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re: Official Thread: Missing Malaysia Airlines Flight 370

Posted on 3/10/14 at 3:52 pm to
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
298305 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 3:52 pm to
quote:

If a search were to go on for, say, 5 or more years, and not one piece of debris is ever found, would we all be able to agree that something sketchy caused an entire flight to completely disappear and write off any notion that it sitting in the jungle or bottom of the ocean?


Unless it's been hijacked and sitting in a hanger somewhere, wreckage will eventually be found.
Posted by Napoleon
Kenna
Member since Dec 2007
74167 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 3:55 pm to
quote:

Bomb?


Just guessing from 8,000 ,iles away, but I would think so.

A plane that is hijacked will change the transponder to 7500 and that would quietly tell everyone the plane is being hijacked. If the hijcaker knew this and knew how he could disable the transponder, but it looks like no changes were made.

A door to the plane is secured. the PIC looks to have really enjoyed his job and wasn't a likely candidate to crash the plane on purpose. Also a major change in flight attitude would send out an alert.

Everything points to the pilots not knowing anything was wrong until it was too late.

A mid air break up is the most likely.

So either we assume that the Boeing built plane was not repaired properly and a wing fell off in flight (again would probably have plenty of time to send out a signal) or the plane violently exploded mid-air.

Which would mean terrorists are working on a newer stronger explosive to get past security. Remember last month another shoe bomb statement warning was issued.
LINK
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8849 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

Unless it's been hijacked and sitting in a hanger somewhere, wreckage will eventually be found.


Pretty much. Once they find floating debris I would assume they can use ocean current readings to extrapolate about where the plane may be on the bottom. From there it's just sonar scans looking for the fuselage or trying to pick up the pinging from the boxes if that is working.
Posted by sugar71
NOLA
Member since Jun 2012
9967 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

Unless it's been hijacked and sitting in a hanger somewhere, wreckage will eventually be found.


This.

The Gulf of Thailand were it is suspected to have disappeared/crashed crashed is relatively shallow at less than 300 feet deep.


The Air France flight crashed into 13,000 feet & was eventually found/partially recovered after a few years.
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
69996 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

Pyongyang


sound of the metal breaking up?

too soon?
Posted by wahoocs
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2004
24853 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 3:59 pm to
I would say with technology being what it is now, yes.

But, I do think something like 5 planes went missing in the Bermuda Triangle. It was maybe a training mission. Possible they all followed the leader into the water, but IIRC it was perfect weather conditions.
Posted by jdd48
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
23695 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

But, I do think something like 5 planes went missing in the Bermuda Triangle. It was maybe a training mission. Possible they all followed the leader into the water, but IIRC it was perfect weather conditions.


Ahh the infamous Flight 19.

LINK
Posted by theantiquetiger
Paid Premium Member Plus
Member since Feb 2005
20072 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 4:01 pm to
Anyone thinking this is a "Lost" senerio (like the TV show)?
Posted by TheDoc
doc is no more
Member since Dec 2005
99297 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

Yes. The tickets were purchased through an Iranian third party, also.



strange

what if they don't find the wreckage?

is that a possibility?
Posted by Pax Regis
Alabama
Member since Sep 2007
15243 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 4:11 pm to
At a minimum I think this brings home the need for some real-time flight tracking data being broadcast from commercial flights - or at least international flights that cross oceans. It is absolutely freaking ridiculous that this plane has not been found yet. I do understand why it has not been found, but we need to reject that as an acceptable outcome in 2014 when my damn phone can find itself.
Posted by TigerHam85
59-024 Kamehameha Highway
Member since Nov 2009
31493 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 4:11 pm to
As stated, it's highly, highly unlikely that if the plane crashed/exploded that something won't be found. It may take time, but it will come up.
Posted by TheDoc
doc is no more
Member since Dec 2005
99297 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 4:12 pm to
is it a possibility at this point that it did NOT crash?
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89065 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

I do understand why it has not been found, but we need to reject that as an acceptable outcome in 2014 when my damn phone can find itself.


A powered on phone in the mainland United States is definitely the same thing as a blown up plane over Asian waters.

Sheesh.
Posted by jdd48
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
23695 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

At a minimum I think this brings home the need for some real-time flight tracking data being broadcast from commercial flights - or at least international flights that cross oceans. It is absolutely freaking ridiculous that this plane has not been found yet. I do understand why it has not been found, but we need to reject that as an acceptable outcome in 2014 when my damn phone can find itself.



They already do - the protocol is called ADS-B. Not every plane in the world is equipped with ADS-B transponders yet, but I understand this was a fairly new 777, so my guess is that it would have been.

LINK
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
70987 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

is that a possibility?



If it crashed they will find it. The area is relatively small and the water is relatively shallow.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89065 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

The area is relatively small


Relatively small compared to what? The pacific ocean?
Posted by TigerHam85
59-024 Kamehameha Highway
Member since Nov 2009
31493 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 4:18 pm to
I believe so.
Posted by Pax Regis
Alabama
Member since Sep 2007
15243 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

A powered on phone in the mainland United States is definitely the same thing as a blown up plane over Asian waters.


Obviously it is not, but my point is that if engineers can figure out a way to track my phone via a combination of
GPS and cellular networks then we ought to be able to figure out how to at least get flight tracking data in real time from planes via transmissions from the planes to the air traffic control towers whose control they are under.
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
70987 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

Relatively small compared to what? The pacific ocean?


The Gulf of Thailand is a mere 250 miles across. It's not that hard to spot debris from the air. I read an interview from one of the searchers that they can spot debris as small as a human hand from their aircraft flying above the sea.

Also...it's not like they are searching the entire gulf. There are only a few concentrated areas where they are looking for the aircraft.
This post was edited on 3/10/14 at 4:24 pm
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 3/10/14 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

to the air traffic control towers whose control they are under.


They aren't always under ATC control. This isn't a BHM to ATL flight.

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