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Message

Louisiana curve starting to flatten?
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:08 pm
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:08 pm
LINK
Do you think the slope change in the graph on the number of cases is the lack of testing over the weekend or a real slowdown in the growth of cases??
Do you think the slope change in the graph on the number of cases is the lack of testing over the weekend or a real slowdown in the growth of cases??
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:09 pm to I B Freeman
Playing in the ditches of Louisiana has a unique ability to strengthen your immune system.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:09 pm to I B Freeman
It’s testing. Virus has been around for months. The variable is testing effort.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:09 pm to I B Freeman
With the delay in getting results, the weekend slow down shouldn't be reflected yet.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:10 pm to I B Freeman
We are not even close to "flattening the curve"
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:10 pm to I B Freeman
That is just the data as of 9:30 today. Don't know why they are even showing a partial day.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:10 pm to I B Freeman
If testing expands significantly cases will increase significantly.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:10 pm to I B Freeman
Lack of testing and results turnaround. Just that simple really no matter what you read right now.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:10 pm to I B Freeman
quote:
is the lack of testing over the weekend
1- is there an actual lack of testing over the weekend?
2- if there is, that won't be reflected until Monday-Thursday based on results turnaround time
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:11 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
With the delay in getting results, the weekend slow down shouldn't be reflected yet.
Did these testing facilities really take the weekend off? I would think this distinction would be rather meaningless at this point, no?
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:11 pm to I B Freeman
No, backlog of over 3000 tests are supposed to be announced tomorrow. Except case numbers to jump - not because of extended spread but because of delayed results.
It will scare people but the data doesn’t really move the needle
It will scare people but the data doesn’t really move the needle
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:13 pm to I B Freeman
Flattening the curve = Dragging out the curve
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:15 pm to I B Freeman
Yeah they shouldn’t have graphed the 22nd data until the day was over
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:15 pm to I B Freeman
Gonna flatten something. Might not be the curve 
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:22 pm to I B Freeman
The veracity of these statistics are akin to posting a totally blind person on Times Square and asking them to tell you how many people are in Times Square.
These numbers should not be termed statistics, they are snapshots.
Trying to track the spread of a virus which shows little to no signs in a goodly percentage of those infected without overwhelming correct testing data makes this exercise more like groping the dark than science.
These numbers should not be termed statistics, they are snapshots.
Trying to track the spread of a virus which shows little to no signs in a goodly percentage of those infected without overwhelming correct testing data makes this exercise more like groping the dark than science.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:22 pm to I B Freeman
ONE data point makes it appear to flatten..last night's. You cant assume anything off of that single point
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:24 pm to Y.A. Tittle
quote:
Did these testing facilities really take the weekend off? I would think this distinction would be rather meaningless at this point, no?
On Friday, it was taking several days for results to come back. That wouldn't change on Saturday.
So, even if they did slow down for the weekend, those tests taken yesterday and today won't be in until Tuesday or Wednesday probably.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:24 pm to I B Freeman
Focus on number of deaths not infections.
Of course there is an effect.
We won't be able to see any effect until next weekend.
Of course there is an effect.
We won't be able to see any effect until next weekend.
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