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re: Layoffs all over

Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:10 am to
Posted by DabosDynasty
Member since Apr 2017
5179 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:10 am to
quote:

While somewhat of a chicken/egg argument hospitals have largely don't this to themselves. When hospitals pay travel nurses 3 times (or more) than what their normal pay is it just drives more nurses to travel so effectively 2 nurses switch jobs and both hospitals raise their labor cost for that one staff position multiple times and get nurses that are then likely less effective in their position because they are "new" to the particular hospital.

I know it is more complicated but this is a big part of the problem. Not such an issue before it became so widespread.


You’re exactly right. Part in response to extreme census in many places, part in response to layoffs in others who chose to layoff thinking they could rehire easily as electives were stopped in some states for much longer (NY, CA, etc). Part in response to the stress of those who stayed either having enough and cashing in for themselves for a while or being close enough and comfortable enough to retire. But what do you do when you’re over 100% occupancy and less staffed than you were in regular business that was based around 85-90% occupancy?

It’s starting to correct here lately as clinical staff come back “home” for a year or so of travel pay, but labor costs for rehires are higher than when they left. Not just nurses either, travel work just popped up for many levels of clinicians: nurses, surgical techs, MAs, etc.
Posted by jnethe1
Pearland
Member since Dec 2012
16143 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:11 am to
quote:

Little guys are going to be chasing barrels like crazy.


This is the only potential issue I see. But with the current administration the access to drilling is limited somewhat.
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
21234 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:11 am to
quote:

come to the oilfield. it's busier than ever.


I don’t know…2016 through 2017 coming out of the 2014/2015 downslope was an unorganized mess for a while. It had good structure prior to Covid crash.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
37503 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:12 am to
quote:

pretty sure petrochem industry is doing just fine right now, same with medical.


Petrochemical was doing incredibly well when natural gas and light ends where dirt cheap. They are still doing well now, but not as well as a year ago.

Fertilizer is/was printing money
Posted by DabosDynasty
Member since Apr 2017
5179 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:13 am to
quote:

Like I said it is currently unsustainable. And like a previous poster stated, there is not enough students in the pipeline to fill the vacant positions. Its going to be rough for a couple of years in healthcare.


I think we’re going to look back on this as the inflection point that really broke healthcare. Lot was wrong before, which helped make this so bad, but I think it’s going to be more than a couple of years. It’s going to fundamentally change because I don’t think all of the shortages are going to correct appropriately.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
37503 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:13 am to
quote:

nurses, radiology, lab, pharmacy,


Is there a common denominator about these professions?
Posted by Jarlaxle
Calimport
Member since Dec 2010
2869 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:15 am to
quote:

Fertilizer is/was printing money


CF Industries set a first quarter record setting
1.2 billion.

We good
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
37503 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:15 am to
quote:

I've heard/seen this sentiment (both individual and company) too many times to believe differently. Eventually game theory will take over and somebody will try and capture as much market share as possible.


Maybe, but the current discipline that's allowing them to make serious bank is allowed them to weather 2018-2020 pretty well.

I hope these lessons aren’t soon forgotten.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
9440 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:16 am to
That is why I have some fertilizer manufacturing units for sale. Trying to put enough together for a client in Ukraine with a brand new ammonia plant to feed the train. The funny thing is that there is plenty in storage from last year, at least in barge ports up the Mississippi River.
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
14896 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:16 am to
Wife is in health care and it really starts at the top. Drs make bad business people but when you let shady business people sweet talk you into big positions they try to treat everything like a factory or sweat shop and they cause the staffing issues.

Accounting can get away with some staffing shortages and such by working the new people to the bone and paying enough to keep vets around. Of course if you want out the cycle you can move size of firms and still make money with less stress.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
37503 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:17 am to
quote:

Certain specialties already had challenges that have grown worse.


Which ones?
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
9440 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:18 am to
A client is building a new distillation plant in Houston. All engineering is inhouse. Just sold but not yet shipped some large stainless distillation columns (thank you Obama alternative fuels from biomass plants for your epic failures) along with associated equipment and tankage. This is a small private company which landed a contract to process for a multinational.
Posted by UnoDelgado
Covington
Member since Nov 2019
535 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:22 am to
My employer (transportation) just increased sign on bonus from $10k to $20k.
Posted by sawtooth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2017
3588 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:23 am to
Gonna be a great time to get those minority numbers in check.

Which demographic and gender do you suppose will be let go first?
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84094 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:26 am to
quote:

it comes down to hire a travel nurse or other travel staff, or close beds and reduce capacity.


You forgot the third option of better compensation and treatment of staff nurses.
quote:

Believer me, I've tried hiring travel at a reduced rate, the agency will happily post your position for their staff knowing that no one is going to accept it and you will eventually raise your offer to the going rate. Like I said it is currently unsustainable. And like a previous poster stated, there is not enough students in the pipeline to fill the vacant positions. Its going to be rough for a couple of years in healthcare.


Starting to see how yall got in this pickle when you don't even acknowledge how you get there.
Posted by Tigeralum2008
Yankees Fan
Member since Apr 2012
17137 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:26 am to
quote:

In fact almost all of my clients while even in a recession are pedal to metal buildings expanding and trying to hire.



That's incredibly dangerous for those companies. Imagine being overleveraged on new investments and not seeing a payoff due to the downturn.
Posted by kciDAtaE
Member since Apr 2017
15759 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:27 am to
The layoff are all over! Nice. I didn’t realize people were getting let go. At least they are over and done with
Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
30258 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:29 am to
quote:

My employer (transportation) just increased sign on bonus from $10k to $20k.


For truck drivers? I know a guy that started driving trucks about 3 years ago and he’s living life and making bank.

If the shite hit the fan for me in my job, I’d consider it but I think a bad driving record would likely disqualify me.
Posted by Palmetto98
Where the stars are big and bright
Member since Nov 2021
2145 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:30 am to
How can there be layoffs when consumer spending is high! The economy is fine!
This post was edited on 6/14/22 at 8:31 am
Posted by oldcharlie8
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2012
7806 posts
Posted on 6/14/22 at 8:31 am to
quote:

2016 through 2017


50% of drilling companies filed bankruptcy during this stretch.
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