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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:17 pm to
Posted by weagle99
Member since Nov 2011
35893 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:17 pm to
What do we think will happen when it gets to the Atlantic?
Posted by 850SaintsGator
Pensacola
Member since Sep 2021
2356 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:17 pm to
quote:

A tree fell on I-4 in Maitland.



Wait…there are trees near i4 in maitland!!?!
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
100378 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:18 pm to
I wonder if they, NHC, are making another mistake #2 by underestimating what Ian will do when back over water.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:19 pm to
Orlando To Daytona Under The Gun For Flooding Rainfall



quote:

Experimental Warn-on Forecast System (WoFS) increasing probabilities of 5 inches of rain in 6 hours in the I-4 corridor from Kissimmee and Orlando up to Daytona, and potentially over to the Space Coast. Seems to match radar trends fairly well. Valid for 10 PM to 4 AM EDT.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
39287 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:19 pm to
If a roof is still on and walls/windows intact due to great codes, then damage would be from flood meaning flood insurance claim, right? Provided that a homeowner had it.

This post was edited on 9/28/22 at 10:21 pm
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13154 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:19 pm to
Just one location. Similar flooding will be happening in many areas.

Posted by tLSU
Member since Oct 2007
8662 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:19 pm to
Why hasn't louisiana adopted modern storm requirements for new construction
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:20 pm to
quote:


I wonder if they, NHC, are making another mistake #2 by underestimating what Ian will do when back over water.


There's a case for a little strengthening before a second landfall but it's still going to be a shadow of its former self. It's going to spin down a whole bunch of energy over Florida.
Posted by Indfanfromcol
LSU
Member since Jan 2011
14775 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:20 pm to
Hearing from lots of people so far of losing power in Orlando. People in Hunters Creek, universal area. Still doing okay in Celebration but I know the next few hours will be the bad. Gust coming through though are pretty damn strong.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
39287 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:21 pm to
Your answer is in your question.
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
100378 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:23 pm to
quote:

There's a case for a little strengthening before a second landfall but it's still going to be a shadow of its former self. It's going to spin down a whole bunch of energy over Florida.



so is it coming into the Atlantic as a TS, D, open wave?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:27 pm to
TS but its takes a whole lot more than a day to reorganize after this level of disruption.

I don't mean to diminish the GA/SC part of this story, it's going to be positioned to bring more big rainfall potential up that way and some decent wind with the pressure gradient that will set up.

Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
80916 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:27 pm to
Projected to be a tropical storm.

Duke, will it be a slow mover after its second landfall?
This post was edited on 9/28/22 at 10:28 pm
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
172590 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:30 pm to
It has rained 3.06” and counting at MCO in a little over 3 hours. Getting slammed by endless on shore flow.
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
100378 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:31 pm to
gotcha .. I hope so, this m'fer needs to dissipate.
Posted by OU Guy
Member since Feb 2022
20232 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

Why hasn't louisiana adopted modern storm requirements for new construction


They made a new law/sponsor deal with Camping World so you can drive your home out of harms way in advance.

:)
Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
18360 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:33 pm to
quote:

Why hasn't louisiana adopted modern storm requirements for new construction


We have.
Posted by John88
Member since Sep 2015
6390 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:35 pm to
Dang, just saw this on a Florida Facebook group.
quote:


We're in Bonita Springs, a few blocks from the American Legion on Imperial Shores Blvd. The deceased body of an elderly woman in an orange shirt/dress washed up into our yard about 30 minutes ago and is now floating down the street away from our house. We called 911 and they said they can't respond to this anytime soon. They asked us if we were certain she's dead and we told them she is definitely dead, so they said this call would be lower on their priority list when they are finally able to respond. They asked us to stay away from the body, so we stayed inside and watched her float away. Idk what to do, we're in disbelief and can barely function. My phone is at 10% battery life. If anybody has any suggestions or can help, let me know soon before my phone dies. I don't think I'm gonna be able to sleep tonight, but I have no way to charge my phone.
Posted by Tiger Prawn
Member since Dec 2016
23997 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:36 pm to
quote:

Why hasn't louisiana adopted modern storm requirements for new construction
LA did, but not until after Katrina and Rita. So we’ve only had the stricter codes since around 2007 and the vast majority of homes in south LA were built prior to that.
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