re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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There are a lot more in the server

They deleted the images but I managed to save all

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A tranche of what appears to be classified U.S. intelligence material was posted anonymously on the social media platform Discord over the last three months in the latest leak of highly guarded national secrets.

The documents, all photographs of print-outs, pertain to a host of sensitive American national security matters including the ongoing U.S.-led coalition campaign to defeat ISIS, the disposition of U.S allies in the Middle East and Europe with respect to Russia, and the United Kingdom’s prospective military plans for countering China in the Pacific.

Yesterday, Discord was used to leak a number of Pentagon documents relating to Russia’s war against Ukraine, including estimated losses on both sides, the New York Times reported. The U.S. Defense Department today confirmed that the material was genuine, but claimed it had been selectively edited before being released, something corroborated by open-source analysis.

Yet the Ukraine files were evidently just a portion of leaked U.S. intelligence materials. Multiple documents in the latest batch are marked “TOP SECRET,” a high category of classification. Others are marked “FVEY,” meaning they are only to be shared with the UK, Canada, New Zealand and Australia, which together with the United States constitute the Five Eyes intelligence-sharing alliance.

Yahoo News has seen over a hundred other documents, but cannot verify their authenticity. There is the possibility that some or all may be forgeries or manipulated versions of originals. They cover a gamut of urgent U.S. foreign policy preoccupations.

As the Ukraine documents previously reported have been selectively altered, it is quite possible that even if these documents are real, in part or in whole, they may have been obtained by a hostile foreign intelligence apparatus, if not manipulated or seeded with disinformation designed to undermine U.S. or Ukrainian national security interests. Even if that is the case, they offer insights into how the source for the leaks wants outside parties to see America’s intelligence assessments across a swath of portfolios and regions.

One document labeled “TOP SECRET” allegedly originated from the CIA. It contains an assessment that Viktor Orban’s Hungary, a NATO and EU member albeit one still close to Russia, now considers the U.S. to be one of its most significant geopolitical adversaries. Another assessment details the Russian Wagner mercenary group’s attempt to build contacts with the Haitian government. The documents also spell the name of the mercenary corps “Vagner,” a common Russian phonetic spelling of the organization, but one that is rarely used in material designated for public consumption. However, Yahoo News found previous examples of this transliteration being used in internal Defence Department documents, such as an assessment of Wagner Group operations in Libya, from July 24, 2020.

Another document details the proposed opening of a Russian-made weapons repair facility in the United Arab Emirates in coordination with Moscow. The UAE, an American ally in the Middle East, operates a significant amount of weaponry from Russia, most notably the Pantsir air defense system and the BMP-3 infantry fighting vehicle. It is unclear from the write-up of this assessment whether refurbished military hardware would be for Russian use in Ukraine, a contingency that would no doubt tax Washington’s relationship with Abu Dhabi.

One print-out posted on Discord contains significant technical detail about the numbers and potential failures of a specific weapon system provided by the United States to Ukraine. The document is marked “SECRET/NOFORN” — “NOFORN” meaning “Not Releasable to Foreign Nationals.” That is an explicit classification used to indicate intelligence information that “may not be released in any form to foreign governments, foreign nationals, foreign organizations, or non-U.S. citizens,” according to a Defense Department document.

Another text suggests that the United Kingdom is planning to deploy one of the Royal Navy’s new Queen Elizabeth-class aircraft carriers to the South Pacific to counter Chinese influence in the region. It also assesses the priorities of the UK opposition Labour Party, and how Beijing would react to an incoming Labour government scrapping the policy in order to focus resources closer to home. This document is also designated for American eyes only.

Other material contained in the tranche is less sensitive, such as an assessment of efficiency of the government response to the outbreak of the Marburg virus in Equatorial Guinea, or the progress of the Nigerian election.

The timing of these leaks, coming at a moment when the Ukrainian military is preparing to launch a much anticipated offensive, and also the method of their dissemination, raises a great deal of questions about how these documents were obtained and also their veracity.

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Another eyebrow-raising aspect of these disclosures is that they were made via a bespoke and since-removed server. All of the materials, according to open source analysts, can be traced back to a Discord user named “MrLucca,” who claimed to have originally received them on another, now-deleted server, named for a notorious American racial epithet used to describe Black people, before reposting them onto a channel primarily about the popular video game Minecraft. The leaks apparently began in early February, but only gained significant attention in the last few days. After his posting of the sensitive documents became international news, “MrLucca” deleted his account, with his final message being “ILY (short for “I love you”) bros, see you on the flipside”.

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