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re: Israel–Hamas War Discussion Thread: News Links On First Page

Posted on 11/24/23 at 9:02 am to
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78366 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 9:02 am to
The 12 Thai are being released at the request of Iran. Thailand brokered a deal with them.
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
23524 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 9:11 am to
quote:

The 12 Thai are being released at the request of Iran. Thailand brokered a deal with them.
I wonder if any government will cite this as proof the Iranians were behind it all, and actually hit them?
Posted by Pandy Fackler
Member since Jun 2018
21114 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 9:16 am to
quote:

quote:
The 12 Thai are being released at the request of Iran. Thailand brokered a deal with them.

I wonder if any government will cite this as proof the Iranians were behind it all, and actually hit them?





Who would or should do the hitting? And how should they be hit?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75094 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 9:20 am to
quote:

I wonder if any government will cite this as proof the Iranians were behind it all, and actually hit them?

They didn't need anymore proof. And, no, no one is going to hit Iran over this. They'll continue to kick the shite out of their proxies off and on, though.
Posted by RetiredSaintsLsuFan
NW Arkansas
Member since Jun 2020
2457 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 9:54 am to
How soon will the 13 teenagers be shooting Israel's?
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78366 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 10:38 am to
Looking at two of the prisoners Hamas got back. One stabbed two Israeli citizens and one stabbed an IDF soldier in the neck.

Pandy assured us that these weren't dangerous individuals and just rock throwers.

Hamas already broke the ceasefire too.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 11:58 am to
quote:

How soon will the 13 teenagers be shooting Israel's?


I mean, once the fighting starts back, won’t the IDF take care of them on the battlefield (assuming these guys decide to fight)?
This post was edited on 11/24/23 at 12:02 pm
Posted by Pandy Fackler
Member since Jun 2018
21114 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

I mean, once the fighting starts back, won’t the IDF take care of them on the battlefield?


They'll get killed sooner or later but the reality is they may not actually have a command structure to report to. There may not be any real leadership any longer. Just small groups acting Independently that are probably worried more about being hunted down than bolstering their numbers. Also, the ones they're releasing aren't from Gaza. They're from East Jerusalem and some other places.

The IDF is killing leadership daily. Some of these terrorists are cut off and acting alone.

These teenagers that are being released, they're going to be closely monitored by the Israelis or at least that's the plan. They should be able to do this pretty easily, considering where they're being released to.
This post was edited on 11/24/23 at 12:08 pm
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78366 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

There may not be any real leadership any longer


Like the last prisoner release?

Because one of the prisoners released was one of the leaders of Oct 7.
Posted by Pandy Fackler
Member since Jun 2018
21114 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

I've reached the point where when I see he's posted something, I just assume it's incorrect and move on.

No point in reading or downvoting or anything.


You read everyone of them.
Posted by WHATASHAME
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2009
717 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 1:29 pm to

quote:

I've reached the point where when I see he's posted something, I just assume it's incorrect and move on.
Strange.

Chicken has been cooling those of his ilk. Must be entertaining.
This post was edited on 11/24/23 at 1:32 pm
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78366 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

These kids were already imprisoned before October 7th and are now getting freed, so there's some justification for the Oct 7th attacks at least in their minds.



Without a doubt. These hostage for prisoner exchanges give nothing more than justification to kidnap more Israelis.

Hamas has won the PR game to the point that people, even on this board, are supportive of these exchanges because they think it is somehow justifiable.
Posted by Pandy Fackler
Member since Jun 2018
21114 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

Strange.

Chicken has been cooling those of his ilk. Must be entertaining.


Are you reading my posts?

Maybe you disagree. Maybe you think it's stupid. Maybe you think alot of things but there's no trolling in it.

For a variety of reasons, I think this swap is a really good thing but I seem to be in the minority.

There's a theme in this thread with a fair number of participants and that theme suggests that anything other than scorched earth and a Dresden style destruction of Gaza and Hamas, and by extension the Palestinians for supporting Hamas is a failure. If hostages are killed in this destruction, then they're killed. That's simply a price that has to be paid.

Well I don't agree. I believe a willingness to selectively concede on some things like this separates the civil from the savage.

There are times when the civilized has to stoop to the level of the savage and get in the gutter with them. Is this one of those times? Well the Israeli Government clearly thinks not. They place enough value on their own people to trade largely inconsequential criminals for innocent children and their mothers. What reasonable person would take issue with this?

Additionally. I'm willing the consider the very real possibility that the Israeli Government (unlike the OT) is privy to intelligence and knowledge that tells them this pause offers no strategic advantage to Hamas at all. It's quite possible that the IDF is confident enough in its ongoing destruction of Hamas and its leadership, that it feels they simply lack the capability to regroup during this pause. After all, so far the destruction of Gaza and Hamas has been utterly profound.

This may very well fall apart and if it does, the Israelis can hopefully walk away saying they did what they could do.

This post was edited on 11/24/23 at 2:12 pm
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
109220 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

Leadership structure seems to be crumbling.



That happens when the IDF keeps killing them off.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299077 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

I believe a willingness to selectively concede on some things like this separates the civil from the savage.


Its been 6 weeks, every person in Gaza has repeatedly been warned to evacuated certain areas.

If you want civil, Hamas must go. Not just for the Israelis, but for the Palestinian people. Whatever that takes.
Posted by Pandy Fackler
Member since Jun 2018
21114 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

Its been 6 weeks, every person in Gaza has repeatedly been warned to evacuated certain areas.

If you want civil, Hamas must go. Not just for the Israelis, but for the Palestinian people. Whatever that takes.


I agree. I don't take issue with Israel going to war or the way their doing it.

Folks in this thread are sore at me when I've done nothing more than agree with Israel on their decision to make this exchange.
This post was edited on 11/24/23 at 2:30 pm
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78366 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 2:36 pm to
quote:

I've done nothing more than agree with Israel on their decision to make this exchange.



You've pushed the viewpoint that not agreeing with the exchange is somehow being against the return of hostages.
Posted by Pandy Fackler
Member since Jun 2018
21114 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

You've pushed the viewpoint that not agreeing with the exchange is somehow being against the return of hostages.



No I haven't. Not even close. Who would be against the return of the hostages? That makes no sense.

No one is against their return. But there are plenty of people (you being among them) who disagree with returning them through this exchange and it's fine that you're against it. You're not alone. It seems most in this thread agree with you. I'm just glad the Israeli Government doesn't.

Everyone supports their return. Simply supporting it is the easy part. "Supporting something" requires no effort or difficult decision making.

What you don't support is what the Israeli Government has decided to do to make it happen.

Posted by I20goon
about 7mi down a dirt road
Member since Aug 2013
19829 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

I agree. I don't take issue with Israel going to war or the way their doing it.

Folks in this thread are sore at me when I've done nothing more than agree with Israel on their decision to make this exchange.
Yes, agreed, it is plainly obvious (I would think) that Israel should and why they agreed to this exchange.

- PR reasons: can you imagine what would happen if they won't agree to anything?

- Practical: if you can save a life, you safe a life.

- Practical: one of their war aims is to return the hostages, or as many as they can (that's why I don't get the "Israel needs to do more to rescue the hostages" crowd, not counting the families, they did go to war what more do you want and why aren't you bitching about Hamas not releasing them, but I digress..._), and this at least partially achieves that. It's on Hamas that the war will continue to get the rest... and die while they are at it.

- Political: It is their duty to their citizens first and foremost. One of the functions, the reason to exist- at least in a Democracy, is to protect its citizens. Now, they failed at that. So they have a duty to do everything they can to rectify that.

But there are other reasons too, military reasons. And liike us Shin Bet/Mossad are smart enough and capable enough to do so. The difference being we would never brag about it because people (the left) would throw hissy fits about it because of things like "using a cease fire to wage war", etc. Israel will brag about it, eventually, because they want the hostages to know their loss of freedom was avenged and they actually played a part in it. Israel obviously rules the skies, has a technological advantage, and is better at surveillance. Therefore...

- They will track where the hostages emerge from and those places will be added to a target list
- Release will likely be proceeded by a lot of SIGINT (unless Hamas uses runners) giving personnel targets.
- That SIGINT will paint a better picture of the commands/clans operating.
- Can use that to cause friction between the clans.
- Can track the prisoners released
- Can add to the case of using civilian sites as military when the hostages are tracked leaving them.
- Hamas is smart enough to stage them, move them from holding site to release site, which because of the prevalence of Israeli surveillance will give them 2 target.
Posted by Pandy Fackler
Member since Jun 2018
21114 posts
Posted on 11/24/23 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

That happens when the IDF keeps killing them off.


Yes. I've said that.
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