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Started By
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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:52 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:52 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
10pm CDT cone for Marco
0
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:53 pm to CaptainJ47
quote:
This looks like a slower track... does that mean more sheer over the islands or more time to intensify... or both?
It's not. Both are basically the same as 4 pm. Laura intensity increased 5 mph at landfall.
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:53 pm to rt3
quote:
window starting to open for the 10 PM advisories
place your bets
Rain next week.
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:53 pm to Duke
quote:
Strongest winds are north of DR at flight level. Didn't have a center fix. Did find some weak and cyclonic turning winds to the south that is probably a little vort center rotating around the main center that is over land. The convection is impressive but it's displaced as there is some northerly mid-level shear pushing at Laura.
I know that’s been the case for most of the day, but past few hours are a different story. CDO is expanding in all quadrants and the convection “caught up” to the NHC center.
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:54 pm to Duke
Where in Baton Rouge is the best place to get a battery radio tomorrow?
If power goes out for Marco, limited cell service...how the frick are we going to know if Laura is about to Fack us, too..guess just walk outside and start the car to know what time and day it is and keep watch if shite is flying around
If power goes out for Marco, limited cell service...how the frick are we going to know if Laura is about to Fack us, too..guess just walk outside and start the car to know what time and day it is and keep watch if shite is flying around
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:54 pm to slackster
I call 2 Cat 2s...sorry, folks
Downvotes welcome
Downvotes welcome
This post was edited on 8/22/20 at 9:56 pm
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:55 pm to When in Rome
quote:
He’ll be at the new Sorento Racetrac With his helmet on telling us how he’s directly in the path of both storms while he dodges orange construction barrels rolling down Hwy 22.
This post was edited on 8/22/20 at 9:56 pm
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:56 pm to CaptainJ47
Very little change in NHC track this evening. Not surprising. They aren’t going to put as much weight in the 18z runs and they also don’t want to have to just go right back to their previous track tomorrow morning. Tomorrow morning when we wake up it will be very telling. Maybe we can finally have a good idea of what to expect. Maybe...
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:56 pm to WestSideTiger
The Coast Guard has called for RNA tomorrow at 4:00 PM which means all the floodgates will be closed. For those of us with a yacht make sure you alert your Captains to move it now.
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:56 pm to LaBR4
That’s a really good point. I hope others think of it as well. I mean, how many people still have battery powered radios?
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:57 pm to rds dc
Looks like more models on TWC now have Laura forecasted to be a stronger CAT 1
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:57 pm to habz007
quote:
The Northeast quadrant of tropical storms and hurricanes are typically the first to come together and hold together and typically always strongest here in the northern Atlantic. It is what it is. It’s physics and thermodynamics, and it typically holds serve.
Yes, based on graphic you provided, if a perfectly formed and perfectly symmetric hurricane hit at the right direction and angle, then another quadrant may produce a more net positive and stronger set of winds based on the hurricane’s forward direction and speed at the time.
But systems aren’t usually perfect. And east side of hurricane here is overwhelmingly the ‘worst’ side. And subsequently the NE is overwhelmingly the strongest and most solid quadrant.
Thank you for saying more eloquently what I’ve been trying to say.
Long story short, NE side is more worrisome for most land falling storms along the northern gulf coast, which is most posters here. The original port said the eastern side is always stronger. My online autism took over after that.
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:58 pm to Cosmo
Some of the models keep pushing Laura's intensity potential higher. This ain't good. I don't see how it's going to keep a Cat 1 status if it survives whatever interactions it has with land. Looks prime to suck up some nice PED Gulf juice.
I hope the models don't show a more aggressive trend to intensity.
I hope the models don't show a more aggressive trend to intensity.
This post was edited on 8/22/20 at 9:59 pm
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:58 pm to CoonassatTEXAS
I have a clock:radio in my laundry room. It’s from my office many years ago — like many years. It’s got battery backup so I guess I need to check our battery situation.
Posted on 8/22/20 at 9:58 pm to Duke
Thanks Duke. Also, I never remember where to find it but where are the cumulative rainfall projection maps? The slow moving Marco after landfall worries me about it being a rain event.
Posted on 8/22/20 at 10:00 pm to CaptainJ47
This is truly fricking unbelievable... frick 2020, China, and mother nature.
Posted on 8/22/20 at 10:01 pm to CoonassatTEXAS
quote:
That’s a really good point. I hope others think of it as well. I mean, how many people still have battery powered radios?
How many people in Louisiana don’t have weather radios?
Posted on 8/22/20 at 10:02 pm to wfallstiger
quote:
I call 2 Cat 2s...sorry, folks
Downvotes welcome
Posted on 8/22/20 at 10:02 pm to Ponchy Tiger
quote:
What was Peej's prediction for these storms?
He is perfect again!
Posted on 8/22/20 at 10:03 pm to deuce985
quote:
Some of the models keep pushing Laura's intensity potential higher. This ain't good. I don't see how it's going to keep a Cat 1 status if it survives whatever interactions it has with land. Looks prime to suck up some nice PED Gulf juice.
I hope the models don't show a more aggressive trend to intensity.
NHC's discussion on intensity of Laura tonight caught my eye
quote:
Since the tropical storm is expected to track across the
mountainous islands of Hispaniola and Cuba during the next 36
to 48 hours, little change in intensity seems like a good bet during
that time period. However, after the storm pulls away from the
islands and moves over the warm Gulf of Mexico waters while being
in low wind shear and high moisture conditions, strengthening seems
very likely. Most of the better-performing intensity models show
Laura making landfall along the U.S. northern Gulf coast as a
hurricane in about 4 days. The NHC intensity forecast is slightly
higher than the previous one, and it lies roughly near the middle
of the guidance suite.
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