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re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:20 pm to CorkSoaker
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:20 pm to CorkSoaker
quote:
3 days? Really? Just when did this thing even start, let alone they have been talking about it being a strong hurricane?
Yes. The NHC has harped on rapid intensification potential in every discussion since this thing was a depression. We've had models for at least two days saying 50% chance of rapid Intensification.
It pays to read the discussions.
1
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:20 pm to Jim Rockford
Looking to me on the models they're still showing a far east Louisiana landfall then a turn NE. I'm wondering if that track holds how far inland the storm goes before it makes the NE turn especially with the way the storm seems to keep speeding up.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 11:21 pm
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:20 pm to CorkSoaker
quote:
Yesterday is not "3 days ago"
Have you not payed any attention to the other Hurricanes this season?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:21 pm to CorkSoaker
I just wanna know why an official statement was released saying max75 mph winds.
Seems quite misleading if that's not that forecast
Seems quite misleading if that's not that forecast
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:21 pm to rocket31
quote:
No prediction has ever given a "real possibility" of cat 2 winds. Zero
Rob Perillo disagrees
quote:
No surprise, #Nate now a hurricane, look for a strong Cat 1 or Cat 2 at landfall tomorrow night. Details: bit.ly/2xn0o5f #lawx
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:21 pm to FelicianaTigerfan
quote:
Except the guy on the weather channel just said there is no reason to think that with current developments and conditions there is no reason to think Nate won't continue to intensify as it moves across the gulf.
Also said that predictions of 85 and storm surge predictions can be thrown out the window as they stand now if that happens
Pretty sure he knows what he is talking about more than you
I know he knows more about ratings and how to pump them.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:21 pm to rocket31
quote:
It has 24 hours
They are predicting max75 mph winds
Are they wrong?
They said the same about Harvey before it blew up overnight.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:22 pm to purplepylon
Harvey went super Sayien 4 in 24 hours.
I don't expect Nate to do that.
I don't expect Nate to do that.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:23 pm to tigerbait3488
quote:
frick. We can be looking at 100mph winds when this thing lands
That looks like the low end of what you would expect at this point.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:24 pm to rocket31
quote:
I just wanna know why an official statement was released saying max75 mph winds. Seems quite misleading if that's not that forecast
Forecast can change. These threads are full of people that know what they are talking about and they always say to watch it as it gets closer because conditions change.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:24 pm to Duke
Are you saying this thing started on October 3? And on October 3rd they predicted a strong hurricane making landfall?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:24 pm to slackster
quote:
Define "real possibility"
30 hours ago the HWRF, a hurricane intensity forecast, suggested borderline Cat 3 winds.
You also said this 27 hours ago:
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:25 pm to rocket31
quote:
just wanna know why an official statement was released saying max75 mph winds.
Seems quite misleading if that's not that forecast
FWIW, the 10PM update had maximum winds of 85mph right before landfall.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:25 pm to rt3
quote:
Nate went straight to Ludicrous Speed
Damn
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:25 pm to GEAUXmedic
Well even the meme model has to be right at least once 
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:26 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
GEAUXmedic
"The HMON, which has been historically low in intensity"
Have you ever seen a more inaccurate post?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:27 pm to 50_Tiger
Who sent the trolls into this thread all of a sudden?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:27 pm to FelicianaTigerfan
If we can't trust our forecast within 24 hours than that is slightly concerning
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:28 pm to CorkSoaker
quote:
3 days? Really? Just when did this thing even start, let alone they have been talking about it being a strong hurricane?
2-3 days for sure. I never saw anything about "strong hurricane", but it was always predicted at least as a non major hurricane from the NHC
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:28 pm to rocket31
quote:
If we can't trust our forecast within 24 hours than that is slightly concerning
Yes, it is concerning. Intensity forecasting is still very difficult.
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