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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 4/8/25 at 10:52 am to
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 10:52 am to
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5727 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 11:03 am to
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16111 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 11:15 am to
quote:

that if a critical article were written about russian training and somehow published or even posted on the internet then a russian author would be looking at some serious prison time.


or lead a meat wave
Posted by SirWinston
Say NO to War
Member since Jul 2014
104464 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 11:41 am to
Cope De Tiger is a very liberal white man with TDS living in Idaho
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26845 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

So the big bad Russian wolf is real to them.


It's not like they haven't repeatedly invaded their neighbors and are a threat to the Baltics. The Baltics are de-Russifying as fast as they can. Putin doesn't like that, but he's left most of his army broken on the plains of Ukraine. Then too the Baltic states are in NATO.
Posted by dagrippa
Saigon
Member since Nov 2004
12171 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

Then too the Baltic states are in NATO.


Russia has to do their moves while Trump is firmly in power. They need to hurry up and finish their three year military operation and get with it.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4601 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

The Baltics are de-Russifying as fast as they can.
Reminded me of this from Estonia two weeks ago...

How it started:



How it's going:




Fresh drone meat.


Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5727 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 3:14 pm to
Ukrainian steelmaker Metinvest receives first coal shipment from US after shutdown of Pokrovske Coal Company mines

Oleksii Artemchuk — Tuesday, 8 April 2025, 17:48

Metinvest Group, the largest steel producer in Ukraine, has received its first coal shipment from the United States following the suspension of operations at the Pokrovske Coal Company.

Source: press service for Metinvest

Details: The bulk carrier Bison delivered 80,000 tonnes of coking coal from United Coal Company (UCC), which will help ensure the stable operation of Metinvest's steel plants, particularly Zaporizhstal and Kametstal.

The press service noted that Metinvest switched to alternative sources of supply after suspending the operations of the Pokrovske Coal Company, the only supplier of coking coal in Ukraine.

Metinvest CEO Yurii Ryzhenkov stated, "Despite the challenging conditions in the Ukrainian steel industry due to the aggressor's ongoing invasion, we have mobilised our resources to ensure the industry's operation. Supplies of US coal will not only support steel production at Kamianske and Zaporizhzhia, but will also provide jobs for tens of thousands of employees and contractors".

John Schroder, CEO of United Coal Company, added, "UCC remains committed to supporting the Group and contributing to economic stability and resilience in Ukraine by ensuring consistent coal deliveries that will enable uninterrupted steel production in the country".

Ukrainska Pravda
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 4:36 pm to
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 5:06 pm to
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5727 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 6:23 pm to
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 7:00 pm to
Posted by Camp Randall
The Shadow of the Valley of Death
Member since Nov 2005
17613 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 7:05 pm to
Does Russia sell Imodium? Maybe you should steal some.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3959 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 7:21 pm to
quote:

My take is that they will have a less favorable peace than they likely could have gotten if they had negotiated early in the war.



I love this naive belief that Russia would have ever negotiated... they never would have, just as they aren't, now... just as they will not in the future.
Posted by SirWinston
Say NO to War
Member since Jul 2014
104464 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 8:15 pm to
Posted by StormyMcMan
USA
Member since Oct 2016
4691 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 9:05 pm to
Isw update April 8 2025

quote:

Key Takeaways:

Ukrainian forces recently captured Chinese nationals fighting in the Russian military in several areas of Donetsk Oblast.

Russian and US authorities announced a second round of US-Russia bilateral discussions focused on normalizing diplomatic missions but not on discussing the ceasefire agreements offered jointly by the US and Ukraine will be held in Istanbul on April 10.

Russian forces are currently pursuing three distinct tactical objectives in the Pokrovsk direction, but Ukrainian drone operations and localized counterattacks are continuing to complicate Russian advances in the area.

Russian advances northeast of Pokrovsk support both the ongoing Russian effort to envelop Pokrovsk from the east and west and the effort to pressure Kostyantynivka from the south by advancing along the T-0504 highway and eliminating the Ukrainian salient southwest of Toretsk.

The situation immediately south and southwest of Pokrovsk remains extremely dynamic amid intensified Russian offensive operations and localized Ukrainian counterattacks and drone operations in the area.

Russian forces continue to deplete manpower and materiel in unsuccessful mechanized assaults and ongoing infantry assaults with armored vehicle support further southwest of Pokrovsk.

Russian forces have only made marginal advances throughout the Pokrovsk direction due to localized Ukrainian counterattacks and improved integration of Ukrainian ground and drone forces.

Russian forces have spent the last 13 months and lost over five divisions' worth of tanks and thousands of troops attacking toward Pokrovsk and trying to seize the town. Ongoing Russian offensive operations to seize Pokrovsk and attack Kostyantynivka highlight Russian President Vladimir Putin's determination to seize all of Ukraine through military means at whatever cost if he cannot do so through negotiations.

Russian forces renewed long-range missile and drone strikes against Ukraine overnight on April 7 to 8 following a brief pause on April 6 to 7.

Russian forces continue to innovate with long-range Shahed strike drone tactics to maximize the impact of strikes against Ukraine.

European states continue to provide financial and military aid to Ukraine.

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) announced an initiative ostensibly aimed at securing medical treatment and rehabilitation for wounded Russian troops, but the MoD may weaponize this initiative against wounded servicemembers in practice.

Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Pokrovsk and Russian forces recently advanced in Kursk and Belgorod oblasts and near Lyman, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Velyka Novosilka.

The Kremlin is considering passing a bill that may incentivize volunteer recruitment for conscription-age men ages 18 to 30 years old.


Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42751 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 10:14 pm to
quote:

Ukrainian forces recently captured Chinese nationals fighting in the Russian military in several areas of Donetsk Oblast.


Uh huh!!!!

Chinese masquerading as Koreans I bet.
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 4/8/25 at 10:22 pm to
Russia’s UN envoy Nebenzya made it clear:

“The scenario we’re discussing with the U.S. is not about anything short-term, but about a sustainable resolution. But we will not allow anyone to deceive us—or use negotiations to covertly strengthen the Kiev regime’s military potential.”

Russia is done playing along with Western “peace” performances.

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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4601 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 5:21 am to
quote:

Oil price collapse means Russia has been castrated economically.


And the numbers are in... from the Russian Treasury, updating the Russian Ministry of Finance on the projected 2025 budget vs. real data from January and February 2025:

quote:

On March 11, the Ministry of Finance reported that the budget deficit in January-February amounted to 2.7 trillion rubles, or 1.3% of GDP, with 1.2 trillion rubles planned for the whole year. (0.5% of GDP).


quote:

In January-February, the federal budget of Russia was executed with a deficit of 3.841 trillion rubles, follows from the data of the federal treasury. The Ministry of Finance spoke about the execution of the budget for the first two months of the year with a deficit of 2.701 trillion rubles.


Finance, that's a miss.

quote:

The Agency clarifies that the discrepancy between the data of the Treasury and the Ministry of Finance occurred mainly due to a smaller amount of income according to the Treasury by 1.421 trillion rubles. In January, the federal budget was executed with a deficit of 721 billion rubles, in February the deficit was at the level of 3.202 trillion rubles.


And that was when crude prices were north of $60/Bbl.

quote:

In January-February 2025, the consolidated budget of Russia was executed with a deficit of 3 trillion 805 billion rubles, follows from the data of the federal treasury. The deficit of the consolidated budget in January was 720.6 billion rubles, in February - 3 trillion 84.4 billion rubles, Interfax clarifies. For the same period of 2024, the consolidated budget was executed with a deficit of 412.3 billion rubles.

So from same period 2024 we have a 433% increase in the deficit. And that's with Russian data...
Kommersant.ru

Speaking of that Russian data, this from the Ministry of Finance, not the Treasury:




As always, start reading from the footnoted CYA's:

quote:

[1] The final data are formed taking into account the accounting reports of administrators of budget funds, which take into account the operations made by the bypass of the accounts of the Federal Treasury (including operations abroad).

In Russian accounting terminology, this means "the oligarchs ain't telling us shite."

Moving forward, to pick out two of the most glaring issues here, the Jan - March 2024 Deficit is not -25[00] but -2950 (must be Russian math). Secondly, the origin of the figure of -1878 as a percentage difference between the 2024 and 2025 Jan - March deficit figures is a total mystery.

But to the point, look at Revenues. Same period year-to-year, the Oil and Gas Revenue is down 9.8% (again, at above $60/Bbl) but Non Oil and Gas Revenue is up 10.6% . Wow. Oh, wait... What's that next line? VAT was up 9.3% . So only 1.3% of this Revenue was not generated by taxes.

Finally, the last line in the chart is the cherry on this disaster. If correct (big if there), the Jan - March 2025 Deficit represents a loss of 1.0% GDP. By itself, in two months. Whoever signed off on this report needs to stay away from windows.

Lawdy.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42751 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 7:09 am to
quote:

Russia is done playing along with Western “peace” performances.


The Russians told us that in 2014, and they have been overtly agressive towards Ukraine since then.
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