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re: Oil suffers record plunge below $11 amid historic glut

Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:35 am to
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61274 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:35 am to
Holy hell! This is insane.
Posted by 3rdgentgr
Member since Jan 2011
897 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:37 am to
7.71 now
Posted by Modern
Fiddy Men
Member since May 2011
16969 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:38 am to
Where are y’all tracking the prices at?
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
76536 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:39 am to
Well, looks like the KSA did the worst thing for their economy possible.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
28987 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:39 am to
Truck nuts fire sale. 7 truck nuts for the price of one.
Posted by ClampClampington
Nebraska
Member since Jun 2017
4031 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:41 am to
May futs expire tomorrow, it's a full blown fire sale by anyone long May contracts right now. June is trading $22/bbl and at 7x the volume as May as most of the industry has already rolled their positions. But June is definitely going down into the teens
Posted by MrLarson
Member since Oct 2014
34984 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:41 am to
quote:

What happens when the price of a gallon of gas is more than a barrel of oil?


Last time I filled up on DEF it was more than diesel by about ~.30 per gallon.
Posted by ClampClampington
Nebraska
Member since Jun 2017
4031 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:42 am to
CME

Posted by Boring
Member since Feb 2019
3792 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:44 am to
Just want to post a Tweet I saw earlier that sums this up:

quote:

For all the clucking about how much money one makes shorting stocks, or rooting for bankruptcy or ridiculing proration ideas and those that have the balls to want change... there is somebody on the other end, with a family, now scared to death.


I wish everyone well during this time. Things really suck for a lot of people right now and don't show any signs of getting better.
Posted by Bow08tie
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2011
4522 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:45 am to
Shut down the wells
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
28987 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:48 am to
Cost of Production per Barrel of Oil:
US 36.20 vs Russia $17.20 and Saudi Arabia $9.90
Current Crude Oil Price $22.76

Posted by 3rdgentgr
Member since Jan 2011
897 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:52 am to
On Fox business news

5/20 Crude Oil

$5.58
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61274 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:53 am to
Now would be a good time for Iran to sink a few Saudi ships or hit their refineries
Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:58 am to
$36.20 is a blended average. Some fields in the US are profitable at 19. Some are not porfitable below the 60s.
Posted by ClampClampington
Nebraska
Member since Jun 2017
4031 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:00 pm to
$4.04. CME says it would be possible for May to trade negative if it gets there
Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:02 pm to
I am no economist. But for a producing well, the only question would seem to be whether the lease operating expense is above or below the amount of production times the price.

Say you have invested $10 million in a well. You expedcted a price of $50 to get your money back. It dropped to $10. You will never get your money back. Do you stop producing?

Maybe not. If it costs $10,000 a month to produce the well, and you are producing 2000 barrels a month, then you would keep producing at $10 per barrel. You will at least get some money back that way.

You damn sure will not drill the next well. But as long as cash flow stays above LOE, it seems like you will keep producing the ones you have.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61274 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:03 pm to
Yeah I get all of that, but they are still saying there is no place to send the oil that they are producing
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:04 pm to
They said they’ll let it go negative if that happens
Posted by FlyingTiger1955
Member since Jan 2019
5765 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:04 pm to
Another issue will be lease maintenance, particularly in Louisiana. Most leases require production in paying quantities. If the price stays low for a year to 18 months, attorneys will begin filing suits for lease cancellation due to the lack of paying quantities. The companies will have to show that they are making money. You can count on the courts to side with their citizens over the out of state foreign corporations.
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
107506 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:05 pm to
Funny stuff baw. And original.
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