re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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If they can pull that off in the next month who knows what that does to the trajectory of the war and the west’s appetite to continue supporting Ukraine.

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I think now is around the time the Western aid can start calculating a return of sorts and I agree; timeline now is probably at the APEX.

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Why OML focused on Western Europe without considering they don't have very much leverage in this situation is one of his many mysteries. I suspect he wants to suggest that somehow Western Europe has a lot of leverage to get a brokered peace, or that Western Europe would somehow want Ukraine to capitulate, but like usual, he isn't thinking it through.

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Because Western Europe has more leverage over us than Ukraine does. And if they don’t just rationally speaking, then that means Biden is completely compromised by Ukranian oligarchs and that’s a national emergency. Britain, France, and Germany should all have more leverage over us than Ukraine or Russia does just from a mutual self interest.

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Because Western Europe has more leverage over us than Ukraine does. 

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They absolutely do not. What are they going to do? The US determines the nature of that relationship, not the other way around. And a sea-change in policy doesn't happen overnight. You'd see diplomatic overtures and such being made right now if that was the plan of action in Western Europe. Again, geopolitics occurs along longer timescales than what you imagine about the convenience of the average European.

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And if they don’t just rationally speaking, then that means Biden is completely compromised by Ukranian oligarchs and that’s a national emergency.

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Idiotic.

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Britain, France, and Germany should all have more leverage over us than Ukraine or Russia does just from a mutual self interest.

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Again, the US is the senior partner in the arrangement. The US has done what it has wanted and European partners have had to go along for a while now. The mutual self-interest aspect is literally oriented around Russian interference in European affairs, which somehow you seem to discount. You aren't thinking this through, again.

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Ukraine wanted to join NATO to protect itself from invasion by the Russian Federation. The Russian Federation considers this unacceptable because it would put another NATO nation on its border. I have a some questions regarding that logic and I will ask them in both english and russian.

1. Why is it not acceptable for Ukraine to join to protect itself from the Russian Federation?

2. Why is it acceptable for the Russian Federation to invade Ukraine to protect the Russian Federation from NATO?

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I already answered these questions a month or two ago. Don't you remember?

You write "Ukraine wanted to join NATO", what does this mean?
Question 3
At one time, Hitler invaded the USSR and Stalin is still scolded for allowing this.
Putin did not make such a mistake and struck first. I brought here proofs confirming that in the spring or summer Ukraine was planning strikes against Donetsk, Crimea and the territory of the Russian Federation
This is one thing, and the second, having not received security guarantees for the Russian Federation from NATO and seeing its inevitable expansion, took care of its own security on its own.

The fact that the pocket government planted on the Maidan, not completely independent and controlled from the United States,
decided to "join", does this mean "Ukraine wanted to"?
After the Maidan, they didn’t even want to hold a referendum. the result would be against entry.

Questions 1 and 2
Russia gave guarantees of its non-aggression and in response asked for similar ones for itself,
that is, the non-bloc status of Ukraine and the non-deployment of missile weapons there.
Thus, both points would be mutually beneficial to all parties. But this is if there would be an independent government in Ukraine.

Question 4
Of course, in the Russian Federation, no one is happy with the large number of deaths. But everyone, even schoolchildren, understand that if we don’t protect ourselves now, then we will have a war in Russia.
There is also little joy about Finland. But at least there is consolation that they can be neutralized relatively easily. Like the Baltics.
I am glad that we see the exchange. Weak Finland and Sweden are joining NATO, and powerful Turkey is in the process of falling out of it.
In the United States, this is still poorly visible, but we see certain symptoms

Question 5
Because Ukraine is only in the next separate state, and in our part it is part of the Russian lands and peoples.
Right now, the IAEA is going to the shelled nuclear power plant and fixes a multi-kilometer line of cars from Ukraine.
In the chains of people who are controlled by Kyiv from the outside, there are a large number of victims of the Nazis, where you can speak Russian fluently.
Why do you think they run to the Russians?

Question 6
Negative.

Question 7
As compelled and necessary. In the end, there will be security for the Russian Federation, safe for residents who are lucky enough to live in the liberated territories, they will not be oppressed like the last 8 years.
Russia will return historical lands, workers will appear. A lot of people from Ukraine are already coming to us.
At first, they do not believe their eyes and ears. Because what they were told by their TV is some kind of parallel reality.
When they sober up from Ukrainian propaganda, I start calling home, to Ukraine and telling "in fact, everything is not so ..."
For their sake, this operation must go to the end.

By the way, they asked me here why I'm not there, I answer I don't pass by age, but my son is in the army.

It's already midnight for me. If someone writes to me, I will answer everyone tomorrow

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Ukraine is a sovereign nation that wants to pursue its future independent of the Orc aggressors. It is not a rump state to Russia and is in the process of severing ties with that primitive nation once and for all.

Your wife will have to choose between you and Ukraine. I think she’ll choose Ukraine

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Orcs in this case are not us, but the United States.
Estimate my wife does not choose Ukraine, she is indignant why the Kremlin towers do not support the people of Texas or I do not know the way Florida will be in the liberation movement from the orcs from Washington.
Damn reading you think maybe she's right about something

Not thinking it through? Haha. That’s putting it mildly and politely.

Presumably the Finns will be no match for that well-oiled war machine that Herr Putin has used to roll over Ukraine as if it were not even defended.

Suka

Crimea is Ukraine

Donbas is Ukraine

Complaining about the Ukrainians defending their homeland is weak.

Be mindful of Turkey, they hate Russia for the Azerbaijani genocide in Armenia. They also hate Russia for the deportation and killing all the Crimean Tartars