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re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Idalia Discussion Thread
Posted on 8/30/23 at 9:24 am to TH03
Posted on 8/30/23 at 9:24 am to TH03
Getting 30-40mph winds here in Amelia Island. Very little rain. Hoping the power stays on. This place has an old infrastructure. Not well kept up. Lots of trees over the power lines.
Getting some legit surf.
Off the deck.
Mash
Getting some legit surf.
Off the deck.
Mash
Posted on 8/30/23 at 9:35 am to LanierSpots
quote:
Very little rain
In due time, grasshoppa
Posted on 8/30/23 at 9:38 am to TH03
Get your boats out of the water, people.
Posted on 8/30/23 at 9:40 am to LanierSpots
I have a buddy off of Bayshore, aboot 2 miles N of Mcdill. He says that Bayshore is flooded. Old baw whose wife was tied down on Davis island and wanted her to fly home today will be disappointed. The exit/entrance to Davis Island is Impassable.
Posted on 8/30/23 at 9:41 am to roadGator
quote:
Mark Sudduth
@hurricanetrack
·
14m
The eye and eyewall of hurricane Idalia from Madison FL a little while ago.
@foxweather
video
quote:
Kaylan Patel
@WxPatel
·
18m
The NHC absolutely nailed the forecast track for #Idalia whilst it was still TD10 this past weekend. While the cone encompassed much of NW Florida, the center line highlighted landfall near Fish Creek which is almost exactly where it made landfall.
quote:
Andy Hazelton
@AndyHazelton
·
17m
The operational hurricane models did really well overall with #Idalia's intensity evolution. Little bit of a weak bias from HAFS-A/HMON, but really solid forecasts overall, especially from HAFS-B/HWRF. Hopefully all the recon/TDR data assimilation helped with these forecasts.
Posted on 8/30/23 at 9:42 am to LSURussian
quote:
The name Steinhatchee was derived from the Creek este enhvcce meaning river (hvcce) of person (este)
Posted on 8/30/23 at 9:43 am to LanierSpots
quote:
Getting 30-40mph winds here in Amelia Island.
You are steady at 26, w/gusts. 2pm bring 62 steady to you, with 69 gusts. If you get in a bind, I have local contacts.
Posted on 8/30/23 at 9:45 am to roadGator
quote:Thanks. That explains the "hatchee" part...
The name Steinhatchee was derived from the Creek este enhvcce meaning river (hvcce) of person (este)
Posted on 8/30/23 at 9:47 am to roadGator
quote:
You at the resort?
No. Have a house rented for the week on the beach. Have about 10 family members and friends here. Breakfast is over and the drinking will start soon. Looks like we will just have today like this then tomorrow and Friday are looking pretty good. Low winds and no rain
We are getting some bands but for the most part, just some steady 30mph winds. Gusting at times 40. We have a huge house beside us that is blocking a good bit of wind off our deck so its nice sitting out there and just watching is go by.
Posted on 8/30/23 at 9:48 am to TH03
quote:
whilst
Love when that word gets dropped
Posted on 8/30/23 at 9:49 am to Cosmo
971mb, 90mph sustained at 11am edt

This post was edited on 8/30/23 at 9:54 am
Posted on 8/30/23 at 9:51 am to LSURussian
quote:
The name "Steinhatchee" is derived from the native American "esteen hatchee", meaning "river of man".
No synagogue there.
Posted on 8/30/23 at 9:59 am to Hangit
The roads are flooded on Bayshore. Not the homes
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:01 am to baldona
quote:
It looks like surge was under 7ft? What changed as far as that seems very minimal for a cat 4 in an area that’s completely unprotected?
Surge in Cedar Key was at least 9 feet over normal tide.
It’s also still rising in some spots. This is the Suwannee River gage, fairly close to the landfall location, but it’s also 6 miles up river.

Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:07 am to slackster
also at major flood stage, and hasn't crested yet


This post was edited on 8/30/23 at 10:09 am
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:07 am to TH03
Nice post. This seems to have been a really well forecast storm from NHC.
I’d love to see a year end forecast accuracy score for each hurricane season.
Does anyone publish or produce something like that?
I’d love to see a year end forecast accuracy score for each hurricane season.
Does anyone publish or produce something like that?
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:09 am to ned nederlander
quote:
I’d love to see a year end forecast accuracy score for each hurricane season.
I've been begging for a CAD (Cone Accuracy Determination) for years. They won't make it public.
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