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re: Hurricane Season - NHC Tracking TD7 but Very Low End Gulf Threat

Posted on 8/25/22 at 9:14 am to
Posted by LSU2ALA
Member since Jul 2018
2062 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 9:14 am to
quote:

I’ve never ventured over there but from what I’ve read here, everyone thinks they are wishcasters.


I live in Houston and I can assure you this is not the case. They are incredibly conservative in their calls. They do not wishcast at all. I have no idea what the other poster is talking about. Can they miss a call? Sure, everyone does and they admit it when it happens. They are hands down best in Houston and it’s not close.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26043 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 9:15 am to
Did you read what I quoted?
Posted by LSU2ALA
Member since Jul 2018
2062 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 9:21 am to
quote:

Did you read what I quoted?


I did. If that’s your definition of wishcasting, then we have different definitions. They are telling you there is a good chance of something tropical being in the gulf in a week an which point it can go from LA to Mexico. In other words, they are reporting what the Euro and GFS are saying. What would you have them do? Ignore it? Say there is no chance? I’m not sure I see what your complaining about here.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26043 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 9:24 am to
You don't see 'gut feelings', comparisons to Harvey and Ike for a system that is over 10 days out as wishcasting?
This post was edited on 8/25/22 at 9:25 am
Posted by LSU2ALA
Member since Jul 2018
2062 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 9:33 am to
quote:

You don't see 'gut feelings', comparisons to Harvey and Ike for a system that is over 10 days out as wishcasting?


Please show me where Space City Weather is doing what you are accusing them of. Can you provide a link to it?
Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
32784 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 9:42 am to
I think he is reading the other block quote and confusing it with Space City Weather.

Until the last page of this thread, I’ve never heard of them described as wishcasters by anyone.

It would be like someone saying Donald Trump is a dwarf or that Joe Biden is massively overweight. You can have strong opinions about things but some strain credulity to the extreme.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26043 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 9:58 am to
Ahhh no I asked if you had read my quote from the wxinfinity and storm2k forums. I haven't seen space city wishcast but I haven't paid attention to them in years. Go look at my quote though.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 10:01 am to
quote:

From space city post this morning


As always, a very reasonable update by them.
Posted by Zephyrius
Wharton, La.
Member since Dec 2004
9398 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 10:13 am to
quote:

but it was the same feeling I had in 2007 with Ike when he was way out in the open Atlantic.

Dude had a feeling a year before 2008 Ike-- that is some Nostradamus level feelings there.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26043 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 10:16 am to
Yeah I saw that, no doubt a typo. That whole post is cringe as shite though and he always seemed to be an educated and level headed poster. I guess not.
This post was edited on 8/25/22 at 10:17 am
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 10:34 am to
quote:




The 06z GFS is dubious b/c the above isn't from the current wave that NHC is tracking. It isn't really straight forward where that comes from. Vorticity seeding off of SA? Outer edge of a CAG like feature?



The vort max in the EPAC appears to be from the current wave that NHC is tracking. The vort max in the WCAB is what the GFS sends into Texas.
Posted by JonTheTigerFan
Central, LA
Member since Nov 2003
7057 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 10:37 am to
quote:

Vorticity seeding off of SA? Outer edge of a CAG like feature?


Was just about to say that

quote:

The vort max in the EPAC appears to be from the current wave that NHC is tracking. The vort max in the WCAB is what the GFS sends into Texas


That too

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 10:46 am to
Boy would it be on brand for what the NHC is tracking to end up in the east Pacific. At least it would this year.

Sidebar: Space City Weather is awesome and any Houston people should use that site frequently.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71766 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 10:59 am to
This trend (kinda) of spinning up another system started yesterday at happy hour.
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
39932 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 11:01 am to
quote:

Sidebar: Space City Weather is awesome and any Houston people should use that site frequently


Read it daily

They definitely don’t wishcast

If anything they downplay threats at times, Imelda comes to mind
This post was edited on 8/25/22 at 11:04 am
Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
32784 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 11:04 am to
That other quote was insane and I can’t take that person seriously.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26043 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 11:08 am to
I've read the storm2k forums since around 2000 and he's an administrator for the site. Not sure what he does for wxinfinity but I think he's a moderator. I don't think I've ever seen him post that kind of drivel before but it's bad.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15266 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 11:12 am to
quote:

Things Look Pretty Calm for the Next Week


can we change this mocking thread title?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71766 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 11:23 am to
quote:

can we change this mocking thread title?

Still true that the next week from when he made the title was calm.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26043 posts
Posted on 8/25/22 at 11:27 am to
Can I start thawing out my milk supplies yet?
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