re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Amateur hour. This Governor doesn’t even know he’s supposed to roll up his sleeves when touring a disaster for the cameras. Russian leadership has a lot to learn about crisis management.

I'm sure that we'll have some more Politards in here soon, telling us yet again that Ukrainians are Nazis, because some Ukrainian using a symbol that looks something like a Nazi symbol proves that someone is a Nazi, while a Rusian public official comparing an entire people to stinky rats is just normal.

Dimity must be on payroll of CIA, great job bro. You made my old friends job at the agency so much easier

he should be standing with russia!

Unfortunately, according to this thread they claim it to be a civilian facility rather than a military one located in the south western Kozacha Bay as opposed to the main fleet storage further up river from Sevastopol naval base in Sevastopol bay proper.

Twitter - @The_Lookout_N

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To some of you commenting, above I say nothing about this being a legitimate target, or not. I gave an assessment on the impact of the strike on Black Sea Fleet operations.

The main naval fuel depot is located in the east end of Sevastopol Bay, near Inkerman.

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This image from the thread claims to show the naval storage which makes sense for it to be closer to the naval base and more protected. The storage tanks look to be far more spread out, most likely to prevent multiple tanks going up from a single hit

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However several thread commenters claim the Kozacha facility is a feeder facility for the naval one, while others claim Russia has said it will have no impact on civilian supply according to the Crimean governor.

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On the contrary. russian authorities assured the civilians that it will not affect gas supply for civilians, since the oil depot WAS NOT used for civilian purposes.

It was a military target.

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The tank farm that was hit is the primary supplier to that tank farm. To call it civilian is a bit of a stretch. Tankers unload at the tank farm that was hit, it stored there, then railed over to the black sea fleet depot when the depot needs to be refilled.

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Larger map showing the storage locations compared to one another.



Either way, civilian or military it is going to have an impact if what Twitter - @Tendar claims is true, the red crosses are destroyed and the yellow ones have suffered heavy damage in the below image. They also conclude that the facility is likely a complete loss due to the interlinkage of the facility and thermal damage. CitizenK would probably have the best idea regarding this.




The challenge as I see it is for Ukraine to keep hitting this sort of target to increase pressure on Russian logistics and undermine public confidence in the party line when they make highly doubtful claims about such strikes "not effecting anything".

There is no refinery there, just a tank farm which would likely have a flare or two for safety. Interesting that on Google Maps I don't see any rail so 100% supplied by ship. Likely use bunker barges to refuel ships in the area.

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I love the smell of burning bunker fuel in the morning.

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Are we sure that isn't the Kuznetsov returning to port?

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What do you make of the structure that extends into the sea? Are those pipelines running up to and along it?

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That is a ship dock for loading/offloading.

ETA: There would be piping running out there. You can clearly see a pipe rack with transfer lines on land in your screenshot but they aren’t visible on the actual dock. They may be routed beneath the pavement or something.

ISW Update

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Key Takeaways

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin threatened to withdraw Wagner forces from Bakhmut if the Russian military command fails to provide more ammunition to Wagner mercenaries.

Prigozhin also continued his efforts to convince the Kremlin to go over to the defensive in eastern Ukraine.

Prigozhin offered the position of First Deputy Commander of Wagner forces, possibly sarcastically, to former Russian Deputy Defense Minister for Logistics Colonel General Mikhail Mizintsev who was reportedly dismissed from his position on April 27.

Ukrainian forces attacked an oil storage facility in Sevastopol reportedly with a wave of Mugin-5 UAVs on April 29.

Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks on the Svatove-Kreminna line.

Russian forces made limited gains in Bakhmut and continued ground attacks along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line.

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Russian forces conducted a sea-based missile strike against the command post of the Ukrainian Kherson Group of Forces. Ukrainian officials have so far not confirmed this claim.

The Russian MoD continues to pursue measures to expedite the conscription process and increase the difficulty of evading summonses.

Russian occupation authorities and border area officials have expanded security measures and filtration efforts likely in anticipation of increased Ukrainian partisan activity in support of a potential Ukrainian counteroffensive.

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