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Message
re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update
Posted on 8/22/20 at 11:56 pm to fightin tigers
Posted on 8/22/20 at 11:56 pm to fightin tigers
quote:
So you are taking the 1000 miles of gulf coast vs a city 10 miles wide.
Bold prediction.
The media...TWC has been pumping it with their “cones”. .... I can’t wait to revisit this Monday morning.
2
Posted on 8/22/20 at 11:58 pm to Dlab2013
quote:
The media...TWC has been pumping it with their “cones”. .... I can’t wait to revisit this Monday morning.
You can't wait to revisit cones that everyone and their brother knows will move and shrink as the storm progresses?
Posted on 8/22/20 at 11:58 pm to Dlab2013
So 10-12 hours out on Marco landfall and we should have a good idea.
Another bold prediction.
Another bold prediction.
Posted on 8/22/20 at 11:58 pm to GEAUXmedic
Reviewing the newest GFS ensembles.
Only 3 members (out of 20) go west of the LA/TX border. So perhaps not the best assumption that LA is in the clear.
Only 3 members (out of 20) go west of the LA/TX border. So perhaps not the best assumption that LA is in the clear.
Posted on 8/22/20 at 11:59 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Still can't believe how close the HWRF was in predicting presentation and location.
And they have been for at least 24 hours now. This is why I am so curious to see what they say will happen in the next 24 hours. Do they show it going through the Florida straight or the Western tip of Cuba? I’m hinging my bets on their short term solution more so than any other model.
Posted on 8/22/20 at 11:59 pm to fightin tigers
quote:
Does that mean anything for future predictions or is it kind of like even a blind mouse finding cheese?
It means it should be trusted more in the short term, but these models are rerun so often that they typically catch up.
Posted on 8/22/20 at 11:59 pm to fightin tigers
Once these storms make landfall, I’ll be able to tell y’all exactly where they went
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:00 am to burdman
quote:
Once these storms make landfall, I’ll be able to tell y’all exactly where they went
Bookmarked
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:00 am to slackster
And no hard feelings slackster...... I just disagree with the current forecast. I see some rain bands hitting MS/Bama/FL from Marco, I’m not debating Laura, but she might end up in TX, who knows. Nobody will know until Monday morning..
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:04 am to Dlab2013
quote:
And no hard feelings slackster
You don't have to worry about that around here.
I came up interested in weather threads when Tiger(ah?)Rag ruled the roost. What a dick he was, RIP.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:05 am to weurf3
this HWRF run is running Laura tip to tip across Cuba
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:08 am to rt3
This should go west too.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:08 am to rt3
End result of this HWRF run will assuredly be much further west. Weaker storm exiting Cuba will be steered by the ridge before allowed to turn north
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:09 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Still can't believe how close the HWRF was in predicting presentation and location.
It has been great in regards to Laura, and with everything going against it.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:13 am to notiger1997
quote:Not really. The forecast maps there now haven’t been updated since 4 this afternoon. I’m starting to think rds dc has a life outside of this thread. Bastard!!
Click on the first page of this thread. The maps there are updated with each new advisory.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:14 am to slackster
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/18/21 at 3:41 pm
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:16 am to LSURussian
He linked to the cone maps that auto update.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:19 am to Python
quote:
He linked to the cone maps that auto update.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:20 am to slackster
quote:
You don't have to worry about that around here.
10-4. I just see a messed up Marco being pushed East toward Mobile Bay..........Which will alter Laura.
Guess we will all just see what happens.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:21 am to Dlab2013
quote:
The cones have a 38% rate and have shifted by 300+ miles in the last 2 days.
Here we go.
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