re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

quote:

---

Ukraine's Mariupol says Russia forcefully deported thousands of its people - Reuters

---

quote:

---

Russians killed 56 people at nursing home in Kreminna, Luhansk oblast, also kidnapping 15 survivors on March 11. “They just put the tank in front of the house and started firing,” authorities said.

---

quote:

---

It didn't make sense for that tank to go out of its way run over the old man in his car at the start of the war but the tank did it anyway.

---

quote:

---

Key Takeaways:

We now assess that the initial Russian campaign to seize Ukraine’s capital and major cities and force regime change has failed;

Russian forces continue efforts to restore momentum to this culminated campaign, but those efforts will likely also fail;

Russian troops will continue trying to advance to within effective artillery range of the center of Kyiv, but prospects for their success are unclear;

The war will likely descend into a phase of bloody stalemate that could last for weeks or months;
Russia will expand efforts to bombard Ukrainian civilians in order to break Ukrainians’ will to continue fighting (at which the Russians will likely fail);

The most dangerous current Russian advance is from Kherson north toward Kryvyi Rih in an effort to isolate Zaporizhiya and Dnipro from the west. Russian forces are unlikely to be able to surround or take Kryvyi Rih in the coming days, and may not be able to do so at all without massing much larger forces for the effort than they now have available on that axis;

The Russians appear to have abandoned plans to attack Odesa at least in the near term.

---