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re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Idalia Discussion Thread
Posted on 8/28/23 at 10:42 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 8/28/23 at 10:42 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Looking down the line there's a remote possibility for Bermuda to be doubly-fricked by Franklin's and Idalia's outer bands.
windy.com ECMWF Thursday Projection
windy.com ECMWF Thursday Projection
Posted on 8/28/23 at 10:42 am to LSUGrad9295
Florida State needs to move this game to New Orleans since the aftermath will likely be a mess.
Posted on 8/28/23 at 10:52 am to deuce985
quote:
Florida State needs to move this game to New Orleans since the aftermath will likely be a mess.
Sure, if the game was at FSU.....but its in Orlando.
Posted on 8/28/23 at 10:54 am to SippyCup
It's going to suck for people who plan to drive down for the game but otherwise Orlando appears just fine for the weekend.
Posted on 8/28/23 at 10:54 am to deuce985
quote:
Florida State needs to move this game to New Orleans since the aftermath will likely be a mess
Orlando will be fine on Thursday
Posted on 8/28/23 at 10:55 am to rds dc
hoping for a rural big bend area landfall
Posted on 8/28/23 at 10:58 am to SippyCup
They still need to move it.
Posted on 8/28/23 at 10:58 am to Bayou_Tiger_225
Funny how it jumped up to 65mph so fast yesterday and has stopped strengthening since. Seems some shear is keeping it from wrapping around and closing off the center so far
Posted on 8/28/23 at 10:59 am to deltaland
Shear and a bit of dry air still wrapping in
Posted on 8/28/23 at 11:02 am to Cosmo
Bring it on over here FSU. We'll take care of you and have some fun together. Good food and everything.
![](https://media.tenor.com/dYnpnSgJsSkAAAAC/come-on-come-to-me.gif)
![](https://media.tenor.com/dYnpnSgJsSkAAAAC/come-on-come-to-me.gif)
Posted on 8/28/23 at 11:11 am to deuce985
GFS initialized Franklin at 970 mb and it’s currently at 937 mb. Pretty good swing and a miss.
It’s right on it for Idalia. GFS at 989 mb with Idalia currently at 990mb.
It’s right on it for Idalia. GFS at 989 mb with Idalia currently at 990mb.
Posted on 8/28/23 at 11:14 am to The Boat
Looks like track moved a little north and west. Bullseye now at Horseshoe beach .
Posted on 8/28/23 at 11:14 am to SippyCup
quote:
Sure, if the game was at FSU.....but its in Orlando.
If he wants to fly a kite, he better get there Wed evening at the latest.
UF, on the other hand, is a 7 pernt dog, in Utah. History shows that they will use a hurricane that is passing 150 miles away to keep from getting an arse whooping. Will they travel, or make up some BS like last time?
Posted on 8/28/23 at 11:15 am to Hangit
Florida at Utah is Thursday night so I assume the Gators will leave a day earlier than planned to avoid the storm?
Posted on 8/28/23 at 11:20 am to The Boat
quote:
GFS initialized Franklin at 970 mb and it’s currently at 937 mb. Pretty good swing and a miss.
It’s right on it for Idalia. GFS at 989 mb with Idalia currently at 990mb.
I know it got alot of data from the recon flights. I haven't paid attention to what it has been getting/doing with Franklin. That is a bad miss.
Posted on 8/28/23 at 11:28 am to Tarps99
quote:
That industry is teetering on the edge of insolvency to where they are drastically increasing rates making insurance unaffordable.
Have not see that with Texas subsidized windstorm insurance. Yet. I'm assuming most of it is a lack of development as a percentage of coast line along with a small amount of wind storm claims the last 15 years (compared to other gulf states). I have Texas Windstorm (private policy, subsidized be the state) and it is ridiculously low considering the circumstances.
Posted on 8/28/23 at 11:37 am to Jwho77
quote:
Florida at Utah is Thursday night so I assume the Gators will leave a day earlier than planned to avoid the storm?
They'll use this as an excuse not to travel and lose to Utah
Posted on 8/28/23 at 11:49 am to CE Tiger
Only thing that scares me that if you look at the cone from Hurricane Ian last year you will see it had Ian going further North but as it gets closer too land it does a big hook into West florida. Ian was stronger but as mentioned there is plenty of time and hot water in the Gulf. Here is the intial cone and model of Hurricane Ian. Hurricane Ian Cone and Track into Gulf then Florida
ETA: I guess people didn't like the track but look at the Initial cone put out at beginning then look where Ian made landfall NHC missed pretty bad there. I hope Idalia stays north but honestly no one knows hence the nervousness of people on the west coast of florida.
ETA: I guess people didn't like the track but look at the Initial cone put out at beginning then look where Ian made landfall NHC missed pretty bad there. I hope Idalia stays north but honestly no one knows hence the nervousness of people on the west coast of florida.
This post was edited on 8/28/23 at 11:56 am
Posted on 8/28/23 at 11:55 am to FLBooGoTigs1
quote:
Only thing that scares me that if you look at the cone from Hurricane Ian last year you will see it had Ian going further North but as it gets closer too land it does a big hook into West florida.
They had it nailed down 6 days out.
Posted on 8/28/23 at 11:57 am to FLBooGoTigs1
quote:
Only thing that scares me that if you look at the cone from Hurricane Ian last year you will see it had Ian going further North but as it gets closer too land it does a big hook into West florida. Ian was stronger but as mentioned there is plenty of time and hot water in the Gulf. Here is the intial cone and model of Hurricane Ian.
Entirely different storm and an entirely different setup.
Ian had some things influencing its southern trend almost from the time of formation. Where it initially formed is what lead to the more northern track forecasts initially. We don't really have that at play with this one.
That said, this one isn't likely at all to go south of Tampa, and that makes it more of a threat to them than Ian ultimately was.
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