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re: Not looking good for the weekend parades

Posted on 2/6/18 at 3:45 pm to
Posted by Scooba
Member since Jun 2013
20027 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

Endymion looks rainy, but definitely able to parade as scheduled.




I like this guy.
Posted by 610man
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
8336 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 3:45 pm to
Agreed, I hope they have this info.
Posted by oVo
Member since Dec 2013
11983 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

Hardly extreme enough for flooding to be of any concern.


Mitch says hold his beer..
Posted by Styxion
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2012
1738 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 3:45 pm to
I love you Duke, No Homo
Posted by gadknot
Reality
Member since Jul 2005
37306 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

From what I am hearing from inside the krewe, is if it moves, it will Friday at 3, uptown.



please let this happen and remove my burden of having to go to this
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 3:47 pm to
If they talk to any local weatherpeople and the NWS, they are consulting with people who have what I showed and much more. If they are using the weather app on their phone...well that's a different story and they should stop and consult the area pros.
Posted by GWfool
Member since Aug 2010
2423 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 3:47 pm to
Duke, what about Sunday? Would be great to get something workable for both days.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

Duke, what about Sunday? Would be great to get something workable for both days.



A quick scan of the GFS looks better than Saturday and the Canadian model has no rain. Euro I can't see precip predictions on but I don't see anything radically different on it compared to the others. In short, Sunday looks good to go if a little rainy off and on during the day.

The overall look on the computers follows what the NWS has been saying. Off and on rain all weekend. Clouds. Warm. No event dropping over an 1" for any 24 period and no six hour period with a heavy rain situation. It's all looking really good imo.
Posted by RedPop4
Santiago de Compostela
Member since Jan 2005
15342 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

Yep, 3 on Friday, if moved. The rain %'s are changing, may be a good sign. Just need a clearing on Saturday.

Now you're making shite up.
Posted by GWfool
Member since Aug 2010
2423 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 3:52 pm to
quote:

quote:
Duke, what about Sunday? Would be great to get something workable for both days.


A quick scan of the GFS looks better than Saturday and the Canadian model has no rain. Euro I can't see precip predictions on but I don't see anything radically different on it compared to the others. In short, Sunday looks good to go if a little rainy off and on during the day.

The overall look on the computers follows what the NWS has been saying. Off and on rain all weekend. Clouds. Warm. No event dropping over an 1" for any 24 period and no six hour period with a heavy rain situation. It's all looking really good imo.


Thank you, you're the man!!!
Posted by 610man
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
8336 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 3:52 pm to
Endy people often use channel 8, they would bring Bob Breck in on the Tuesday meeting. The meeting tonight, David Bernard will probably be there giving an update.
Posted by lion
Member since Aug 2016
831 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

Agreed, I hope they have this info.

They work with the city and have everything they need. Of course, theyre working with the city, so maybe youll parade at 3am in Nola East.
Posted by 62zip
One Particular Harbor
Member since Aug 2005
6976 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 3:55 pm to
quote:

Of course, theyre working with the city, so maybe youll parade at 3am in Nola East.



That would be great, never done that before.
Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70821 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

please let this happen and remove my burden of having to go to this


You fricking poon
Posted by 610man
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
8336 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 4:10 pm to
Just watched Bruce Katz, now he didn't get specific on times, but said rain chances are 70%. His spin is not as positive as yours. Just said its hard to time it up, Endymion said they are making a decision Thursday morning, by that time, how much clearer will things be? Thx Duke!!
Posted by vl100butch
Ridgeland, MS
Member since Sep 2005
37336 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

Of course, theyre working with the city, so maybe youll parade at 3am in Nola East.

That would be great, never done that before.


i guess we'd need to add some gun racks to the floats as well to quote that great Southern philosopher, Foghorn Leghorn, "that's a joke son"
Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4998 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 4:12 pm to
NOPD says all weekend parades will roll as scheduled.
Posted by Jim Smith
Member since May 2016
2915 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 4:12 pm to
The Advocate just sent out an update that says NOLA police say all parades will roll on their assigned days.
Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4998 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 4:13 pm to
lol @ frickin' Harrison saying it would completely impossible to reschedule the weekend parades on a fricking tuesday.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

Thursday morning through Thursday night will be a dry period behind the front. Surface high pressure shifts east over the mid Atlantic by Friday and onshore flow returns. Scattered showers and maybe a couple storms are expected beginning early Friday morning as moisture moves back in. The big picture for this weekend is that wet weather is in store. Looking aloft and to the west, a 500 mb trough anchored over Baja California Friday morning will be nearly cut off. Its positions will place the central Gulf Coast under an extended period of southwest flow aloft. Saturday the upper trough will begin to shift east and enhance our southwest flow. As it does showers and storms look to become more widespread. The trough will also be sending subtle waves through in pieces. Periods of heavier and more widespread rain will occur as these waves move overhead, but specific timing is not possible. With plenty of Gulf moisture rain could be locally heavy at times from any stronger storms this weekend, through right now about 2 inches area wide is in the forecast Saturday and Sunday. A front may then be coming through the central Gulf Coast Monday, but there have been inconsistencies in model runs beyond this weekend. Overall southwest flow is expected to remain in place aloft, therefore rain is carried in the forecast through the end of this package.


So not as rosy of a picture from LIX this afternoon, mentioned higher end potentials than I have eluded to. I don't know if the mention of two inches area wide is on a per day basis for the weekend or an overall (which is in line with what they've been saying previously). Note the timing of heavier stuff not being possible to nail down.

I'm still pretty damn optimistic about the parades going as scheduled, but there's some muddiness based on the discussion this afternoon.
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