re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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Where was this sourced from please?

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It looks like Tyler Rogaway is the original source.

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Who in the world thought it was acceptable to publish this?!?

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Don't know where he/they sourced it but that particular tweet is from Rybar, a pro Russian account

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I am curious what is going on in this part the one at 5 o'clock looks like there may be some damage while the other three look to be covered up? If someone knows what else it may be please point it out.

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Yeah that one spot stands out. I am trying to find some high res photos from a previous day and see what that spot looked like.

ISW Update

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Ukrainian officials formally acknowledged that Ukrainian forces had liberated Robotyne amid continued Ukrainian advances in western Zaporizhia Oblast and near Bakhmut.


The Russian military command continues to expend relatively elite Russian airborne forces by deploying these troops to defend vulnerable positions against Ukrainian counteroffensives. Geolocated footage published on August 27 indicates that the Russian military command deployed elements of the Russian 76th Guards Air Assault (VDV) Division to reinforce Russian positions near Robotyne likely from the Kreminna area in Luhansk Oblast

Russian forces conducted a missile strike on the rear areas of Ukraine on August 28. Ukrainian officials reported that Russian forces launched four Kalibr cruise missiles from the Black Sea and two Kh-59 cruise missiles from the airspace above occupied Kherson Oblast in the direction of Kryvyi Rih on the night of August 28 and that Ukrainian air defenses intercepted all but two Kalibr missiles.[8] The Ukrainian Air Force reported that the Russian missiles struck a civilian industrial facility in Poltava Oblast

A Ukrainian intelligence official indicated that Russian forces may have marginally replenished their stocks of high-precision missiles through conservation in the summer of 2023. Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) Spokesperson Vadym Skibitskyi stated on August 28 that Russian forces have a total of 585 missiles left in their stocks that have a range of more than 500km.[10] Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikov last provided official Ukrainian figures on Russian missile stocks in early January 2023 in the closing months of the Russian strike campaign that targeted critical infrastructure from roughly October 2022 to March 2023.[11] Skibitskyi offered new figures for Russian missile stocks, compared with Reznikov’s January 2023 figures as follows:

270 Iskander ballistic and cruise missiles (+126 from January)
140 sea-based Kalibr cruise missiles (+81 from January)
Roughly 100 Kh-101/Kh-55/Kh-555 cruise missiles (-18 from January)
Roughly 75 Kinzhal ballistic missiles (+22 from January)
150 Kh-22/32 missiles (-12 from January).

Ukrainian officials stated that Russian forces may intend to resume a wider campaign against Ukrainian critical infrastructure in the fall of 2023, but assessed Russia likely has not replenished its missile stocks to sustain a campaign on the scale of the winter 2022-2023 strikes

Ukrainian officials assessed that any upcoming Russian strike campaign may employ new tactics that use fewer missiles and more drones. Skibitskyi stated that Russian forces are improving their targeting and decision-making speed, are more carefully selecting targets, and are meticulously searching for flight routes that can bypass Ukrainian air defense systems

Ukrainian strikes reportedly damaged Russian aircraft and equipment at an airfield in Kursk Oblast on August 27. RBK-Ukraine cited Ukrainian Security Service (SBU) sources that SBU military counterintelligence conducted a drone strike on an airfield near Kursk City on the night of August 27, damaging four Russian Su-30 fighter aircraft, one MiG-29 fighter aircraft, and radars for a S-300 missile system and two Pantsir missile systems.[26] Kursk Oblast Governor Roman Starovoyt claimed that Ukrainian drones damaged an apartment building, and Russian milbloggers claimed on August 28 that satellite imagery of the airfield showed no visible damage to Russian military equipment.[27] ISW cannot independently confirm the results of the Ukrainian strikes.

Russian milbloggers continued to criticize the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) for ignoring ultranationalists’ complaints over the mistreatment of a Southern Military District (SMD) brigade operating in the Kherson direction. Russian milbloggers continued to claim that the Russian military command chose to ignore and silence reports about elements of the 205th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade (49th Combined Arms Army, Southern Military District) suffering significant losses with inadequate artillery support and poor leadership in the Kherson direction.

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Key Takeaways:

Ukrainian officials formally acknowledged that Ukrainian forces liberated Robotyne amid continued Ukrainian advances in western Zaporizhia Oblast and near Bakhmut.

The Russian military command continues to expend relatively elite Russian airborne forces by deploying these troops to defend vulnerable positions against Ukrainian counteroffensives.

A Ukrainian intelligence official indicated that Russian forces may have marginally replenished their stocks of high-precision missiles through conservation in the summer of 2023.

Ukrainian officials stated that Russian forces may intend to resume a wider campaign against Ukrainian critical infrastructure in the fall of 2023, but assessed Russia likely has not replenished its missile stocks to sustain a campaign on the scale of the winter 2022-2023 strikes.

Ukrainian officials assessed that any upcoming Russian strike campaign may employ new tactics that use fewer missiles and more drones.

Russian milbloggers continued to criticize the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) for ignoring ultranationalists’ complaints over the mistreatment of a Southern Military District (SMD) brigade operating in the Kherson direction.

Russian forces conducted offensive operations on the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line, and in western Donetsk, and did not make any confirmed advances.

Russian lawmakers and the Russian information space expressed varied opinions about a proposed Russian State Duma bill that would deprive individuals of their acquired Russian citizenship for evading military registration and mobilization.

The Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reported on August 28 that partisans created an explosion at the barracks of a Chechen “Akhmat-1” Rosgvardia riot police (OMON) unit in Enerhodar in occupied Zaporizhia Oblast.

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Who killed Prigozhin? Russian channels are now working hard to unravel the mystery:

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Ole Vlad Solo has a serious hardon for Britain, he has been begging for Russian to turn London into glass for almost the entire conflict. If he influenced it to happen there would be a lot of oligarchs pissed at him considering the amount of money they have in "Londongrad" and "Moscow-on-Thames".

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I’m surprised Russia doesn’t

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Wake up, Sir. The game is afoot.

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In the Kherson region, the command of the AFU is preparing for operations on the left bank of the Dnieper. The main strike is planned in the direction of Aleshek from the islands of Buryakovy, Antonovsky and Alekseevsky.

To reinforce the tactical group "Thunder" in the vicinity of Kherson, assault units of the 121st brigade of the territorial defense of the AFU were deployed, and recently artillery crews of the 406th Artillery Brigade of the AFU were moved to the coastal zone of the Dnieper


Who in the world thought it was acceptable to publish this?!?

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Someone who is trying to distract Russia and think another push is about to be started.

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Secondly and less likely is that Ukraine has met with a good degree of success and they are maintaining OPSEC as they continue to push while Russia doesn't have anything good to show so are keeping quiet.

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Ukraine has for the most part kept quiet until after it has achieved its objective. If yall will recall last year we did not hear about the Kharkiv oblast breakthrough until after they had defeated the Russians and were advancing rapidly. We did not hear anything during the actual fighting. Same thing with Ukraine's efforts at driving the Russians away from Kyiv and Kharkiv city last year. The few times when they have broken opsec during operations was to correct Russian disinformation like the many times the Russian claimed had capture Bakhmut before they actually captured it, or that Russia had destroyed a large percentage of the western supplied equipment in the first few days of the offensive. I would assume the quiet on the Ukrainian side means that fighting is ongoing and the quiet on the Russian side means that Russia is not wanting to talk about it which means nothing good is happening for Russia.

I have talked to any of my contacts that might be seeing combat but I have talked several medical ppl in the UAF in Ukraine who are noncombatants. They are saying that Ukraine is slowly advancing, and some Russian units are fighting and some are fleeing. The rumor is that it is the Russian naval infantry that is fighting hard because they are not leaving their wounded on the battlefield when Ukraine advances. The Russian regular infantry as well as air assault forces are leaving their wounded on the field and in the trenches when Ukraine advances. They also said lots of casualties on both sides.

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WeeWee


Is your tank commander buddy still alive?

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He was as of last week. He has been promoted to the Ukrainian version of Lt Colonel so he spends more time in HQs than he does in his tank.