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re: Morganza Spillway may or may not open for a 3rd time -- lack of clear info from ACoE

Posted on 3/14/19 at 8:29 am to
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
30004 posts
Posted on 3/14/19 at 8:29 am to
Miss River is smoking fast this morning moving through Mardi Gras pass. Friend of mine showed me a picture where small section of the levee just collapsed due to water load as the dirt just vanished and flowed towards Breton Sound (25-30 ft) yesterday around 4:45.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51433 posts
Posted on 3/14/19 at 8:39 am to
Pics?
Posted by link
Member since Feb 2009
19945 posts
Posted on 3/14/19 at 8:42 am to
quote:

For open channels, flow at a particular cross is primarily a function of energy slope, channel shape, flow depth, and bed roughness. It can be approximated using Manning's Equation.
damn man, i come here to get AWAY from work
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 3/14/19 at 8:47 am to
quote:

Bad storms now north of Memphis. Hopefully after this morning this shite will stop for a while.


Current mid range weather is looking good for interests along the river. Current model scenario has a dome of high pressure dominate east of the Rockies for the next week or so. Does suggest a warm up over snowpack but beats a warm-up plus rain.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42966 posts
Posted on 3/14/19 at 8:56 am to
Last night J Grimes said the river stage could be above 40 feet until mid April.

They will be vulnerable for a long period and high pressure in the mid range is good news.
Posted by Capt ST
High Plains
Member since Aug 2011
13706 posts
Posted on 3/14/19 at 1:38 pm to
Not projected to drop below 40' in BTR until 4-8.
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 3/14/19 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

until 4-8.


Lots of unforeseen variables between now and then. Like will opening
Morganza maintain the level in the 40s and keep it from going higher


This is all headed south
Major flooding in Nebraska

Link has more videos showing extent of flooding
This post was edited on 3/14/19 at 4:06 pm
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 3/14/19 at 9:48 pm to
Got a bunch if pics showing flooding in Nebraska. A lot of more cold water coming. High water and high crawfish prices
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 3/15/19 at 12:06 pm to
quote:


Got a bunch if pics showing flooding in Nebraska.


NWS Omaha forced to evacuate due to flooding

Dikes failing up in Nebraska, big floods in southern Iowa. The fears of the rainfall from our "bombcyclone" causing a rapid snowmelt are being realized.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42966 posts
Posted on 3/15/19 at 12:26 pm to
Is that a small problem or a major issue for the Mississippi?
Posted by September 1948
Member since Jun 2018
2133 posts
Posted on 3/15/19 at 12:33 pm to
There is a lot of flooding up in MN and IA and downstream that will be headed your way, too. A lot of people out of homes and roads flooded over.

Not sure but it seems a little early for this up here. A lot of snow and then rain on top and above freezing temps both night and day has accelerated it.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 3/15/19 at 12:34 pm to
Likely to be a major issue up in Missouri but note the Ohio River is the biggest contribution to flow. It's going to keep the river high for a while but I don't think it's going to push it higher than it is now.

All that said, hydrology of the Mississippi isn't an area of expertise for me. Some other baws who have been posting would know better than I do.

ETA: Good news is the midrange looks great for not getting rain across the Ohio and Tennessee rivers. Ensembles showing less than 2" of rain for the next two weeks. Shows it warm where the snowmelt is on going now but temps below average to the west of that.
This post was edited on 3/15/19 at 12:45 pm
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105863 posts
Posted on 3/15/19 at 12:56 pm to


Digging out cattle in South Dakota
Posted by 4LSU2
Member since Dec 2009
38157 posts
Posted on 3/15/19 at 1:31 pm to
I just saw a WWL tweet that the Bonnet Carre is slowly being closed.

That’s extremely encouraging to say the least.
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 3/15/19 at 1:58 pm to
Been seeing those videos
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178246 posts
Posted on 3/15/19 at 2:44 pm to
Whole lotta water about to head down from Nebraska/Iowa/Illinois.
Posted by tigers win2
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2009
3926 posts
Posted on 3/15/19 at 3:07 pm to
News crew filming sand bags/ water boil under “new” bridge in BR right now. BAton Rouge side along river road
This post was edited on 3/15/19 at 3:10 pm
Posted by Riolobo
On the lake
Member since Mar 2017
5241 posts
Posted on 3/15/19 at 3:17 pm to
There is a lot of water coming down, however the Mississippi will slowly fall even with the flooding in Nebraska and its neighboring states.
Posted by September 1948
Member since Jun 2018
2133 posts
Posted on 3/15/19 at 3:42 pm to
How can you say that? Have you looked at footage from up north to see what is headed on down that way when you already have flooding from north to south and in between?

Dams are washing out; feet of snow left to melt to add to it. many roads closed due to flooded out as well as towns evac'ed since they are under water.
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 3/15/19 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

Digging out cattle in South Dakota

So the cows just stand there until they're trapped in an icy tomb? Also, the mental image of a pristine freshly laid snowfield mooing makes me laugh.
This post was edited on 3/15/19 at 4:03 pm
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