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re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?

Posted on 10/4/17 at 9:45 am to
Posted by geauxtigersgirl
Member since Aug 2016
1314 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 9:45 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/11/21 at 8:34 pm
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
73803 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 9:46 am to
Steve Caparotta?Verified account @SteveWAFB 3m3 minutes ago
More
NEW: 1st advisory out for T.D. #16. Expected to become #Nate ... forecast takes it to FL Panhandle as a hurricane by Sunday.

Posted by Jimmy2shoes
The South
Member since Mar 2014
11004 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 9:46 am to
quote:

Any idea what Carnival would do for a a 4-day cruise that leaves NO tomorrow and is supposed to port in Cozumel on Saturday and return to NO Monday morning?

I'd buy a barrel of Dramamine

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 9:48 am to
Intensity is hard to predict for the pros, so there's never a lot of certainty on the intensity forecast. Conditions currently look quite favorable over the next few days though.

I still think 1 or 2 at landfall but Nate has a decent chance of being much stronger as he makes the run up into the gulf.
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
73803 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 9:48 am to
LSU scheduled to play in Florida Saturday. Hurricane scheduled to get there Sunday.... Perfect !
Posted by ChopBlockOclock
Your Head
Member since Jan 2017
800 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 9:49 am to
Well at least itll be weaker cat 1 hurricane but we have seen too many rapid intensification storms so i think category forecasts are a bit premature at this point
Posted by marinebioman
Ocean Springs, MS
Member since Feb 2005
3396 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 9:49 am to
Yea I'm not worried about myself...I am on ships for my job...its my wife and 7 year old that I am worried about...I'm afraid what was supposed to be a fun family vacation is going to be a downright miserable experience (if Carnival doesn't cancel)
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
73803 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 9:54 am to
What does it mean?

Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
176138 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 9:56 am to
its certainly possible for many possibilities to be possible.
This post was edited on 10/4/17 at 10:10 am
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:00 am to
Rapid Intensification would be a 35 mph increase in winds in a day or they also consider about a 40 mb drop in a day.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129472 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:01 am to
Alright gents we have a cone

If it doesnt stay right in the damn middle of that cone then everybody at the NHC should lise their jobs amirite?
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129472 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:06 am to
Its possible im going to impregnate taylor swift
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43200 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:07 am to
Recon gonna be in TD 16 in about 30 to 45 minutes
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
128022 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:08 am to
quote:

If it doesnt stay right in the damn middle of that cone then everybody at the NHC should lise their jobs amirite?


I would take it keep pushing east, personally
Posted by TechDawg2007
Bawville
Member since Nov 2007
32479 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:09 am to
we are supposed to go to seaside in florida. Leave saturday and return home wednesday. What would you baws do?
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
20560 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:12 am to
quote:

we are supposed to go to seaside in florida. Leave saturday and return home wednesday. What would you baws do?


Best case it's going to be rainy and windy, worst case you take a direct hit from a Cat 1-2.

Neither option sounds like much fun to me.
Posted by ChopBlockOclock
Your Head
Member since Jan 2017
800 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:13 am to
Meh just go. If anything its a small end storm.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:16 am to
A lot depends on how fast Nate gets organized. A tight system that avoids too much land could be big trouble. If it is slow to organize or goes into the Yucatan then that opens up the possibility of dry air getting into the circulation. As of right now, dry air getting into the system seems to be the main thing that could keep this in check. Organized systems in low shear environments can avoid ingestion of nearby dry air.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:21 am to
Historically in October both Florida and Louisiana are #1 and #2 for landfalls from tropical systems right? Florida I can understand but I never would've thought Louisiana was on that list. I can't remember many October hurricanes in Louisiana honestly.
Posted by Wally Sparks
Atlanta
Member since Feb 2013
32462 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:21 am to
Nice track.
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