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Started By
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2
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:23 am to BigB0882
quote:
Not saying he is wrong but Larry Cosgrove is based out of Houston. Wishcasting is a very real thing and he may want the viewers and ratings.
Never got that vibe from him whatsoever. He doesn’t charge for his information.
This post was edited on 8/23/20 at 12:31 am
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:24 am to lsugolfredman
quote:
Despite the lower trajectory from Cuba, the HWRF is in the exact same spot as the last run. It will not be going westward
12 mb weaker though... got that going for ya
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:25 am to slackster
quote:
I came up interested in weather threads when Tiger(ah?)Rag ruled the roost. What a dick he was, RIP.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:30 am to lsugolfredman
quote:
Despite the lower trajectory from Cuba, the HWRF is in the exact same spot as the last run. It will not be going westward
The HMON is coming back to the right on this run as well.
HWRF isn't as aggressive either on strength (though still gonna be a Cat 3 by landfall) and a little left of the last run. Nice to finally have the models coming closer together, even if the GFS is still drifting west. Guess I'm going to stay up and watch the Euro roll in...
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:31 am to Dlab2013
brah I don't know what you do in the weather world but maybe this is why the weathermen can't report the weather going on outside our windows these days
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:34 am to Duke
Where does HMON and HWRF make landfall? I saw one image of HMON and it appears to be SWLA? Which is another shift east. What about. HWRF? Haven’t seen much on that.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:38 am to BigB0882
quote:
I saw one image of HMON and it appears to be SWLA?
HMON is SWLA.
Again folks, don't freak too much at the pressure yet. It's just telling us conditions are favorable for strengthening across the Gulf.
HWRF is stuck at 70something hours, but figure it's going to end up more central LA but west of the last run.
Starting to narrow our focus to between the mouth of the Mississippi and Galveston with all these runs tonight.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:38 am to Duke
Is this good for NOLA?
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:40 am to Tunasntigers92
quote:
Is this good for NOLA?
If it ends up that far west, yes it would be.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:40 am to Tunasntigers92
This post was edited on 8/23/20 at 12:42 am
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:41 am to deuce985
HWRF just keeps on trucking
This post was edited on 8/23/20 at 12:42 am
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:42 am to Duke
I'm very ill informed, is this a new track saying it'll hit far west?
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:43 am to lsugolfredman
quote:
HWRF just keeps on trucking
drops the pressure like 30 mb in the last 18 hours before landfall
ETA: use the HWRF for location... not intensity (at least not right now)
This post was edited on 8/23/20 at 12:48 am
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:46 am to Tunasntigers92
quote:
I'm very ill informed, is this a new track saying it'll hit far west?
No. These are computer models the forecasters use to make the track predictions. If you don't know much about them, follow the NHC paths shown in the first post of the thread.
All this stuff is suggesting the eventual path may be farther west than currently predicted but it's subject to change. Right now, between the Mouth of the Mississippi and Galveston Island look like potential targets.
We won't be more certain until Monday most likely.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:46 am to Duke
Thanks duke
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:46 am to rt3
quote:
drops the pressure like 30 mb in the last 18 hours before landfall
I will say, it has never really wavered on intensity for 3 days now. Kind of impressive.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:48 am to Tunasntigers92
quote:
I'm very ill informed, is this a new track saying it'll hit far west?
The only thing in a model run that should matter to a layman is trends. You don't have to know the particulars to watch for trends from run-to-run.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:49 am to LegendInMyMind
Are you thinking it will continue on a Westerly track?
Posted on 8/23/20 at 12:51 am to Duke
Huge sigh of (temporary) relief when I saw you post that
Not sure why I’m so stressed out about these storms. Been through it before
Not sure why I’m so stressed out about these storms. Been through it before
This post was edited on 8/23/20 at 12:52 am
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