re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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Upvote if you believed so strongly in this conflict that you risked all to the cause and volunteered to help the poor Ukraine's defeat the Russians. Downvote if you didn't and are just playing make believe soldier in this thread.

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I was in Kharkiv back in July and August so I can upvote, but I downvoted because your poll is bad and you should feel bad.

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I do believe this has cause delays in Chinas plans for Taiwan, but agree the longer this goes and the more resources are sent to Ukraine, the better Chinas outlook on their goals in Taiwan become.

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It’s different, but I have no doubt China is enjoying getting first hand knowledge of how the west will respond to aggression by a nuclear power. They couldn’t ask for a better simulator for their own future ambition to absorbs Taiwan.

That said I disagree strongly with people who say China benefits from global chaos. China benefits from a stable and prosperous west and peaceful world order. It is that environment that fuels its ascendency as a (or the) global super power. Disruptions to that ascent have the potential to cause significant internal turmoil for a government built around one voice for all.

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I was in Kharkiv back in July and August so I can upvote

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Sure you were, liar.

Anyway. 2 month deployment how noble of you.

At ease, soldier.

China wants not a prosperous west and a weak west.

They want the west to buy their goods but they also want them weak minded.

China, IMO, is largely behind a lot of the “social” pushes that have us divided as a nation.

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China, IMO, is largely behind a lot of the “social” pushes that have us divided as a nation.

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Agreed

ISW on the Nuclear threat by Russia

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/special-report-assessing-putin%E2%80%99s-implicit-nuclear-threats-after-annexation

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Russian President Vladimir Putin did not threaten an immediate nuclear attack to halt the Ukrainian counteroffensives into Russian-occupied Ukraine during his speech announcing Russia’s illegal annexation of Ukrainian territory. Putin announced Russia’s illegal annexation of Ukraine’s Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhia oblasts on September 30 even as Ukrainian forces encircled Russian troops in the key city of Lyman, Luhansk Oblast, immediately demonstrating that Russia will struggle to hold the territory it claims to have annexed. Putin likely intends annexation to freeze the war along the current frontlines and allow time for Russian mobilization to reconstitute Russian forces. The annexation of parts of four Ukrainian oblasts does not signify that Putin has abandoned his stated objective of destroying the Ukrainian state for a lesser goal. As ISW assessed in May, if Putin’s annexation of occupied Ukraine stabilizes the conflict along new front lines, “the Kremlin could reconstitute its forces and renew its invasion of Ukraine in the coming years, this time from a position of greater strength and territorial advantage.”[1]

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You claiming my house is bigger and better than yours is very childish.

You dont think?

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no shite sherlock!! i was imitating you coming on here talking about how you didnt serve cause you are so rich and smarter than the rest of us

but you are too stupid to understand that

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Putin is calling timeout.

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Thats an interesting way to put annexing the territories they always wanted as everyone throws a fit even though they said Ukraine was winning

They are taking what they wanted

Sounds like a win to me

So it begins

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Israeli intelligence firm ImageSat International (ISI) has detected an “irregular presence” of Russian TU-160 and TU-95 strategic bombers deployed to the Olenya Airbase near Finland.

According to satellite images taken by the firm, four TU-160s were detected on August 21rst and three TU-95s were detected on September 25th. There were no strategic bombers present at the airbase on August 12th.

“Through ongoing Patterns-of-Life, the system indicates that Engels air base is the possible departure point of the strategic bombers detected in Olenya airbase,” the report read.

Engels air base is home to Russia’s only strategic bombers stationed near Ukraine and is the home base for the 121rst Heavy Bomber Aviation Regiment (121 TBAP) that flies the TU-160s and TU-95.

The bombers, capable of carrying cruise missiles and strategic nuclear weapons, have been active in the Ukrainian war since Moscow invaded in February. Throughout the war against Ukraine, the Russian Air Force has been unable to gain air superiority and has lost numerous aircraft.

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While it is unclear why the bombers have been moved to the airbase, it comes as Russian President Vladimir Putin continues to threaten the West that he could use strategic nuclear weapons, including after he announced a partial mobilization in the country, saying that “this is not a bluff.”

Olenya airbase is located on the Kola Peninsula near Murmansk. It houses Russia’s Northern Fleet and a significant number of arms and military hardware, including tactical and strategic nuclear weapons.

According to 2020 data released under the New START arms reduction treaty between Moscow and Washington, Russia has declared 1,447 deployed strategic warheads and has the capacity to deploy “many more than 1,550 warheads on its modernized ICBMs and SLBMs, as well as heavy bombers, but is constrained from doing so by New START.

The airbase is also a major Russian airbase which an enormous strike capacity that would send a signal to the United States and NATO. The base is also out of range of Ukrainian weaponry which have been striking Russian airbases with weaponry delivered by Washington and other European nations.

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LINK