re: Mid-November SLEET event for south Louisiana?

Colder again right? Any updates on precip?

quote:

---

Very cold air rushing in on the backside of the rain could drop temps
below freezing in the lowest few thousand feet of the atmosphere in
portions of southwest Mississippi and adjacent Louisiana parishes
Tuesday morning. A large warm layer aloft will keep any snow from
developing, but the shallow cold layer could help mix a few sleet
pellets for a couple hours Tuesday morning before all the moisture
exists. No frozen precip impacts expected. The actual impact coming
will be the first freezing event of this fall season. Continued
cloudiness and strong cold air advection will limit warming on
Tuesday. A few places on in northern portions of the CWA along the
SW MS border may not warm more than a few degrees all day. Going
into the overnight period, some models suggest we`ll pass the first
freeze and just go straight to hard freeze. ECMWF forecast lows for
Wed morning from I-12 northward are generally 20 to 25 degrees. That
seems a bit too cold since models shows 925 temps rising
considerably Tuesday night and there`s very little snowpack in the
mid section of the country. For those reasons, feel MAV and NBM have
a better handle on forecast low temps, which are still right at
record lows for the date. Thus, expect freeze and/or hard freeze
watch coming out tonight or tomorrow for Tuesday night.

---

NOAA

Jay Grimes said there was no shot at any wintry precip. Pretty big limb to walk out on

I guess they will go ahead and cancel school in Baton Rouge for Tuesday and Wednesday if the past year is any indication of how weak they are

quote:

---

Apparently they totally reversed that just now. Showing sleet and 33 degrees on future cast. Check that: I saw that on WBRZ’s future cast.

---

So clear skies and temperatures in the 50s. Gonna be beautiful.


Seriously —
It remains slightly possible that the BR area could see a very brief changeover to sleet before the moisture races on out of the area but I honestly would not expect it. If it happens, it should present zero traffic problems as temperatures should remain above freezing.

Look, I’m always one to hope for ice and snow but I’m also realistic and this set up doesn’t give me much hope whatsoever.

That 1047 high. That's gonna be chilly.

Do we need to wrap any pipes for this event? We aren’t under a hard freeze but I could see them adding it by tomorrow. I finally bought the house of my dreams and suddenly care about taking care of it all. Lol

My pipes are wrapped & I plan to leave kitchen & back bathroom sinks dripping tomorrow night

I went out got gas, bread, water. I am a bit confused by the preparation for a winter storm, but I went with what I know.

Sleeting here and 17 for a low tonight.