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If the Mississippi River changes course, how will this affect the north shore?

Posted on 1/26/20 at 11:12 am
Posted by white perch
the bright, happy side of hell
Member since Apr 2012
7116 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 11:12 am
I’m probably gonna be moving to the north shore this summer but I’m concerned that the river will eventually change course and flow down the atchafalya. How will this affect the north shore region economically? Will home prices drop? Will my house become beach front property?
Posted by TheAstroTiger
Member since Jun 2018
3101 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 11:13 am to
They wouldn’t let it change course.
Posted by JohnnyBgood
South Louisiana
Member since May 2010
4281 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 11:14 am to
It will never change course as long as the levees are in place.
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
67606 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 11:14 am to
fishing and crabbing in ponchartrain will improve
Posted by SEClint
New Orleans, LA/Portland, OR
Member since Nov 2006
48769 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 11:15 am to
quote:

Will home prices drop? Will my house become beach front property?



If it becomes that, seems like it wouldnt drop.
Posted by Meauxjeaux
98836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
39839 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 11:15 am to
There might not be a more 100% wrong answer in the history of TD.
Posted by thegreatboudini
Member since Oct 2008
6440 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 11:15 am to


The Corps won’t let it change course. They’ve been preventing that long before we showed up for economic gain, and ultimately destroying the Louisiana coastline.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
34904 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 11:20 am to
Slidell will be a shithole.
Posted by feedthepig20
Member since Dec 2007
1325 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 11:22 am to
With a large enough flood there will be nothing the corps can do to stop it. Of course they won’t “let it” change course, but that doesn’t mean it won’t.
Posted by ELLSSUU
Member since Jan 2005
7315 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 11:23 am to
quote:

I’m probably gonna be moving to the north shore this summer



It’s closed for new move ins.


Seriously for all the things in this world to worry about choose something more relevant and likely to happen.
Posted by cave canem
pullarius dominus
Member since Oct 2012
12186 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 11:23 am to
Even if the Morganza structure were to completely fail it would not be a complete course change, there would simply be less flow down the old channel, they would both be distributaries, there is a bit of dissagreement as to how much each would carry.

Honestly I am not so sure it would be a bad thing long term as something has to give sooner or later and everything we have done over the last 175 years has only kicked the can down the road and allowed things to fester.
Posted by MojoGuyPan
Intercession City, Florida
Member since Jun 2018
2797 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 11:38 am to
It'll turn the northshore into the new Bay St. Louis and that Casino at Fountainbleu would definitely get built.

Just need a few more independent coffee shops and tarot readers.
Posted by Kadjin
edge of the basin
Member since Oct 2013
1251 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 11:49 am to
If the river ever jumps, which I’m betting it will some day, mother nature’s undefeated, where you live won’t matter, it won’t just be catastrophic to South Louisiana, it’ll be catastrophic to the entire nation. Ship traffic won’t be accessible anymore and trillions of dollars of infrastructure will be affected that the country is heavily dependent on. It’s gonna take a minute to figure that mess out.

So the last thing in the world you need to worry about in making your decision is what the river’s gonna do. If you’re that worried about it just move to Houston, they’ll probably have a nice boom trying to pick up the slack.
Posted by Polycarp
Texas
Member since Feb 2009
5564 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 11:52 am to
Everything would change, especially if the New Madrid quake ever happens.
Posted by tigers win2
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2009
3837 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 12:41 pm to
The river levels are becoming very interesting. I follow the river and reservoir stages up in the north due to a kayak race I’ve participated in on the Missouri River. Most of the reservoirs are well about the normal capacity for entering winter. They couldn’t release more to get them down due to record high river levels on the Mississippi River last fall.

On top of that, most of the “snow dumps” for Northern cities in the basin are also at record levels. They can’t add anymore snow to the compounds and they still have 2 months of heavy winter left.

The Mississippi River in Baton Rouge is already rising. It’s already at the base of the levee and going up daily.

Looks like the levee system will be tested again this year. Given the northern reservoir and snow dumps being above capacity to hold snow and water, they will have no option but to let the water flow south as snow melts. They usually control the release of water from reservoirs, doesn’t look like they will really have that as an option this year.

I think Morganza will have to be opened as well as blowing levees up north that flood farmland to slow the movement of water down the MS River.

This post was edited on 1/26/20 at 12:44 pm
Posted by DeCat ODahouse
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2017
1369 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

Slidell will be a shithole.

WILL BE...?
Posted by terriblegreen
Souf Badden Rewage
Member since Aug 2011
9589 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 12:44 pm to
How will this affect the Northshore???

How will this affect the global economy is more like it. If you even asked this in the first place... I consider you a dumbass.
Posted by terriblegreen
Souf Badden Rewage
Member since Aug 2011
9589 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

It will never change course as long as the levees are in place.


Try again.
Posted by 777Tiger
Member since Mar 2011
73856 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 12:45 pm to
for a doc, this is about as stupid of a question that I can imagine
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
101914 posts
Posted on 1/26/20 at 12:49 pm to
If it failed, probably at Old River, it would be disastrous but there are other ways to get barge traffic up river.

The Army Corps would do whatever possible to correct the course once water was low. Not much to be done other than planning at high water.
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