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Started By
Message
re: Louisiana Ice Storm Thread *Winter Storm Warning*
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:23 pm to TDsngumbo
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:23 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
331
FXUS64 KLIX 090004
AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
604 PM CST Mon Feb 8 2021
.AVIATION...Valid 090000Z-100600Z
MVFR cigs continue this evening across SE LA and Southern MS with
light scattered showers generally along and south of the tidal
lakes. VSBYS and Cigs will deteriorate through the evening and
into the overnight hours as abundant moisture and light to calm
winds allow IFR to LIFR conditions to develop. Conditions should
improve by mid morning. (JFL)
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 341 PM CST Mon Feb 8 2021/
SHORT TERM...
Clear and cool weather conditions today with winds remaining fairly
light. Dewpoints will begin their climb tonight and maintain in the
mid/low 60s through at least Thursday. Temperatures will follow suit
rising warmer than normal to the mid/low 70s. The dewpoints are
looking to rise well above the surface water temps. With this, the
main concern that may cause hazardous impacts in the short term is
some light/moderate sea fog advection starting late tonight and
lasting through Thursday. Increased moisture will allow for some
light showers tonight into Tuesday. There is a slight chance for
some thunder with this, however it looks like the most of it is
likely to occur offshore. Expect some occasional light/moderate fog
to affect most areas that are south of I-12 in LA and I-10 on the MS
coast. The next cold front should move through the area at some
point during the afternoon/evening on Thursday bringing rain chances
back up to 90%. /TDB/
LONG TERM...
Temperatures still trending above normal Thursday with rain chances
increased ahead the cold front. Isolated thunderstorms and
widespread showers expected to last through Friday morning before
clearing out.
Still not very confident in the forecast as it pertains to
temperatures this weekend. The GFS guidance is showing outrageously
freezing tempsfor the Friday to Sunday timeframe, but given the
trend of conditions this looks very unlikely. The Euro showed min
temps at or just below freezing for areas mainly north of the lake
so trended the temps closer to that.
No major changes were made to the forecast beyond the minor
adjustments to the max/min temps for the Friday-Sunday time frame./TDB/
quote:
but given the
trend of conditions this looks very unlikely.
GET THE FIREWOOD READY NOW IT'S GONNA GET frickING COLD
This post was edited on 2/8/21 at 7:26 pm
0
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:23 pm to Jim Rockford
Polar vortex should be named after hockey player. Polar vortex jaromir jager will be a beast
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:26 pm to Roman reigns
According to our Accuweather, Saturday night is a low of 6 with a "feels like" of 18. A heat index in the middle of winter?
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:37 pm to SSpaniel
TWC - I know it’s not the NWS - has reintroduced freezing drizzle and snow showers into the forecast for me north of the St. Amant business district (Delaune’s Grocery/Delaune’s Do It Center/ Carl’s Computers/Family Dollar).
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:37 pm to OchoDedos
My Weather channel app has updated to a high of 40 and low of 27 on Sunday...this is for BR area. If anyone wants me to check their area just let me know
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:38 pm to LSUsmartass
quote:
My Weather channel app has updated to a high of 40 and low of 27 on Sunday...this is for BR area. If anyone wants me to check their area just let me know
This would be peak laziness.
Sign on to a website just to ask someone else to sign on to another website to check the weather for them.
eta: the same info in the weather channel app is at weather.com
This post was edited on 2/8/21 at 7:39 pm
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:39 pm to GEAUXmedic
I'm not sure everyone has the weather channel app...just trying to help out
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:41 pm to Jim Rockford
quote:
I sort of miss the names tbh
They still name them. We just got done with winter storm Orlena. By "they" I mean The Weather Channel.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:42 pm to GEAUXmedic
Haha!
Man this crap is gonna cause people to shite themselves if anything close verifies.
Man this crap is gonna cause people to shite themselves if anything close verifies.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:44 pm to LegendInMyMind
I still get a kick out of people getting irrationally mad that they name winter storms.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:44 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
Man this crap is gonna cause people to shite themselves if anything close verifies.
Don't! The warmth only lasts a few minutes and the cleanup is nasty and embarrassing.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:44 pm to GEAUXmedic
My weather channel for Sunday is high 39 low 26
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:46 pm to bigberg2000
quote:
I still get a kick out of people getting irrationally mad that they name winter storms.
I mean it is The Weather Channel, a television station that covers weather. They are in the ratings game. Weather is second. When the NWS starts naming them, I may bitch a little.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:47 pm to GEAUXmedic
NWS Dallas Forecast Discussion ...
By the weekend, another strong push of cold air is forecast across
the Southern Plains, with the cold front arriving on Saturday.
Both the GFS and ECMWF show much below normal temperatures through
the weekend, but vary significantly with regards to just how cold
it gets. The GFS is much colder than the ECMWF and indicates
temperatures that would be among the coldest we have seen here in
decades. Specifically, the GFS is forecasting low temperatures by
Sunday morning to be near 0 F (and possibly even sub-zero near the
Red River). If this came to fruition, it would be the coldest
temperatures since the Arctic Outbreak of December 1989 (and the
coldest temperatures in North Texas in my lifetime!). The ECMWF is
not as cold, but still rather chilly. The ECMWF shows
temperatures on Sunday morning bottoming out in the upper teens to
lower 20s, which while still cold, is not quite as remarkable as
the GFS. The official forecast is colder than the ECMWF, but is
much warmer than the GFS`s extremely cold temperatures. It should
be stressed that while there is a wide range of possible outcomes
ranging from near 0 F to the mid 20s, either way, we are looking
to have the coldest temperatures of the winter so far by this
weekend and into early next week. Even in the warmer solutions,
precautions will need to be taken to protect people, plants, pets,
and pipes. Furthermore, additional rounds of frozen precipitation
will be possible with the initial cold front passage on Saturday,
then again by Monday as another upper-level shortwave trough
moves through. Right now, the models are all over the place with
regards to amounts, so the message for now is some amount of
frozen precipitation looks likely across the region on Saturday
and possibly again on Monday, but amounts are highly uncertain at
this time.
Nobody knows what to believe.
By the weekend, another strong push of cold air is forecast across
the Southern Plains, with the cold front arriving on Saturday.
Both the GFS and ECMWF show much below normal temperatures through
the weekend, but vary significantly with regards to just how cold
it gets. The GFS is much colder than the ECMWF and indicates
temperatures that would be among the coldest we have seen here in
decades. Specifically, the GFS is forecasting low temperatures by
Sunday morning to be near 0 F (and possibly even sub-zero near the
Red River). If this came to fruition, it would be the coldest
temperatures since the Arctic Outbreak of December 1989 (and the
coldest temperatures in North Texas in my lifetime!). The ECMWF is
not as cold, but still rather chilly. The ECMWF shows
temperatures on Sunday morning bottoming out in the upper teens to
lower 20s, which while still cold, is not quite as remarkable as
the GFS. The official forecast is colder than the ECMWF, but is
much warmer than the GFS`s extremely cold temperatures. It should
be stressed that while there is a wide range of possible outcomes
ranging from near 0 F to the mid 20s, either way, we are looking
to have the coldest temperatures of the winter so far by this
weekend and into early next week. Even in the warmer solutions,
precautions will need to be taken to protect people, plants, pets,
and pipes. Furthermore, additional rounds of frozen precipitation
will be possible with the initial cold front passage on Saturday,
then again by Monday as another upper-level shortwave trough
moves through. Right now, the models are all over the place with
regards to amounts, so the message for now is some amount of
frozen precipitation looks likely across the region on Saturday
and possibly again on Monday, but amounts are highly uncertain at
this time.
Nobody knows what to believe.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:55 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
This would be peak laziness.
Sign on to a website just to ask someone else to sign on to another website to check the weather for them.
Seriously! That is insanely lazy.
Hey LSUsmartass, 70070. How's it looking?
Posted on 2/8/21 at 8:05 pm to TheDude
For Sunday...high of 45 and low of 34
Posted on 2/8/21 at 8:09 pm to LSUsmartass
What time do you think the rain will hit New Orleans Thursday?
This post was edited on 2/8/21 at 8:13 pm
Posted on 2/8/21 at 8:11 pm to Double Oh
quote:
When time
That should be the correct phrasing.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 8:14 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
When time
That should be the correct phrasing.
Fixed carry on
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