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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 11/7/19 at 10:20 am to Theboot32
quote:
So what day(s) should I take off work to deer hunt?
It'll be wet Tuesday as the front will have just came through.
Wednesday and Thursday will be great. Both Euro and GFS (main forecast models) have all of the northshore and really all but basically south of 90 not getting above 50 either day with lows in the high 20s. It'll be a little breezy Wednesday at least. With the slug of dry air that comes with this kind of strong cold front, it'll be nice and clear.
Temps running a good 20 degrees below normal both days. Hell of a cold front for this time of year.
On the wintery precip front, deep dry cold air chasing the precip isn't a scenario that favors it.
Posted on 11/7/19 at 10:24 am to Salmon
quote:
north LA got snow early last November
Yeah, I got some wintery mix in the Eunice area.
Hope this isn't a sign of the same winter as last year. Cold early then 80s the rest of the season.
Posted on 11/7/19 at 10:31 am to upgrayedd
quote:
Yeah, I got some wintery mix in the Eunice area.
Possible with this system. I'd think north of Alexandria might get a window for some frozen stuff to fall and quickly melt.
quote:
Hope this isn't a sign of the same winter as last year. Cold early then 80s the rest of the season.
I'm leaning toward the idea of a similar winter to last year for most of the country. The east has been running a little warmer than normal for the better part of the last year+, and the big picture patterns look to be similar. Seasonal forecasting is a lot of guesswork though, so your guess is probably about as good as mine.
Posted on 11/7/19 at 11:31 am to TDsngumbo
I know what I need for hurricanes, but for a sleet event I'm a bit lost. How many loaves of bread will I need to buy for this?
Posted on 11/7/19 at 11:34 am to Jake88
About 3.50
Posted on 11/7/19 at 11:37 am to udtiger
quote:
Close the schools
East Baton Rouge Parish School's Facebook page
quote:
My baby ain't getting on nobody bus and ain't going to nobody school
Posted on 11/7/19 at 11:55 am to bayoubengals88
quote:
That is WACK! What is that 25 degrees below average??
The average hi/lo range historically for today is 75/51. I can't recall it ever getting this cold so early.
Posted on 11/7/19 at 12:09 pm to cyarrr
Gonna need double carhart
Posted on 11/7/19 at 12:38 pm to Duke
Thanks. That little won't cut in to my potted meat and bottled water budget.
Posted on 11/7/19 at 1:40 pm to cyarrr
quote:We struggled to get out of the 30s one day last November. It was pretty damn early as well.
The average hi/lo range historically for today is 75/51. I can't recall it ever getting this cold so early.
Edit:
Wow! ...nearly the same exact setup. This one is just colder on the low temps.
This was LAST November:
13th High 48 Low 37
14th High 40 Low 33
15th High 54 Low 30
This post was edited on 11/7/19 at 1:45 pm
Posted on 11/7/19 at 1:46 pm to bayoubengals88
Makes sense since the pattern looks really similar to last year. Wouldn't mind that too much, would yield some good skiing out west.
Posted on 11/7/19 at 4:33 pm to Duke
TWC channel showing 24 now!!! What?!?
Posted on 11/7/19 at 4:41 pm to Duke
any chance this doesn't happen dude?
low 30 in Nola on Tuesday. way too cold for me and my plants
low 30 in Nola on Tuesday. way too cold for me and my plants
Posted on 11/7/19 at 4:46 pm to bayoubengals88
NWS has 29 for BR.
I think that's going to be a degree or two high and we probably get our first hard freeze as our first real freeze.
Tuesday is going to be bitter though. Cloudy. Windy. LIX discussion alludes to the wind chill not getting much above 30 that day.
Not sure just how cold it gets, but no, one hell of a cold snap is coming. Modeling has been on this idea of days. It's a big feature driving it and a hell of an anomaly. These sorts of things pretty much always confirm.
I think that's going to be a degree or two high and we probably get our first hard freeze as our first real freeze.
Tuesday is going to be bitter though. Cloudy. Windy. LIX discussion alludes to the wind chill not getting much above 30 that day.
quote:
any chance this doesn't happen dude?
Not sure just how cold it gets, but no, one hell of a cold snap is coming. Modeling has been on this idea of days. It's a big feature driving it and a hell of an anomaly. These sorts of things pretty much always confirm.
This post was edited on 11/7/19 at 4:49 pm
Posted on 11/7/19 at 4:52 pm to TDsngumbo
The rain and the cold are going to make my satsumas get sweet. Been waiting for it.
Posted on 11/7/19 at 5:17 pm to Duke
damn dude. ok I'll keep this thread monitored and pray for a change to low of 38 instead of 30
Posted on 11/7/19 at 5:24 pm to upgrayedd
quote:
Hope this isn't a sign of the same winter as last year. Cold early then 80s the rest of the season.
Yeah that blows. I look forward to our 4-5 months of cool weather all year long.
Posted on 11/7/19 at 5:25 pm to TDsngumbo
The GFS is a shite model baw
Posted on 11/7/19 at 5:56 pm to The Boat
quote:
The GFS is a shite model baw
I wouldn't call it a shite model. Is it the most accurate? Nope, but it's one of the more reliable ones to look at. The most reliable one, the EURO, is also showing a very cold rain falling over BR while temperatures drop into the 30s through noon, then briefly warming into the low 40's until around 4:00pm then dropping fast again.
There's decent consistency for a hell of a cold snap along with some rain. Sleet isn't really a big possibility anymore but a very cold, windy, and rainy day is definitely in store for us.
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