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re: Hurricane Season - Watching WCAB & Gulf for Late Week Development

Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:02 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20620 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:02 pm to
Double Post
This post was edited on 8/11/21 at 3:05 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:02 pm to
At a glance it strikes me the west "members" are the ones with more land interaction. Weak early to more trouble late (though the HWRF solution would be plenty of early trouble).
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
124185 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:02 pm to
For fricks sake
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
66917 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:03 pm to
quote:

Duke

Hey baw, when you get time go check out Cameron J. Nixon's most current tweet. Not the pinned one, the one from like 50 min ago.
Posted by artompkins
Orange Beach, Al
Member since May 2010
6023 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

That’s what I’ve been trying to say all along….


Lol no it isn't. You said African dust would tear it up.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:07 pm to
Ive got nothing.

There's certainly a mesoscale explaination but I sure as hell don't know it.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
66917 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

There's certainly a mesoscale explaination but I sure as hell don't know it.

Cameron is doing some great work on hodos and storm structure. If he doesn't have it, and Leigh Orf hasn't chimed in yet, I don't think anyone can answer right now.

ETA: If you have never watched Orf's presentations on his modeling efforts, it is well worth the time.
This post was edited on 8/11/21 at 3:13 pm
Posted by Slagathor
Makin' jokes about your teeny tiny
Member since Jul 2007
38754 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

doing some great work on hodos

please say this is meteorological parlance for hotdogs
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
66917 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

please say this is meteorological parlance for hotdogs

Hodographs.
Hotdogs are almost better, though.
Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
118044 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

ETA: with an actual possibility out there I feel inclined to remind people, particularly those who don’t frequent these threads, that this was last year and is not a current threat

And away we go


I am not a weather expert. Explain to me what this has to do with anything..
Posted by Slagathor
Makin' jokes about your teeny tiny
Member since Jul 2007
38754 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

Hodographs.
Hotdogs are almost better, though.


well shite... back to just reading this thread for me then
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:25 pm to
Slag,

Some quick background, a hodograph shows wind direction and speeds at different heights in the atmosphere. In other words, it visualizes shear and what levels have the most.

They have a lot more use in severe storm forecasting but once you know how to read them, it's a quick reference to see what kind of shear a tropical storm might be getting.
Posted by Slagathor
Makin' jokes about your teeny tiny
Member since Jul 2007
38754 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:28 pm to
sincere thanks for the (continued) edification

Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
24386 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

I am not a weather expert. Explain to me what this has to do with anything..


An attempt to freak people out.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
31976 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 3:56 pm to
Just dropping some weather porn in here.


quote:

Overworked Goddess
@OvrwrkdGoddess

Lightning over Pensacola seen from Crestview, part 2


Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 4:03 pm to
Gotta say, the advisory times are a struggle for me this year. I'm 9/3/9/3 this year and after a lifetime of central time advisories it still won't click.
Posted by Klingler7
Houston
Member since Nov 2009
12429 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 4:07 pm to
We need a weather board sponsored by ladies that bear it all.
Posted by BillBrosky
Your wife's back door
Member since Mar 2012
2732 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

Just dropping some weather porn in here.


Thanks, I spanked.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
172435 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 4:14 pm to
looks like an M and a half to the east?
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
21990 posts
Posted on 8/11/21 at 4:16 pm to
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