re: Hurricane Season - 93L, 94L, & Gabrielle- No Current Gulf Threats

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It's already September and we haven't gotten anything this year. I think we're in the clear.

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Once you get into the end of September and October you get more Bay of Campeche and western Caribbean storms that don’t take very long to spin up and seem to come out of nowhere.

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Do I need to post the list of notable October hurricanes again?

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I'd like to learn how many Cat 4 or Cat 5 October hurricanes have made landfall on the Gulf coast.

I know there have been October hurricanes make landfall along the Gulf coast but I don't remember any monster storms hitting in October.

Michael hit on October 10

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I'd like to learn how many Cat 4 or Cat 5 October hurricanes have made landfall on the Gulf coast.

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Rita in 2005 was on September 24, not quite October

Wilma in 2005, also.

My husband always talks about Juan in 1985, but it was only a Cat 1 but they still flooded real bad down the bayou.

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I'd like to learn how many Cat 4 or Cat 5 October hurricanes have made landfall on the Gulf coast.

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A few hit cat 4 or 5 right before landfall but made actual landfall as a 2 or 3

Delta, Opal, and Wilma all come to mind

Delta was a Cat 2 at landfall with a central pressure of 970mb. It should have been a Cat 3 but there was a pressure–wind mismatch.

Some decent hurricanes have made landfall on the Gulf Coast in October in recent years besides Hurricane Michael, which stands alone.

Hurricane Milton made landfall in Florida as a Cat 3 on October 9th in 2024.

Hurricane Zeta made landfall in Louisiana as a Cat 3 on October 28th in 2020.

Hurricane Delta made landfall in Lousiana as a Cat 2 on October 9th, 2020.

All four of those hurricanes formed in the western Caribbean or Bay of Campeche.

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Hurricane Milton made landfall in Florida as a Cat 3 on October 9th in 2024.

Hurricane Zeta made landfall in Louisiana as a Cat 3 on October 28th in 2020.

Hurricane Delta made landfall in Lousiana as a Cat 2 on October 9th, 2020.

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Thanks, Boat.

The reason I asked about Cat 4 or Cat 5 storms making landfall in October is because (being selfish here) those are the ones that kick Baton Rouge's arse if they track this way.

Cat 2 or Cat 3 storms don't create the mass damage this far inland...just limbs down and some power outages which my whole house generator can handle.

I realize there's always the exception.

It’s definitely less likely in October, but a decent hurricane happens relatively frequently. October even has a mini secondary peak in seasonal activity.

The history would tell anyone that you really aren't in the clear for about another month, at least.

Oral in 1995
Wilma in 2005
Michael in 2018
Delta 2020

All were around the beginning of October. However if you get a decent early cold front around September 20 or so the chances of anything happening are pretty low

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Hurricane Milton made landfall in Florida as a Cat 3 on October 9th in 2024.

Hurricane Zeta made landfall in Louisiana as a Cat 3 on October 28th in 2020.

Hurricane Delta made landfall in Lousiana as a Cat 2 on October 9th, 2020.

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There are a few more like Lili in 2002, Hilda in 1964, and the Chenier Camanada hurricane of 1893 which killed over 2,000 people.

But once you get to that time of the year, the Gulf's coast's main concern isn't a wave in the Atlantic, it is some homebrew system in the Gulf or western Carribean from a stalled frontal boundary.

Although Lili in 2002 was different, it formed in the Atlantic and made her way across the Carribean.