re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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It will be interesting to see what else Russia does in response to the bridge attack. Beyond lobbing cruise missiles into Ukraine and trying to take down the electrical grid, what other actions does Russia have available to them without resorting to WMDs? Last night, while deadly, would hardly be considered anything but a tepid response if they don't do something else.

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1200 is about a 29% move from here. Almost impossible before Nov 1st unless there is a serious crisis.

Out of curiosity I checked the options trading on weat right now, and for Nov4 22 calls you basically could pay like $50 and get $200 back if it hits 1200 so the bet doesnt quite make sense to take in any event

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Shhhhhh

There is going to be a global food crisis. Listen to OML.

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So first one I found after researching, will dig further. Again, I still think I’m largely right about this.

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Again, the price of wheat at the moment doesn't indicate disruption. It didn't indicate it then either. The price has fallen since your post you dim moron.

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Yeah, but isn’t it weird I’ve been ranting about October for six months, and happens nearly right when the month starts? I’m sorry, you need Devil’s advocate here, and we’re all told to shut the frick up.

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It’s weird you think one coordinated missile offensive who’s intended damage was/is repaired very quickly is proof positive to your predictions of escalation. You’ve grasped at the first available straw Russia could muster to plant your flag. Maybe you’re right by 10/31, but this ain’t it.

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So first one I found after researching, will dig further. Again, I still think I’m largely right about this.

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That doesn’t say anything about escalation on the battlefield. Grain is being exported from Ukraine. OPEC has more to do with recent price movement in oil than Russia.

Why must you insist on calling people genocidal maniacs anytime they don’t agree with your very extreme views? It makes you look either young and immature or just stupid at any age who doesn’t think before he speaks and can dish it but can’t take it back in return. This is probably why you were asked not to post.

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This is probably why you were asked not to post.

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and yet he still does

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Since the early days of the war, these questions have pinballed around the cavern between my ears.

Does Russia not fly electronic warfare planes ala the US Airforce Wild Weasels?

Do they not have radar-seeking missiles as we do with the HARM?

Why haven't we seen multi-squadron strike packages from Russia?

Are MANPADS so effective that they simply deny the enemy the airspace?

How does the US counter the MANPAD threat to maintain air superiority over a battlefield?

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Again, you need to go back to the GPD and share of GDP comparisons to really grasp what's going on here.

Russia is a bit of a medium fry when it comes to total spending and, thus, capability. There is the US which is, still and by far, the hyper-dominant global power when it comes to capability and reach. Then there is China which is likely a fraction of the US' capability and reach but gaining a bit here and there and investing in certain key strategic areas.

Then there is everyone else who are all grouped pretty closely together, but it's India, Russia, the UK, and France. Russia is nothing special among that group, and that was obvious before the invasion. If the US was never involved in this war, I am extremely confident that the UK and France would be able to handle Russia with some ease without our help; that is how shitty the Russian military is.

They spend a decent amount on quantity of armor, IFVs, 1970's era SEAD tech, 1970s era fighter bombers, and so on. That gets you to somewhat being able to fight a NATO force from the 1990's (and an American force from the late 1970's, maybe, but from what I've seen, we would still have a serious edge). The current state and disposition of their service is not good.

Yep. Not our war, but will be. We’ve already funded it.