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re: John Bel 3:30 PM News Conference Update Predictions

Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:12 pm to
Posted by Btrtigerfan
Disgruntled employee
Member since Dec 2007
21413 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

10 deaths


Today? In Louisiana? Source?
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77358 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:12 pm to
Im not making fun of it, just explaining why they are saying its going to get worse
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

dukke v



Well good thing for you, your house has wheels and you can just roll out
This post was edited on 3/19/20 at 4:13 pm
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73680 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

Today? In Louisiana? Source?


Governor just said it.

Increased 2 to 10 total.
Posted by Pendulum
Member since Jan 2009
7046 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

There are alot of people in this thread making fun of this.... I am telling you right now that it is alot more serious than his letting on. watch... A curfew will be set and some roads will be closed except for essentional personnel. I'm getting all the meds we need tonight and try to shop.


Relax, There is zero chance unless this is the end times, that we don't have access to meds and groceries even if we get sheltered. Being prepared aint a bad idea though.
Posted by Nature Boy
Negatiger
Member since Jan 2008
18981 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:13 pm to
Exactly. I understand stressing urgency, but he’s basically scolding everyone and saying that they’re not following instructions. The implication is that we’ll be Italy soon because we’re not doing what we’re told.

On one hand, he tells us the numbers will spike due to the testing, but then on the other he says all of the new positives are from exposures in the last few days. That is utter bullshite.

The motherfricker us begging for a catastrophe. I don’t know what he’s got in mind, but whatever dramatic move he’s thinking about, he’s going to do it one way or another. His mind is made up.
Posted by Jack Bauer7
Member since Jun 2012
5026 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:13 pm to
he said that louisiana is on pace for the worst case scenario,

he's going to have no choice to but to do a shelter in place soon..at least for nola and JP
Posted by More beer please
Member since Feb 2010
45050 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:15 pm to
What does that even mean?
Posted by Motorboat
At the camp
Member since Oct 2007
22672 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:16 pm to
quote:

The motherfricker us begging for a catastrophe. I don’t know what he’s got in mind, but whatever dramatic move he’s thinking about, he’s going to do it one way or another. His mind is made up.




Um, you sound like the dramatic one.
Posted by CollegeFBRules
Member since Oct 2008
24252 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

he said that louisiana is on pace for the worst case scenario,


No he did not. He said they’ve run the models for it, he did not say we are on pace for it.
Posted by Jack Bauer7
Member since Jun 2012
5026 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:17 pm to
worse case scenario meaning louisiana will exceed it health care capacity in 7 days if the cases continue to rise at the pace their rising
Posted by Walking the Earth
Member since Feb 2013
17260 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

meaning louisiana will exceed it health care capacity in 7 days


He said NOLA and Jefferson, homey.
Posted by Nature Boy
Negatiger
Member since Jan 2008
18981 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

worse case scenario meaning louisiana will exceed it health care capacity in 7 days if the cases continue to rise at the pace their rising


My point is that the numbers are obviously going up quickly because cases are being confirmed now that we’re actually testing. You can’t judge our current ‘curve’ based on the tests that have only been run in the last 3-4 days. It’s not an accurate accounting.
Posted by More beer please
Member since Feb 2010
45050 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:21 pm to
If the worldometer is accurate Louisiana has fewer new cases today than yesterday.
Posted by Nature Boy
Negatiger
Member since Jan 2008
18981 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

He said NOLA and Jefferson, homey.


Yes, during his press conference. He had to clarify himself, because he did not did not specify NOLA and Jefferson during his question to trump an hour before.
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

Im sure what he means is that louisiana is still in the process of ramping up testing...so we will get alot more cases, and until we ramp up testing to the max, we wont know if the curve is flattening


And that’s fair. But like I said yesterday, just because people haven’t tested positive doesn’t mean there aren’t plenty more out there that have it. Some are asymptomatic, and some just flat out won’t go to the hospital...some have probably already recovered and never sought medical treatment. Regardless of the scenario, hospitals aren’t being overwhelmed and people aren’t dropping dead en masse. People testing positive doesn’t really change that.

I’m in support of the social distancing though. As everyone should be who knows anyone elderly, or with cancer or any other disease on the long list that would make them particularly susceptible to this virus. I wasn’t trying to downplay anything, nor am I a chicken little...his vagueness is just annoying. He speaks every day and doesn’t really ever say anything.
This post was edited on 3/19/20 at 4:25 pm
Posted by Chef Free Gold Bloom
Wherever I’m needed
Member since Dec 2019
1364 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

A curfew will be set and some roads will be closed except for essentional personnel


Nazis
Posted by Btrtigerfan
Disgruntled employee
Member since Dec 2007
21413 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

If the worldometer is accurate


It updates several times a day. I don’t think it’s up to the minute. The most useful column to me is “serious cases.”

If you expand it out to worldwide stats, some countries are already on the downside of the peak.
Posted by More beer please
Member since Feb 2010
45050 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 4:41 pm to
I’d consider that a positive step considering there’s even more testing now.
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