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Hurricane Season - Gulf Blob NHC 91L 40%

Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:14 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21612 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:14 pm
This post was edited on 7/18/26 at 1:40 pm
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
75702 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:15 pm to
Finally an adult has entered the room.
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15518 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:15 pm to
Oh nooooooz
Posted by boxcarbarney
Above all things, be a man
Member since Jul 2007
27016 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:19 pm to
Something something Punta Cana something something breast milk.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21612 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:20 pm to
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Jul 17 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northern Gulf of America and near Florida:
Showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of America and
portions of the Florida Peninsula are associated with an upper-level
low and a surface trough. Surface observations indicate that
pressures are high in the area and that currently there are no signs
of a surface circulation. However, some gradual development of this
system is possible while it meanders northward, bringing heavy rain
to portions of the Florida west coast during the next several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21612 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:25 pm to
Low-end chances because the setup appears to favor the system moving inland or staying close enough to the coast to prevent much development. However, some of the 18z Euro AI ensemble members do move a weak system towards Louisiana next week.

Posted by PunchdrunkLPdaddy
Colyell
Member since May 2026
59 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:26 pm to
When you hear Bertha, you think of a big thicc hefty woman that can pick you up and kinda push you around.
Posted by WestSideTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
5410 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:26 pm to
Here comes Bertha.


Posted by dkreller
Laffy
Member since Jan 2009
34243 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:27 pm to
Spaghetti models are the best models
Posted by Bigfishchoupique
Member since Jul 2017
9651 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:29 pm to
Always look forward to what you have to say.
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
98042 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:30 pm to
I love these threads. You guys are tGOAT of explanations
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
27664 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:37 pm to
it's gotta move too many H's
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33907 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:37 pm to
Is this going to slow down Jimothy's White Boy Summer?


Jimothy

Posted by GreenRockTiger
vortex to the whirlpool of despair
Member since Jun 2020
61333 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:39 pm to
Posted by Archives
Member since Mar 2026
608 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:41 pm to
This is because we have too many air conditioners
Posted by Da Sheik
Mar a Lago
Member since Sep 2007
9372 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:46 pm to
Don’t become a clutch your pearls bro
Posted by Purple Spoon
Hoth
Member since Feb 2005
21115 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:48 pm to
In
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15518 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:49 pm to
quote:

rds dc


That one red dot in a sea of blue and greens south of Mobile bay has me scared.

Comfort me :(
This post was edited on 7/17/26 at 8:50 pm
Posted by LSUBALLER
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2013
21875 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:52 pm to
Any time lines on movement on this system?
Posted by LSUEnvy
Hou via Lake Chas
Member since May 2011
12675 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 9:08 pm to
quote:

Spaghetti models are the best models


I’ll drink to that



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