barrel

wow
Posted by armsdealer
Member since Feb 2016
12273 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:57 pm to
Less than a dime for a barrel of oil...
Posted by Boring
Member since Feb 2019
3792 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:58 pm to


can anyone spare a dime?
Posted by ClampClampington
Nebraska
Member since Jun 2017
4031 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 1:00 pm to
Hit a penny
Posted by xXLSUXx
New Orleans, LA
Member since Oct 2010
10577 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 1:00 pm to
Where is everyone tracking the price?
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
41333 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 1:00 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/22/20 at 7:48 pm
Posted by Tyga Woods
South Central Jupiter Island, FL
Member since Sep 2016
41404 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 1:01 pm to
Tough decision to make...

Grab lunch at Chick Fil A or buy 900 barrels of oil
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
41333 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 1:02 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/22/20 at 7:49 pm
Posted by Boring
Member since Feb 2019
3792 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

buy


Buy? Brother you don't have to buy anything, the shite is literally free right now. You can have the lord's chicken AND the world's entire supply of oil.
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