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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 3/2/23 at 9:38 pm to
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21022 posts
Posted on 3/2/23 at 9:38 pm to
ISW assesses that Ukraine remaining in Bakhmut is "strategically sound."
quote:

ISW has previously assessed that the Ukrainian defense of Bakhmut is a strategically sound operation to force Russian forces to extend manpower and equipment on costly assaults to capture a city of limited operational importance.[58] Ukrainian forces have already achieved this strategic aim, and the continued Ukrainian defense of the city will remain strategically sound as long as the costs of holding the city do not outweigh the continued impacts on Russian manpower and equipment. Ukrainian officials continue to emphasize that Ukrainian forces have the option to conduct a controlled withdrawal from Bakhmut if they see fit.[59]
Posted by LSUPilot07
Member since Feb 2022
8657 posts
Posted on 3/2/23 at 9:50 pm to
That or he’s really been living high on the hog hitting the bottle hard. Alcohol can cause that redness in his face but as for the 100 or more lbs he’s put on who knows? I actually get and understand risking the high casualties to hold Bakhmut if it’s for a legitimate reason. If they really believe this will hold up the entire Russian offensive then you do what you have to do. But in the meantime I’m also realizing the end has all but been determined by now. Essential equipment needs to be either evacuated now or pulled back so that it can be done quickly. This is everything from tanks to JAVELINS/NLAWs/Stugna-p. For this reason I don’t see them holding more than another week and that’s ok because as soon as you pull out and they come forward into the town the Ukrainians need to make it rain artillery and heavy mortar fire.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30644 posts
Posted on 3/2/23 at 10:20 pm to
quote:

Not sure if this has been posted yet, but all of you Ukraine sympathizers need to watch this. one of your fellow incels signed up to fight along side UKR and documented it with video. you will bitch about the source, but worth the 17 minutes as to not remain ignorant.


The story of Johnny as told on Twitter and backed up by Malcolm Nance who apparently was the Marcus that Johnny was referring to with the "red phone" to the CIA. It is at once too crazy to be true and too crazy not to be true. Offered for entertainment purposes only...

I am posting the whole thread as it is nuts and I want the non-Twitter users to be able to easily see it. I have no idea if it is true but I have fewer grains of salt with it than with lil Johnny communist Antifa.



















Twitter link to thread

Twitter link to post below





Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150429 posts
Posted on 3/2/23 at 10:23 pm to
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16099 posts
Posted on 3/2/23 at 11:22 pm to
So just another Gump?
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8182 posts
Posted on 3/3/23 at 1:08 am to
I just came across this list of confirmed kills by Russian Loitering Munitions written by Oryx back in late November 22.

All of these kills are confirmed with photographic or video evidence.

From an overall perspective, total losses for each system would be higher as this listing only includes hits by the Russian Lancet and Kub loitering drone systems.

Of interest, Ukraine has lost 15 M777's and 7 M109's to loitering munition strikes.

https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/11/hit-or-miss-russian-loitering-munition.html

quote:

The use of Iranian-designed loitering munitions by Russia has received a large share of international media attention. Though they are a menace to Ukraine's civilian infrastructure, Russia has so far largely refrained from using them against Ukrainian military targets. A more serious development to Ukraine's Armed Forces comes in the form of the indigenously-designed Kub and Lancet-3(M) loitering munitions that Russia has increasingly been deploying to strike Ukrainian artillery, radars and surface-to-air missile (SAM) systems out of reach from Russia's ground-based assets.

The increasing use of loitering munitions comes as Russia's fleet of attack helicopters has suffered extensive losses. [1] The situation is hardly better with the country's inventory of UCAVs, with heavy losses only prevented by a dearth of UCAVs in the first place. [2] Rather than purchasing additional Iranian loitering munition types to make up for this lack of aerial fire support, Russia has sought to massively expand the production of an improved version of the Lancet-3 (referred to as the Lancet-3M in this article), which was already tested in Syria in 2020. [3] These have seen increasing use since October 2022, although the less effective Kub loitering munition continues to see use as well.


Confirmed Losses
quote:

Tanks (11)
1 T-62M: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (Captured from Russia by Ukraine, then destroyed by Russia)
4 T-64BV: (1, destroyed by Kub) (1, struck by Lancet-3M) (2, struck by Lancet-3M) (3, struck by Lancet-3M)
1 T-72M/M1(R): (1, struck by Lancet-3M)
1 T-80BV: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
1 T-84U: (1, struck by Lancet-3M)
3 Unknown tank: (1, struck by Lancet-3M) (2, struck by Lancet-3) (3, struck by Lancet-3M)

Armoured Fighting Vehicles (9)
1 MT-LB AFV: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
1 BRM-1K AFV: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
1 BMP-2 IFV: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
1 BTR-4: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
1 Kozak-2 IMV: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
1 M1151 HMMWV IMV: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
1 Unknown AFV: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3)
1 Unknown BTR: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M)

Engineering Vehicles And Equipment (2)
1 MT-T heavy tracked cargo carrier vehicle: (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)
1 BMK-460 towing and motor boat: (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)

Towed Artillery (21)
1 152mm D-20 howitzer: (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)
2 152mm 2A65 Msta-B howitzer: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)
2 155mm FH-70: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)
15 155mm M777A2 howitzer: (1 and 2, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (3, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (4, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (5, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (6, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (7, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (8, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (9, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (10, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (1, damaged by Lancet-3M) (2, damaged by Lancet-3M) (3, damaged by Lancet-3M) (4, damaged by Lancet-3M) (5, damaged by Lancet-3M) (6, damaged by Lancet-3M)

Self-Propelled Artillery (20)
3 122mm 2S1 Gvozdika: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (2, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)
4 152mm 2S3 Akatsiya: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (2, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (3, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)
2 152mm 2S19 Msta-S: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (2, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
7 155mm M109A3/A4/A5: (1 and 2, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (3, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (4, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (1, damaged by Lancet-3M) (2, damaged by Lancet-3M) (3, damaged by Lancet-3M)
3 155mm AHS Krab: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (2, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)
1 155mm Caesar: (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)

Multiple Rocket Launchers (4)
3 122mm BM-21 Grad: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (2, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (3, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
1 122mm RM-70: (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)

Surface-To-Air Missile (SAM) Systems (7)
1 9K35 Strela-10: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
1 9K33 Osa SAM system: (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)
3 9A310M1 TELAR (for Buk-M1): (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (2, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)
2 5P85S (launcher for S-300PS): (1 and 2, destroyed by Lancet-3M)

Radars (11)
3 P-18 'Spoon Rest D': (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (2, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (3, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
6 36D6 'Tin Shield': (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (2, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (3, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (4, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (1, damaged by Lancet-3M) (2, damaged by Lancet-3M)
1 P-18ML: (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)
1 PRV-16ML: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
1 RPMK-1 for the RPMK-1 Ulybka weather radar complex: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M)

Command Posts And Communications Stations (2)
1 Radio relay station for the TB2 UCAV: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
1 Control cabin for P-18 'Spoon Rest D' radar: (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)

Naval Ships (3)
1 Gyurza-M class gunboat: (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)
1 Zhuk-class patrol boat: (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)
1 Unknown vessel: (1, damaged by Kub)

Trucks and Vehicles (9)
1 Oshkosh FMTV M1083A1P2 truck: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
1 Lada: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
2 SUV: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (2, destroyed by Lancet-3M)
4 Unknown truck: (1, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (2, destroyed by Lancet-3M) (3, destroyed by Kub) (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)
1 Unknown vehicle: (1, damaged by Lancet-3M)
This post was edited on 3/3/23 at 1:09 am
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4595 posts
Posted on 3/3/23 at 2:45 am to
If these photos are accurate, this level of swelling may be a side effect of using Prednisone. This is a corticosteroid commonly used for kidney disease, which ties into the rumor that a Western nephrologist was flown into Chechnya to examine him.

Following well established dictator's practice, we can look for a dialysis machine to be flown into Grozny soon. Breaks my heart.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4595 posts
Posted on 3/3/23 at 2:46 am to
quote:

I just came across this list of confirmed kills by Russian Loitering Munitions written by Oryx back in late November 22. All of these kills are confirmed with photographic or video evidence. From an overall perspective, total losses for each system would be higher as this listing only includes hits by the Russian Lancet and Kub loitering drone systems.
Damn.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105472 posts
Posted on 3/3/23 at 3:11 am to
(Unfortunately in this case) you can live quite a long time on dialysis, but it means letting more people into the loop with the opportunity to kill you by commission or omission. Not a good predicament for a guy with a lot of enemies to be in.
Posted by DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
13434 posts
Posted on 3/3/23 at 4:05 am to
quote:

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz stated on March 2 that Germany is negotiating with allies about providing security guarantees to Ukraine but provided no further details on these proposed guarantees.[21] Scholz emphasized that the pact would only work if Ukraine prevailed in the war

Do you think that he means drive Russia completely out of Ukraine when he says they must "prevail in the war"?
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
14894 posts
Posted on 3/3/23 at 5:53 am to
quote:

Do you think that he means drive Russia completely out of Ukraine when he says they must "prevail in the war"?


Prevail IMO on his statement means exist as a country….
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5722 posts
Posted on 3/3/23 at 6:01 am to
British Defence Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 03 March 2023
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE

Despite the war in Ukraine, Russian defence companies continue to showcase their products at major international arms fairs.

The Arena-E active protection system (APS), designed to improve the survivability of armoured vehicles, was displayed at a recent event. Its promotional literature states that it 'defeats the threats that are most dangerous for armoured vehicles...if you value your armour and crews you need Arena-E'.

There has been no evidence of Arena-E systems being installed on Russia's own vehicles in Ukraine, where it has lost over 5,000 armoured vehicles. This is likely due to Russian industry's inability to manufacture high-tech systems at scale; a problem which is exacerbated by the effect of international sanctions.
Posted by Burhead
Member since Dec 2014
2100 posts
Posted on 3/3/23 at 6:16 am to
Looks like the Ukrainians are withdrawing from Bakhmut. They are destroying bridges this morning.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21022 posts
Posted on 3/3/23 at 6:20 am to
quote:

ZURICH/BERLIN, March 3 (Reuters) - Germany has asked Switzerland to sell it some of its mothballed Leopard 2 tanks, the Swiss and German governments said on Friday, in a deal that could allow Western countries to increase military aid to Ukraine.

Germany wants Switzerland to sell some of the tanks back to arms maker Rheinmetall (RHMG.DE), which would allow the company to backfill gaps in the armaments of European Union and NATO members.

quote:

"The tanks will not be sold on to Ukraine. We guarantee that they will remain in Germany or with our partners in NATO and the EU, to plug gaps that have emerged through the transfer of Leopard 2 tanks and to improve the supply with spare parts in general," the letter said.


This could definitely help more tanks to go to Ukraine.

Edit: Note that Austria has 56 Leopards that it is likewise not using. There's definitely the opportunity for our European partners to get more tanks to Ukraine, if there's the political will.
This post was edited on 3/3/23 at 6:41 am
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5722 posts
Posted on 3/3/23 at 6:32 am to
The US is conducting war games for Ukrainian commanders – NYT

The United States is helping to train and prepare the Ukrainian military to resist the Russian invasion.

The New York Times reports that this week the U.S. Army Europe and Africa Command hosted a Ukrainian military delegation at its headquarters in Germany.

The US military together with the Ukrainian military conducted the so-called war games: they simulated the possible course of hostilities between the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Russian invaders in the spring of this year.

The maneuvers were attended by high-ranking generals of the US army responsible for supporting Ukraine.

During the military exercises, a number of options for a counteroffensive of the Ukrainian Defense Forces to liberate the temporarily captured territory from the Russian invaders were worked out.

The training was conducted to work out various strategies of Ukrainian actions, taking into account all risks and various steps.

Ukrainian Military Portal
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21022 posts
Posted on 3/3/23 at 6:59 am to
quote:

From an overall perspective, total losses for each system would be higher as this listing only includes hits by the Russian Lancet and Kub loitering drone systems.


Ukraine has been very fortunate that Russia has been unable to produce Lancets in greater quantity, as that's been a very deadly system.

This is also why some M777 crews now have a chain-link fence around their equipment -- to catch a Lancet before it hits.
Posted by Philzilla
Member since Nov 2011
2227 posts
Posted on 3/3/23 at 7:14 am to
Was he poisoned with Crisco? Looks like a pastry lover. I’ll go with thyroid problem.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21022 posts
Posted on 3/3/23 at 7:20 am to
LINK



quote:

Cheap Australian drones made of cardboard and rubber bands are helping Ukrainian troops fight off Russian invaders, as part of a $33m commitment to supply the ­country with an array of unmanned systems.



At least 100 of the flat-packed drones are being supplied to Ukraine each month, allowing ­President Volodymyr Zelensky’s forces to drop bombs, deliver supplies and undertake vital reconnaissance missions.

The Australian army is yet to purchase any of the catapult-launched aircraft for its own use, in a story familiar to many local defence sector innovators. The unmanned aerial vehicles, made by Melbourne-based Sypaq, are designed to be expendable on the battlefield, but some in Ukraine have undertaken 60 flights.

The Precision Payload Delivery System drones are constructed from thick, wax-coated cardboard and heavy-duty rubber bands that secure the wings. They are controlled by a ­military-grade guidance system that requires no user input once the aircraft is launched.

At somewhere between $1000 and $5000 each – the exact cost is classified – they can be used to overwhelm opposing forces in a contest of attrition, forcing the enemy to use more expensive hardware to take them out.
quote:

Mr Myroshnychenko said the appearance of the drone was deceptive, and they were already being used by Ukrainian soldiers for a variety of missions, including lethal ones.

“When you look at it, it looks like something that kids would play with,” the ambassador said. “But when you see what it can do it’s really amazing.

“From what I hear they have been very good at inflicting lots of damage on the enemy.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21022 posts
Posted on 3/3/23 at 7:25 am to
In WWI, tanks replaced horses.

In WWII, aircraft carriers replaced battleships.

In this war, drones are replacing attack helicopters.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8182 posts
Posted on 3/3/23 at 7:27 am to
Is the Russian Air Force still operating???
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