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re: Hurricane Season - NHC 92L in BOC 90%

Posted on 10/5/26 at 6:54 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36510 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 6:54 pm to
quote:

Can you explain this to me like I'm 5?


light shear. Upper levels help vent the storm (help it draw in more heat). Moves over classically hot gulf waters.

Storm goes boom...

*fwiw I came to laugh at OysterPoboy*
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
52332 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 6:56 pm to
How ironic is it going to be that the first hurricane to break the Gulf of America’s no hurricane streak since Trump renamed it is going to have a Hispanic name?
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
133350 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:01 pm to
quote:

I have a condo in FT Walton this weekend with no cancellation policy ugh.


Force majeure baw
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
133350 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:05 pm to
HMON sheared cat 1 into 30A
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21833 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:10 pm to
quote:

quote:
Sounds like to me he's saying the GFS is on crack with their scenario.

Not necessarily. He's saying that if the GFS has a good handle on the setup that it is probably underdoing the strength of the storm.


It's still an unlikely scenario. I guess you can argue that it's within the ensemble envelope, albeit out on the tail.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21833 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:13 pm to
quote:

HMON sheared cat 1 into 30A


18z HAFS team across the mouth of the River, and weakening.
Posted by DRock88
Member since Aug 2015
11008 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:16 pm to
quote:

Fairhope Alabama this weekend how is that looking?


Travel ball tourneys will be in wait and see mode until they've waited too long to see. Pack extra clothes.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43475 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:19 pm to
HWRF looks like its gonna be a nasty run
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
24842 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:21 pm to
quote:

Can you explain this to me like I'm 5?

You love calling other people stupid but can't figure that one out?




Yes yes yes. You are so right truzz. At least someone else besides me sees that this guy is a basher. Calls people stupid repeatdely.
Posted by FrontlineTiger
Member since Aug 2024
1133 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:25 pm to
Don't look at those skip to the next one
Posted by Tyga Woods
South Central Jupiter Island, FL
Member since Sep 2016
43257 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:28 pm to
quote:

I’ll suck your dick if we get a hurricane this week.


Don’t worry, bro. It’s only gay if yall take your shirts off
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
26067 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:28 pm to
quote:

You love calling other people stupid but can't figure that one out?


Well I'm pretty ignorant when it comes to understanding and diagnosing weather patterns. I probably called you stupid because you are stupid.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
133350 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:29 pm to
HWRF sheared 2 into pascagoula
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
21095 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:33 pm to
Can we please get some spaghetti runs already?
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
133350 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:34 pm to
Ask and you shall receive



Posted by 91TIGER
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2006
19690 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:36 pm to
quote:

Can we please get some spaghetti runs already?




Try this one, you'll get some spaghetti runs
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
13691 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

Can we please get some spaghetti runs already?


Who is cooking spaghetti?
Posted by OceanMan
Member since Mar 2010
23458 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:44 pm to
quote:

It really is amazing that they haven’t gone the way of soothsayers, fortune tellers, psychics, and mediums. It’s a completely unnecessary profession in a modern world.


Modern meteorology is amazing. What’s great about it is if you have a little sense, intuition and a an app or two you can be your own meteorologist.

ETA: and TD of course.
This post was edited on 10/5/26 at 7:54 pm
Posted by trussthetruzz
Mississippi
Member since Sep 2020
10104 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:44 pm to
quote:

Can we please get some spaghetti runs already?




Here's latest gfs.

Still waiting for new euro, but 12z looked like this

This post was edited on 10/5/26 at 7:47 pm
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
62113 posts
Posted on 10/5/26 at 7:49 pm to
quote:

if you have a little sense


Here is where the problem starts.
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