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Message
re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:29 pm to CorkSoaker
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:29 pm to CorkSoaker
quote:
Are you saying this thing started on October 3? And on October 3rd they predicted a strong hurricane making landfall?
No. They harped on the potential for a stronger storm than was being projected. Repeatedly. Consistently.
Possibility being a key word. They've said intensity was highly uncertain. The NHC hedged stronger than the models because conditions looked favorable. They said multiple times their forecasts may be low because of the possibility of a rapid intensification.
No one was predicting a Cat 3 straight out, but the possibility has been noted quite a bit.
1
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:29 pm to rocket31
Tornados and super cells can pop up with less that 15mins to warn.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:29 pm to slackster
Lafourche Parish Sheriffs Office reporting 6' inches of water covering LA Highway 1, in the Leeville area southward.
Yea already have a nice 15mph sustained with 25 mph gusts out here.
Yea already have a nice 15mph sustained with 25 mph gusts out here.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:29 pm to MrSmith
quote:
Who sent the trolls into this thread all of a sudden?
No idea. It's a normal OT hurricane thread
. SLack hasn't got into a posting war with a ranter yet though
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:30 pm to rocket31
How many times have you seen 20% chance of rain and been soaked or 80% chance and not a drop in sight. Weather forecasting is nothing more than an educated guess... at best.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:31 pm to purplepylon
Look how cold the tops are.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:31 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
Harvey went super Sayien 4 in 24 hours.
I don't expect Nate to do that.
As long as peej doesn't say that...
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:31 pm to Junky
quote:
As long as peej doesn't say that...
Literally the only reason I am saying that is because Nate will run out of time and water.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:32 pm to AU24
Very cold tops in the core :(
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:33 pm to rds dc
AF going for another pass, does pressure continue to drop and has the eye fully close off?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:33 pm to Junky
I can't believe we're flipping the frick out over a "bad" forecast that hasn't even materialized yet. The NHC said 80-85mph at landfall, Nate is currently at 75mph, and only has 24ish hours to go until that landfall.
If it comes ashore at 100mph, then we can bitch.
If it comes ashore at 100mph, then we can bitch.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:34 pm to Duke
The RI odds are from 8pm. Nate has changed a lot since then. Those percentages may go up
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:34 pm to rocket31
quote:
If we can't trust our forecast within 24 hours than that is slightly concerning
That's exactly right. Hurricanes are, at the very least, slightly concerning.
Are you being serious right now questioning hurricane forecasts? Have you ever followed one? Things tend to change. But overall this forecast has been acceptably accurate.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:35 pm to slackster
Coming ashore at 130
Book it
Book it
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:36 pm to OceanMan
They become closer to accuracy within 24 hours
Wtf. What a weird thread
Wtf. What a weird thread
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:37 pm to Cosmo
is AF307's pilot drunk?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:37 pm to slackster
quote:
I can't believe we're flipping the frick out over a "bad" forecast that hasn't even materialized yet. The NHC said 80-85mph at landfall, Nate is currently at 75mph, and only has 24ish hours to go until that landfall.
Nah, I'm not flipping out. I'm prepped for a 3 no problem. It has been a while since I stayed up watching overnight development though.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:37 pm to rt3
quote:
is AF307's pilot drunk?
He can't find the hole
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:37 pm to rocket31
It's weird that you continue to post in it
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