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Started By
Message
re: Louisiana Ice Storm Thread *Winter Storm Warning*
Posted on 2/4/21 at 7:04 am to tgrbaitn08
Posted on 2/4/21 at 7:04 am to tgrbaitn08
Turning off your water and water heater is cheap piece of mind if a freeze concerns you.
3
Posted on 2/4/21 at 8:25 am to PhillyTiger90
quote:You're really out on that limb there.
Highly doubt NOLA sees anything
Posted on 2/4/21 at 9:22 am to Jake88
Models are starting to pull back on the snow already. Maybe some sleet and ice pellets. Still a long ways out.
Posted on 2/4/21 at 9:22 am to Jake88
GFS backed off and went back to the Arkansas/Northern Louisiana winter storm I was talking about on page 1. Plenty of time to go.
Posted on 2/4/21 at 9:27 am to Bigfishchoupique
quote:
Turning off your water and water heater is cheap piece of mind if a freeze concerns you.
Just don't forget to drain your pipes as well...
Posted on 2/4/21 at 9:28 am to The Boat
quote:
GFS backed off and went back to the Arkansas/Northern Louisiana winter storm I was talking about on page 1. Plenty of time to go.
The current look on the GFS for around Feb. 12 is a rough look. It would likely be a significant ice storm for northern Lousiana, and much of Mississippi and Alabama. Along with some snow behind the ice for northern MS and northern AL. It will likely continue to change, though, so we shall see.
This post was edited on 2/4/21 at 9:30 am
Posted on 2/4/21 at 10:13 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Placing my bets this turns into more of an event for Ga, Bama, N Fla.
Seems these things always trend further easy that initial model runs show
Seems these things always trend further easy that initial model runs show
Posted on 2/4/21 at 10:24 am to Roll Tide Ravens
12z GFS has shifted the system further to the north. Would be an ice event for Arkansas, NW Mississippi and Tennessee.
But this thing will continue to change so there is no reason to get caught up in every individual model run. (I'm partially talking to myself, here).
But this thing will continue to change so there is no reason to get caught up in every individual model run. (I'm partially talking to myself, here).
This post was edited on 2/4/21 at 10:26 am
Posted on 2/4/21 at 11:16 am to Roll Tide Ravens
GFS Ensembles still paint the possibilities here.
Posted on 2/4/21 at 11:37 am to lsugolfredman
15 would be an absolute shite show
Posted on 2/4/21 at 12:43 pm to Dire Wolf
Euro still on board
This post was edited on 2/4/21 at 12:54 pm
Posted on 2/4/21 at 12:44 pm to lsugolfredman
I don’t pay attention to winter models. What is most respected models in terms of winter weather?
Posted on 2/4/21 at 12:45 pm to Bigfishchoupique
quote:
Turning off your water and water heater is cheap piece of mind if a freeze concerns you.
Thats what I plan on doing, but Im wondering if I should keep my pool pump running the entire time and turn my main water to the house off and drain the lines
Posted on 2/4/21 at 12:48 pm to Dire Wolf
Global models such as the GFS and Euro are still considered the best for overall pattern recognition.
With that said, once we're within 3-4 days of a winter event, the NAM, which goes out 84 hours is better at temperature profiles, which translates to determining winter precip chances. Otherwise, the HRRR and RAP models are run hourly out to 24 hour. They will obviously produce more detailed results for exact locations with winter precip
With that said, once we're within 3-4 days of a winter event, the NAM, which goes out 84 hours is better at temperature profiles, which translates to determining winter precip chances. Otherwise, the HRRR and RAP models are run hourly out to 24 hour. They will obviously produce more detailed results for exact locations with winter precip
This post was edited on 2/4/21 at 12:49 pm
Posted on 2/4/21 at 12:50 pm to Dire Wolf
quote:
respected models in terms of winter weather
I have come to respect these two
Posted on 2/4/21 at 12:59 pm to lsugolfredman
You haven't lived the New Orleans life until you've helped a friend replace busted elbows and split pipes below his classic raised Victorian uptown near Audubon Park.
Posted on 2/4/21 at 1:59 pm to real turf fan
Adding to the prior images for the 12z Euro model. Freezing rain totals would not be a pretty sight.
Posted on 2/4/21 at 2:11 pm to lsugolfredman
If Baton Rouge gets anywhere close to that amount of FREEZING RAIN we will be out of power for two weeks.
This post was edited on 2/4/21 at 2:17 pm
Posted on 2/4/21 at 2:35 pm to TDsngumbo
Latest EURO numbers:
Friday 2/12 at Noon
Saturday 2/13 at 6:00am
Saturday 2/13 at Noon
Sunday 2/14 at 6:00am
This is King EURO, baws. The EURO and GFS both agree on something significant happening at this point.
Friday 2/12 at Noon
Saturday 2/13 at 6:00am
Saturday 2/13 at Noon
Sunday 2/14 at 6:00am
This is King EURO, baws. The EURO and GFS both agree on something significant happening at this point.
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