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Started By
Message
re: Louisiana R(t) down to 0.91
Posted on 8/15/21 at 1:57 pm to rocket31
Posted on 8/15/21 at 1:57 pm to rocket31
quote:Did I say that they would have no cases?
meanwhile in reality, NYC just had highest number of cases ever yesterday for this wave
This peak for NYC will be far lower than the previous two peaks.
The high level of prior infection there from the earlier peaks will keep the cases lower.
1
Posted on 8/15/21 at 2:07 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Delta entered from the south would be my guess.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 2:37 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Thank you King Emperor Edwards 
Posted on 8/15/21 at 2:41 pm to c on z
quote:
18 months is sure one heck of a sample size to call this seasonal.
You missed the point, dummy! There have been spikes in every area. In the south we have seen late summer spikes both years. This is theorized to be due to the fact that summer is the season in which we are cloistered inside. The analogous season for the yankees is winter, so we can expect their spike to be then.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 2:41 pm to c on z
quote:
18 months is sure one heck of a sample size to call this seasonal.
Your stupidity is truly incredible to behold.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 2:45 pm to Turbeauxdog
quote:
Delta entered from the south would be my guess.
Although not yet below 1, R(t) is trending downwards in the northern states as well. They just had higher vaccination rates so the hospitalizations didn't get as out of control and the cases didn't have the same rate of rapid increase that you saw in the south.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 2:52 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Jbe says it’s dire and nothing looks good, data, science and common sense are alt right weapons of terror
Posted on 8/15/21 at 3:26 pm to PentagonTiger
quote:
Although not yet below 1, R(t) is trending downwards in the northern states as well. They just had higher vaccination rates so the hospitalizations didn't get as out of control and the cases didn't have the same rate of rapid increase that you saw in the south.
They are about 2 weeks behind.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 3:28 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Why is the shaded area around the line so large for ours? Margin of error?
Posted on 8/15/21 at 3:54 pm to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
When was the Rt so damn sky high? What are the dates for those?
Posted on 8/15/21 at 3:57 pm to Shaun176
The surge will be over by 9/1, book it.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 4:06 pm to CBP3110
quote:
The surge will be over by 9/1, book it.
It's already over but hospital staffing incompetence will persist.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 4:07 pm to Jwho77
quote:
It's already over but hospital staffing incompetence will persist.
Hospitals are offering contract nurses $100/hr and still cant get anybody
Posted on 8/15/21 at 4:09 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Posted on 8/15/21 at 4:13 pm to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
quote:
Springfield, MO, which was the earliest surge for delta in the US, peaked on July 12 - that was the exact day that it’s R(t) fell to 1.0. The peak was 213 infections per 100k, and they are now at 57 infections per 100k, closing in on it’s presurge levels. Hospitalizations peak trailed by about 2 weeks.
So that trend would support a drop in hospitalizations in LA of around 8/24 since LA’s Rt fell to 1.0 on 8/10.
If it’s based on the RT falling to 1.0, I would not be surprised to see LA’s hospitalization fall sooner since the 3 biggest areas hit 1.0 earlier; JP (8/02), Orleans (8/03) & BR (8/06)
Posted on 8/16/21 at 7:25 am to Weekend Warrior79
Out of 64 Parishes:
8/1/21
Rt under 1: 2
Rt between 1 and 1.10: 1
8/16/21
Rt under 1: 51
Rt between 1 and 1.10: 9
8/1/21
Rt under 1: 2
Rt between 1 and 1.10: 1
8/16/21
Rt under 1: 51
Rt between 1 and 1.10: 9
Posted on 8/16/21 at 7:27 am to bbap
That’s called being on the downside of a surge.
Posted on 8/16/21 at 7:29 am to Oilfieldbiology
The other 4 parishes still above 1.10 are also still downtrending as well, just a bit behind the others.
Posted on 8/16/21 at 7:55 am to Cosmo
A friend of many decades is at a hospital in NOLA. Yesterday ER was full all day long, 2nd lining to get to the ER. None had symptoms. They got the rapid test (antibodies) and around 75% positive.
Probably there to get that negative with 72 hrs test to get into a public place
Probably there to get that negative with 72 hrs test to get into a public place
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