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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:04 am to
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:04 am to
Its disorganized so it looks like it is bouncing around a bit. Def should be a more eastern route though.
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
20720 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:05 am to
quote:

If it hits the Cape, it hits the same area that was decimated in 2018 by Michael.

I think the LA people don’t appreciate what Michael did to the FL gulf coast because most of them stay from OB to 30A.

You keep east on 98 to Panama City and Mexico Beach and there are still half rebuilt houses and flattened lots through that whole stretch and my understanding is that Port Saint Joe got it pretty bad too with the storm surge.

No one has ever had a worse run than LA the last few years and I certainly would never downplay what you’ve experienced, but let’s not pretend that FL has been free and clear when Pensacola/Perdido just lost a bridge two years ago for Sally and whole towns were wiped off the map within the last 5 years.
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
39829 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:06 am to
Posted by LSUTiger23
Madisonville, LA
Member since Jun 2010
1326 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:07 am to
Looks way more east at the +114. I hope I am dead wrong and this thing is in Florida
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100731 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:07 am to
Looks to shoot the gap and then starts rapidly intensifying
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
39829 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:09 am to
quote:

I think the LA people don’t appreciate what Michael did to the FL gulf coast because most of them stay from OB to 30A.


I managed some cleanup in Marianna (80 miles inland). I've never seen anything like it. Even worse than Katrina, Rita, and the last few that hit. It was incredible.
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 11:12 am
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49242 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:10 am to
The turn to the north appears to begin after shooting the gap. This is going into Florida.

EDIT: eh, maybe not. Jogged back to the NW again.
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 11:12 am
Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:10 am to
quote:

rapidly intensifying

Bingo
Posted by Herschal
Land of the Free
Member since Sep 2011
2124 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:11 am to
quote:

rapidly intensifying


Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
6831 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:12 am to
quote:

I have a house on the cape shrimpdick. It's more than just about travel plans.


I have a house in LA, a house in the panhandle and a house south of Tampa. I’m not worried or boarding up any. One is likely to get hit. shite happens.
Posted by BhamBlazeDog
Birmingham
Member since Aug 2018
3806 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:12 am to
quote:

I managed some cleanup in Marianna (80 miles inland). I've never seen anything like it. Even Katrina, Rita, and the last few that hit. It was incredible.



If you drive up 71 through Wewahitchka and up to Marianna, it's like someone clearcut 50,000 acres. Trees are still bent to hell. It just did not get the notoriety due to low population density. But at the end of the day it was still a destructive hurricane that affected a lot of lives.
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 11:21 am
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
83783 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:12 am to
Posted by m57
Flyover Country
Member since May 2017
2496 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:14 am to
So this model run is potentially good news for Nola correct?
Posted by VernonPLSUfan
Leesville, La.
Member since Sep 2007
17587 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:14 am to
Generator purchase on/off?
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
104442 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:15 am to
quote:

I have a house in LA, a house in the panhandle and a house south of Tampa.


Baller alert.
Posted by LSUTiger23
Madisonville, LA
Member since Jun 2010
1326 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:16 am to
You're going to be right. It's already made its turn. Go to Florida GFS
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15300 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:16 am to
might as well buy one if you are in a hurricane prone area
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
39829 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:17 am to
quote:


If you drive up 73 through Wewahitchka and up to Marianna, it's like someone clearcut 50,000 acres


I saw video of 30 year old pine trees hitting the ground one way, whipping back to the ground the other way, then snapping 20 feet up like a twig. All of them! It looked like someone took a weed eater to the trees from Panama City up to the FL/GA line.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100731 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:18 am to
Caving to the euro. This will be a Florida storm it appears
Posted by OmniPundit
Florida
Member since Sep 2018
1440 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:18 am to
quote:

Generator purchase on/off?


Don't wait until all the hardware stores are sold out.

Bought mine a couple of years ago. Used it, and then ran it until it was out of fuel, cleaned, and stored until needed.
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 11:36 am
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