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re: Italian doctor updates how Covid 19 is overwhelming health Care system

Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:10 am to
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
96254 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:10 am to
quote:

I assume you know the results of said millions of tests to make that question reasonable?




No. I have a functioning human brain. The tests will show:

1. Widespread infection (versus 50 or 60 deaths to this point), or

2. Limited infection (which means it is contained)


What 3rd option is there?
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
96254 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:14 am to
quote:

The idea that some of you have that our healthcare system is so superior to Europe’s bc it’s private is about to be fricking shattered


And, yet strangely, no important person sneaks out of America in the middle of the night to get treatment in the wonderful, foeign, public health systems.
Posted by theenemy
Member since Oct 2006
13078 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:15 am to
So what does countries with government run healthcare have that our system of private and public does not?

Medical facilities?

Doctors?

Nurses?

Medical equipment?
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41910 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:16 am to
quote:

2. Limited infection (which means it is contained)


I think it's fairly clear that this is not the case
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21849 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:16 am to
quote:

Widespread infection (versus 50 or 60 deaths to this point), or


I find it interesting that we cant test the living but we know how many died of this.

Aside from that theres a long lag time with this illness. If in two weeks you dont see a spike in hospitalized cases you have a point.
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
53608 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:17 am to
Okay.

Be aware I’m completely making up numbers here for illustrative purposes.

Let’s say virus A sends half of those infected to the hospital, but only infects a 100 people?

That’s 50 patients one has to deal with.


Let’s Say virus B sends a tenth of those infected to the hospital, but infects 500k.

That’s 50k patients that the hospital needs to deal with in spite of being clearly the milder illness.


Of what you meationed, SARS hit a global final case count of only 8k. I don’t even remember if it hit the US....but if it did it was only a handful easily absorbed into standing capacity.

Here....keep in mind the entire US has “only” around 100k ICU beds. 50-80k of which is constantly filled dealing with other issues.

Does that answer your question, or am I missing your point?
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
96254 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:18 am to
quote:

I think it's fairly clear that this is not the case



Then the only other conclusion one can draw is that it is not lethal in the United States. Or, at least it has not been yet.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:20 am to
If it spreads wide in S. Italy, they're screwed. The North has far superior facilities.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:22 am to
quote:

I was just thinking how this place needs more douche bags posting like the retard Mr Perfect


Kilroy idolizes that 16 year old kid.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
46722 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:22 am to
Our healthcare system is pretty fricked. We definitely shouldn't be poking fun at other countries
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:23 am to
quote:

Then the only other conclusion one can draw is that it is not lethal in the United States. Or, at least it has not been yet.


Garbage data in = Garbage data out

This isn't an either/or deal. The lack of testing screws numbers of everything. How many could have died of mysterious sudden onset of pneumonia or other respiratory ailments when testing was practically non existent?

This is why testing is important. Leaders and experts NEED good data and they need it ASAP to make the best choices.
This post was edited on 3/15/20 at 11:25 am
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:24 am to
quote:

Could this be a product of Universal healthcare?


The disease in Italy is highly concebrtated in N Italy where the garment industry flourishes.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
96254 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:26 am to
quote:

How many could have died of mysterious sudden onset of pneumonia or other respiratory ailments when testing was practically non existent?


Where are the bodies? Was the flu season 200x as bad as normal this year? Has there been a spike in these sorts of deaths in the absence of other explanations?

quote:

Garbage data in = Garbage data out



True, but better than bullshite, biased speculation.
Posted by EarlyCuyler3
Appalachia
Member since Nov 2017
27290 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:26 am to
quote:

So what does countries with government run healthcare have that our system of private and public does not?


You have the argument backwards. The question is what do we have in our system that they do not? I work in the system, I know how short staffed and stressed and thin things are first hand.

I still think this is a lot of much ado over nothing, but if it does really get bad for whatever reason, it may be really really ugly. For example, our hospital had to rent vents in the past due to a bad flu season. That's what the article was mentioning directly. What happens when you don't have any more vents? You can't sit there and manually bag a patient for hours, let alone days.
Posted by Athis
I AM Charlie Kirk....
Member since Aug 2016
16919 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:26 am to
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:27 am to
quote:

Our healthcare system is pretty fricked. We definitely shouldn't be poking fun at other countries


It's actually pretty damn good for most. Doctors training, facilities, are all superior to most areas including Italy.

It Italy everyone has access but some areas have far superior health care than others.
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:28 am to
Sorry I wasn't trying to speculate on how many may or may not have died, but using that to illustrate my point.

Yes we can look at other things to make inferences and that's better than nothing but cold, hard data is most important and the CDC botched that horribly
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
78045 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:28 am to
quote:

You think we have enough equipment and staff to keep up though?
Do not move the goalposts.

And who knows.

If it even gets to this insane apocalypse level that y’all are predicting, we will find out.

All any of you are doing is taking worst possible scenario as fact.
This post was edited on 3/15/20 at 11:30 am
Posted by PearlJam
NotBeardEaves
Member since Aug 2014
13908 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:29 am to
quote:

No. I have a functioning human brain. The tests will show:

1. Widespread infection (versus 50 or 60 deaths to this point), or

2. Limited infection (which means it is contained)


What 3rd option is there?
The data release is lagging or we are still in the early days of the spread?

I'm not sure what you are getting at.
Posted by PearlJam
NotBeardEaves
Member since Aug 2014
13908 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:32 am to
quote:

If it even gets to this insane apocalypse level that y’all are predicting, we will find out.

All any of you are doing is taking worst possible scenario as fact.
Who is doing this?
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