re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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Key Takeaways:

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met with US and Singaporean officials and highlighted the upcoming Global Peace Summit during the International Institute for Strategic Studies' (IISS) Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore on June 2.

The provision of Western air defense systems and the lifting of Western restrictions on Ukraine's ability to strike military targets Russian territory with Western-provided weapons remain crucial for Ukraine to repel Russian glide bomb and missile strikes against Kharkiv City.

Ukrainian field commanders are reportedly compensating for training difficulties that mobilization has exacerbated by training new personnel on the frontline.

Ukrainian field commanders' decisions to train newly-deployed personnel on the front before committing them to combat indicates that the overall quality of Ukrainian forces will likely remain higher than that of Russian forces in the near- to mid-term.

The New York Times (NYT) published an investigation on June 2 into the forced relocation and deportation of 46 Ukrainian children from a foster home in occupied Kherson Oblast during 2022.

The Telegraph reported on June 1 in a since-removed article that British officials ordered the United Kingdom's (UK) Security Service (MI5) to refocus its counterintelligence efforts towards Russian, People's Republic of China (PRC), and Iranian agents operating in the UK.

Russian war commentator Alexander Artamonov drew backlash from Kremlin-affiliated Russian propagandists for claiming that Ukrainians are "second-class citizens." contradicting the Kremlin’s false efforts to portray Ukrainian and Russian people as one nation.

Russian forces recently advanced near Vovchansk, Avdiivka, Donetsk City, and Krynky.

Russia continues to indoctrinate Russian minors into military-political thinking to set conditions for long-term force generation.

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Ukrainian field commanders are reportedly compensating for training difficulties that mobilization has exacerbated by training new personnel on the frontline. Ukrainian field commanders told the Washington Post that they have devoted significant time to teaching basic skills to newly-redeployed personnel because they do not learn these skills at training centers.[10] The Washington Post reported on June 2 that Ukrainian soldiers who had served in the rear also lack adequate skills upon arrival at the front even though many had been serving in the military prior to the start of the full-scale invasion in 2022. The problems the Washington Post identified are not surprising in these circumstances. Most of the Ukrainian forces on the frontline have been fighting for more than two years and are exhausted, so Ukraine is under pressure to speedily rotate them with fresh forces and replace losses to maintain its defense.[11] There is a difficult tradeoff to make between pulling experienced soldiers from the frontline to train new personnel or accepting bottlenecks in training the new personnel. One Ukrainian officer reportedly told the Washington Post that Ukraine needs NATO instructors to train new personnel and to halve training times to one month.[12] Russian rear-area strike campaigns against even the westernmost regions of Ukraine have ensured that Ukraine has effectively no safe rear area in which it can safely train personnel, and sending personnel to train in NATO states – such as the ongoing UK-led Operation Interflex training program – both removes Ukrainian field commanders from the training process and increases the delay in deploying soldiers as Ukraine must transport these personnel to and from NATO states. Ukraine will not resolve these issues quickly, and the average overall quality of Ukrainian forces on the frontline will likely decrease as experienced personnel rotate out and newly-deployed personnel reach the frontline even as the number of available soldiers increases. New soldiers will likely learn rapidly as they fight alongside experienced veterans, however.

Ukrainian field commanders' decisions to train newly-deployed personnel on the front before committing them to combat indicates that the overall quality of Ukrainian forces will likely remain higher than that of Russian forces in the near- to mid-term. Russian forces have consistently used newly-deployed mobilized personnel, penal convicts, and fresh contract and volunteer soldiers without adequate training to conduct mass, infantry-led "meat assaults" to make marginal gains in Ukraine and have proven willing to continue suffering extensive casualties for these gains.[13] The Russian force generation mechanism has largely met the replacement rate of casualties in Ukraine, however, incentivizing fast redeployments of new personnel for additional "meat" assaults over effective training. Russian milbloggers have consistently complained about ineffective Russian training since partial mobilization in September 2022, and a former Russian Storm-Z instructor recently claimed that Russian "strategic" reserves are "doing nothing for months" due to training bottlenecks resulting from an inadequate number of instructors.[14] Further Ukrainian cooperation with NATO instructors, particularly if those NATO instructors assist training in rear areas in Ukraine, provides further opportunities for Ukraine to improve its basic training mechanisms and improve the quality of newly deployed personnel.

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We had CIA guys all over Afghanistan helping Osama Bin Laden shoot down Soviet helicopters, planting IEDs, setting up ambushes, etc.

Why weren't we afraid of them nuking us then? And that's when their nukes actually probably still worked.

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A modern, successful, democratic country immediately adjacent to Russia that improves freedoms and standards of living for its residents......makes Russia's corrupt dictatorship look like the backwards kleptocracy that it is.

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Another way to put it is: "Don't start a war, there won't be a war."

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We started the war by installing a hostile client government in Kiev. The Russians are now finishing that war.

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You still don’t understand Reagan.

He wasn’t a jingoist, and he would have been strongly opposed to the war in Ukraine because it crossed one of his red lines.

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laims by the pro-aid crowd:

Several of these are 100% accurate, just for clarity

-Russia is committing war crimes
-Russia is intentionally targeting civilians
-Russia regularly kills its own people for various reasons
-Putin is a madman
-Putin wants to conquer Europe
-Putin wont stop at Ukraine

and then

-Russia definitely won't use their nukes

Seems hard to group those into the same worldview.

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GODAMNIT!!! WHY ARE WE PUSHING ZELENSKY TO BEG US TO BE ABLE TO STRIKE INSIDE RUSSIA!!!


Because we have a weak, demented President that shits himself and doesn't know what day it is. And he is too big of a wimp to fire Sullivan.

I listened to a podcast a couple days ago that had Garry Kasparov on it. He told it like it is regarding Biden and Sullivan and just how weak they are. He let them have it.

youtube

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The Soviets intervened in Afghanistan because they believed they couldn't afford to let the revolution fail. But it was about prestige, and not about their own security. That's why they were ultimately comfortable leaving, and why it didn't escalate more than it did. Ukraine is a core security issue for the Russians, they believe a NATO led state will lead to Russias destruction. And there's an identity issue there too, much of what is now Ukraine was Russia.

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