- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:20 am to deltaland
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:20 am to deltaland
quote:
Caving to the euro. This will be a Florida storm it appears
That feeling you get when you're all amped up to play a travel ball game and it gets rained out.
0
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:21 am to deltaland
quote:
Caving to the euro. This will be a Florida storm it appears
I really don't think anyone can say anything definitive when it hasn't even formed yet or gotten through the Yucatan and Cuba.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:21 am to rds dc
Looks like all favorable trends so far on the 12z runs.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:21 am to deltaland
Please don't stall... 
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:21 am to rds dc
quote:
Looks like all favorable trends so far on the 12z runs.
my nekka
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:24 am to rds dc
I'm sure this has been discussed over and over again, but would someone indulge me in explaining (or linking to an explanation) regarding what I'm looking at on this page in regards to "global + hurricane models" vs "GFS ensembles" vs "GEPS ensembles"? To be more clear, I understand I'm looking at models, but I'm having a hard time figuring out what the difference between those groupings are, and whether I should care 
Tropical Tidbits
Tropical Tidbits
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:26 am to rds dc
GFS back to a panhandle landfall
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:27 am to UpToPar
Seems like GFS is moving towards Euro or trying to split the difference.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:27 am to Joshjrn
12z GFS just has the thing sitting over the Gulf for a while, barely moving.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:28 am to Fun Bunch
quote:
trying to split the difference.
splitting the difference with yesterday's 18Z GFS would be like LA/MS border (it was that far west)
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 11:29 am
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:30 am to gaetti15
Pensacola fricked with that run.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:31 am to LSUTiger23
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:32 am to loogaroo
quote:
I managed some cleanup in Marianna (80 miles inland). I've never seen anything like it. Even worse than Katrina, Rita, and the last few that hit. It was incredible.
Hurricane Michael was a 30 mile wide EF4 tornado. It took out hardened concrete structures at Tyndall AFB, the force required to do that is incomprehensible.
Had it landed west by 50 miles there wouldn’t be a 30A or Destin because it wouldve wiped it clean off the map and stuck in peoples minds because they vacation there, but Mexico Beach is mostly locals and retirees so no one paid much attention.
What it did to the pine trees and agriculture from PC/Mexico Beach northeast into GA was something you could only appreciate from the air because it had dropped trees in a consistent path that was visible for 70+ miles.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:33 am to loogaroo
It slows waay down. There is going to be some serious surge wherever she hits.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:34 am to gaetti15
Yeah, it was discussed last night after the midnight run…there was major skepticism with the gfs and where it had formation occurring. The landfall on this run is what happens when the conditions that caused that skepticism are no longer present.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:36 am to BregmansWheelbarrow
And even better news is this run has it as a Cat 2 storm making landfall. Surge will probably be more than a cat 2 being that it sits over the gulf for awhile, but it's not a cat 3 like the previous run.
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 11:37 am
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:37 am to BregmansWheelbarrow
quote:
when the conditions that caused that skepticism are no longer present.
it still has some issues with center formation in the NW Caribbean. Kind of like competing vortices going on.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:40 am to UpToPar
quote:
GFS
Bitch better back the frick up… that bitch had me scared but I held my own… I’m Pinky!
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:40 am to LSUTiger23
Levi Cowan discussed how there could be some dry air once it hits the gulf so that could prevent it from becoming a major hurricane.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:43 am to catholictigerfan
Yeah Levi said the northern gulf will be somewhat hostile
This should not be a Laura/Ida blowing up last 200 miles on approach
This should not be a Laura/Ida blowing up last 200 miles on approach
Page 80 of 465
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News