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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:32 pm to
Posted by TorchtheFlyingTiger
1st coast
Member since Jan 2008
3117 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:32 pm to
@FLBooGoTigs1 how concerned are you about flooding and power in North St Johns County? We just moved here and I'm a bit nervous since it's our first hurricane season since we got wrecked by Michael. We're not quite as baller as you, settled in Durbin Crossing after losing a few bidding wars in Nocatee.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84282 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

TigerFred

Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

Did the woman get knocked over?


She did right when I clicked on it. The guy was luckily holding her hand.
Posted by Tigernation1290
Member since Aug 2022
130 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:32 pm to
I don’t see anyone on the cam, what are y’all talking about
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177195 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

I'm big worried about the people who survived Charlie there and think this is going to be the same.

The water situation isn't close to comparable.

Charley will end up being a bigger wind event for the very localized spot where it made landfall. Charley's eye was something like 5 miles wide and it was at max intensity at landfall. But it was small, fast moving and won't push nearly the water Ian will. Key West is already showing surge will be a problem. They're not even all that close to the center.
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
46336 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:33 pm to
They left.
Posted by CarolinaGamecock99
Member since Apr 2015
24812 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:33 pm to
They left thankfully
Posted by MikeAV8s
Member since Oct 2016
2317 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:33 pm to
My son lives a couple of miles from you. I’m worried about him.
Posted by CarolinaGamecock99
Member since Apr 2015
24812 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:34 pm to

Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
130034 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:34 pm to
They were laying up against it with their cameras out I’m sure recording for social media.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:34 pm to
quote:

The eye hasn't cleared out on IR yet.


It's coming. Nice contraction as it completed the cycle.

quote:

Ian is having to work to fight off the mid level dry air to the west. You can see how it's whittling away some of the moisture on the western side.




Ian's been getting pushed on that side since late this afternoon. Feeling that subtropical jet start increasing in intensity. I do wonder how much of that dry air could work it's way into the core as that push continues.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84282 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:34 pm to
R2D2's cousin better be careful out there.

This post was edited on 9/27/22 at 9:36 pm
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102064 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:36 pm to
weather channel says 120mph when hitting the coast
Posted by OldCityGator
St. Augustine, FL
Member since Jan 2008
1018 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:37 pm to
quote:

It's like y'all don't know what state you live in.


Yeah, but the real question is idiot tourists or idiot Florida Man(s)?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:37 pm to
You're a Florida Man once you cross the state line, even if you don't know it yet.
Posted by H2O Tiger
Delta Sky Club
Member since May 2021
7940 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:38 pm to
Anything major in the last 10-15 pages, just getting home and catching up on this thread
Posted by FLBooGoTigs1
Nocatee, FL.
Member since Jan 2008
59237 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

settled in Durbin Crossing after losing a few bidding wars in Nocatee.


Durbin Crossing is in a good area I have friends there I do not recall any flooding from Irma or Michael. Most of the flooding from the last few hurricanes have been coastal locations. You should get some good gusts of winds and some heavy rain bans but you should be fine. Welcome to the area
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177195 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:39 pm to
I'd say it already is. Key West radar has been clutch the past day. You can see how little precip in on the southern and eastern side of Ian. Some of the precip on the southern side close to the core is simply "disappearing". V wedge of a lack of precip between Key West and the core.
This post was edited on 9/27/22 at 9:44 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74950 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

Key West is already showing surge will be a problem. They're not even all that close to the center.

Summerland Key, farther East than Key West, is currently reporting storm surge issue, too.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 9:39 pm to
I don't mean to act like I'm not worried about the people in Key West, but I wonder how the Hemingway Cats are doing. They sort of just free roam about the area.
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