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Louisiana curve starting to flatten?

Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:08 pm
Posted by I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
27843 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:08 pm
LINK

Do you think the slope change in the graph on the number of cases is the lack of testing over the weekend or a real slowdown in the growth of cases??
Posted by jnethe1
Pearland
Member since Dec 2012
18172 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:09 pm to
Playing in the ditches of Louisiana has a unique ability to strengthen your immune system.
Posted by AMS
Member since Apr 2016
6541 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:09 pm to
It’s testing. Virus has been around for months. The variable is testing effort.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
76151 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:09 pm to
With the delay in getting results, the weekend slow down shouldn't be reflected yet.
Posted by crazyLSUstudent
391 miles away from Tiger Stadium
Member since Mar 2012
6206 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:10 pm to
We are not even close to "flattening the curve"
Posted by RougeDawg
Member since Jul 2016
7754 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:10 pm to
That is just the data as of 9:30 today. Don't know why they are even showing a partial day.
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
37602 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:10 pm to
If testing expands significantly cases will increase significantly.
Posted by Sao
East Texas Piney Woods
Member since Jun 2009
68469 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:10 pm to

Lack of testing and results turnaround. Just that simple really no matter what you read right now.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88346 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

is the lack of testing over the weekend

1- is there an actual lack of testing over the weekend?
2- if there is, that won't be reflected until Monday-Thursday based on results turnaround time
Posted by Roscoe
Member since Sep 2007
3102 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:11 pm to
Lack of testing.

Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
111647 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

With the delay in getting results, the weekend slow down shouldn't be reflected yet.


Did these testing facilities really take the weekend off? I would think this distinction would be rather meaningless at this point, no?
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49579 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:11 pm to
No, backlog of over 3000 tests are supposed to be announced tomorrow. Except case numbers to jump - not because of extended spread but because of delayed results.

It will scare people but the data doesn’t really move the needle
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
67008 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:13 pm to
Flattening the curve = Dragging out the curve
Posted by I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
27843 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:15 pm to
Yeah they shouldn’t have graphed the 22nd data until the day was over
Posted by Jimmy2shoes
The South
Member since Mar 2014
11004 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:15 pm to
Gonna flatten something. Might not be the curve
Posted by OKellsBells
USA
Member since Dec 2016
5264 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:18 pm to
Pics help

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Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
76199 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:22 pm to
The veracity of these statistics are akin to posting a totally blind person on Times Square and asking them to tell you how many people are in Times Square.

These numbers should not be termed statistics, they are snapshots.

Trying to track the spread of a virus which shows little to no signs in a goodly percentage of those infected without overwhelming correct testing data makes this exercise more like groping the dark than science.
Posted by jamiegla1
Member since Aug 2016
7986 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:22 pm to
ONE data point makes it appear to flatten..last night's. You cant assume anything off of that single point
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
76151 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

Did these testing facilities really take the weekend off? I would think this distinction would be rather meaningless at this point, no?

On Friday, it was taking several days for results to come back. That wouldn't change on Saturday.
So, even if they did slow down for the weekend, those tests taken yesterday and today won't be in until Tuesday or Wednesday probably.
Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
3180 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:24 pm to
Focus on number of deaths not infections.

Of course there is an effect.

We won't be able to see any effect until next weekend.
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